Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[7,052,770]

https://www.newsweek.com/kelly-loeffler-slammed-posing-former-kkk-leader-ahead-georgia-runoff-elections-1554401

Suburban women are going to lap this up, well done Brian Kemp. Hope some KKKelly ads are in the works, and I'm so glad that she beat Collins.

I would hope that she just didn't know who he was, but after she campaigned with with Marjorie "Jews Democrats drink the blood of children" Greene, who knows?

[Roll Roons]

This will be a very, very bad look:
https://www.cair.com/press_releases/cair-ga-georgia-muslim-virtual-vote-a-thon-to-feature-reps-ilhan-omar-rashida-tlaib-and-national-leaders/

[MATTROSE94]

https://www.newsweek.com/kelly-loeffler-slammed-posing-former-kkk-leader-ahead-georgia-runoff-elections-1554401

Suburban women are going to lap this up, well done Brian Kemp. Hope some KKKelly ads are in the works, and I'm so glad that she beat Collins.

I might be wrong, but Doug Collins seemed to have a fairly good record on civil rights for African Americans when compared to other Southern Republicans.

[ProgressiveModerate]

This will be a very, very bad look:
https://www.cair.com/press_releases/cair-ga-georgia-muslim-virtual-vote-a-thon-to-feature-reps-ilhan-omar-rashida-tlaib-and-national-leaders/

Honestly, this kind of stuff doesn't matter right now. MTG and Sarah Palin isn't a good look either for Perdue and Loeffler, but if anything they just rile up a critical segment of the R base to GOTV.

[SCNCmod]

What is the best strategy for Ossoff to overcome the perceived Perdue advantage? (And is he making headway with such a strategy?)

[Bootes Void]

https://www.newsweek.com/kelly-loeffler-slammed-posing-former-kkk-leader-ahead-georgia-runoff-elections-1554401

Suburban women are going to lap this up, well done Brian Kemp. Hope some KKKelly ads are in the works, and I'm so glad that she beat Collins.

I might be wrong, but Doug Collins seemed to have a fairly good record on civil rights for African Americans when compared to other Southern Republicans.

Doug Collins from what I recall is good friends with Hakeem Jeffries and a few other CBC members. Interesting guy.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://www.newsweek.com/kelly-loeffler-slammed-posing-former-kkk-leader-ahead-georgia-runoff-elections-1554401

Suburban women are going to lap this up, well done Brian Kemp. Hope some KKKelly ads are in the works, and I'm so glad that she beat Collins.

I might be wrong, but Doug Collins seemed to have a fairly good record on civil rights for African Americans when compared to other Southern Republicans.

Doug Collins from what I recall is good friends with Hakeem Jeffries and a few other CBC members. Interesting guy.

fwiw his seat is only 7% black, literally almost half of the national average, and has a significantly smaller slave and plantation history than the rest of the state as it is quite mountainous and not that many rivers and great soil for plantations.

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/newtgingrich/status/1338189444311101441

[AGA]

I'll just leave this here.

https://twitter.com/DanCrenshawTX/status/1338184981684908033?s=20

[GALeftist]

I'll just leave this here.

https://twitter.com/DanCrenshawTX/status/1338184981684908033?s=20

More like Dan CRINGEshaw hyuk hyuk hyuk

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I'll just leave this here.

https://twitter.com/DanCrenshawTX/status/1338184981684908033?s=20

porno hitman rallying in Georgia for senator LOLeffler? That’s nice.

[SCNCmod]

porno hitman rallying in Georgia for senator LOLeffler? That’s nice.

Just curious- is a porno hitman someone who looks like a cross between a hitman & pornstar, or someone who hates the porn industry?

[T0rM3nTeD]

Here's an update since my last one.

Total of 246,531 ballots accepted so far (1.32M in the General)
Total of 1.227M ballots requested so far (1.782M in the General)

If each county breaks the same way they did in the GE Senate race, the breakdown would be:

Dems - 147,002
GOP - 99,529

Early In Person voting starts tomorrow!

[SCNCmod]

Here's an update since my last one.

Total of 246,531 ballots accepted so far (1.32M in the General)
Total of 1.227M ballots requested so far (1.195M in the General)

If each county breaks the same way they did in the GE Senate race, the breakdown would be:

Dems - 147,002
GOP - 99,529

Early In Person voting starts tomorrow!

Have more ballots been requested in the runoff- or is 1.195 supposed to be 1.95M?

(assuming it has to be 1.95M if 1.32M were accepted... if so, I didn't realize close to 1/3rd of requested ballots were not returned- thats much larger than I would have thought)?

[T0rM3nTeD]

Here's an update since my last one.

Total of 246,531 ballots accepted so far (1.32M in the General)
Total of 1.227M ballots requested so far (1.195M in the General)

If each county breaks the same way they did in the GE Senate race, the breakdown would be:

Dems - 147,002
GOP - 99,529

Early In Person voting starts tomorrow!

Have more ballots been requested in the runoff- or is 1.195 supposed to be 1.95M?

(assuming it has to be 1.95M if 1.32M were accepted... if so, I didn't realize close to 1/3rd of requested ballots were not returned- thats much larger than I would have thought)?

It's actually 1.782M requested in the GE. Not sure where my typo came from

[Pollster]

https://www.newsweek.com/kelly-loeffler-slammed-posing-former-kkk-leader-ahead-georgia-runoff-elections-1554401

Suburban women are going to lap this up, well done Brian Kemp. Hope some KKKelly ads are in the works, and I'm so glad that she beat Collins.

I might be wrong, but Doug Collins seemed to have a fairly good record on civil rights for African Americans when compared to other Southern Republicans.

Doug Collins from what I recall is good friends with Hakeem Jeffries and a few other CBC members. Interesting guy.

fwiw his seat is only 7% black, literally almost half of the national average, and has a significantly smaller slave and plantation history than the rest of the state as it is quite mountainous and not that many rivers and great soil for plantations.

Doug Collins is one of the prime examples of a politician whose actual record deviates from their rhetorical choices significantly.

[wbrocks67]

What is the best strategy for Ossoff to overcome the perceived Perdue advantage? (And is he making headway with such a strategy?)

what is the perceived Perdue advantage?

[Rookie Yinzer]

What is the best strategy for Ossoff to overcome the perceived Perdue advantage? (And is he making headway with such a strategy?)

what is the perceived Perdue advantage?

Some made up anecdotes from Twitter and this forum.

Y’all really need to understand that 99 percent of people are not moved by the stuff y’all hand-wring about. This entire election cycle hasn’t taught y’all that yet?

[Never Made it to Graceland]

I'll just leave this here.

https://twitter.com/DanCrenshawTX/status/1338184981684908033?s=20

What a f**king loser. He's one of the, if not the most useless grifters in Congress today.

[wbrocks67]

I'll just leave this here.

https://twitter.com/DanCrenshawTX/status/1338184981684908033?s=20

What a f**king loser. He's one of the, if not the most useless grifters in Congress today.

It seems incredibly tasteless that he clearly used campaign funds to do this video when they could've been used a million other worthwhile ways.

[Adam Griffin]

With regard to racial composition of the runoff electorate thus far, remember that early in-person voting begins today and the GOP electorate will start pouring into the ballot boxes. For November's election, VBM racial breakdowns had whites in the low-50s before early in-person voting began (just as they are now); by the time it ended, whites were back around 58-59%. In a normal election, the electorate would begin getting substantially whiter with each passing day. That effect may be muted somewhat for a runoff, since this election has naturally lower awareness among rank-and-file voters; a greater percentage of black voters may also vote in-person this time when compared to November.

Also remember that among the mail ballots requested, 631,332 were automatically sent due to requesting a mail ballot in the primary and/or general by those 65+, disabled, veteran or overseas (the 65+ segment is the vast, vast majority). That's a majority of all mail ballots requested for the runoff thus far, so don't read too much into the total number of mail ballots requested (especially because of the age breakdowns among these voters). Likewise, with only 21% of requested ballots being returned thus far with early in-person voting starting today, these VBM request totals are pretty worthless as far as #analysis goes.  

[Never Made it to Graceland]

I'll just leave this here.

https://twitter.com/DanCrenshawTX/status/1338184981684908033?s=20

What a f**king loser. He's one of the, if not the most useless grifters in Congress today.

It seems incredibly tasteless that he clearly used campaign funds to do this video when they could've been used a million other worthwhile ways.

Crenshaw learned how to waste other peoples' money from the very best.

[wbrocks67]

With regard to racial composition of the runoff electorate thus far, remember that early in-person voting begins today and the GOP electorate will start pouring into the ballot boxes. For November's election, VBM racial breakdowns had whites in the low-50s before early in-person voting began (just as they are now); by the time it ended, whites were back around 58-59%. In a normal election, the electorate would begin getting substantially whiter with each passing day. That effect may be muted somewhat for a runoff, since this election has naturally lower awareness among rank-and-file voters; a greater percentage of black voters may also vote in-person this time when compared to November.

Also remember that among the mail ballots requested, 631,332 were automatically sent due to requesting a mail ballot in the primary and/or general by those 65+, disabled, veteran or overseas (the 65+ segment is the vast, vast majority). That's a majority of all mail ballots requested for the runoff thus far, so don't read too much into the total number of mail ballots requested (especially because of the age breakdowns among these voters). Likewise, with only 21% of requested ballots being returned thus far with early in-person voting starting today, these VBM request totals are pretty worthless as far as #analysis goes.  

Analysis for "returned" ballots is pretty useless so far, but with 1.2M+ "requests" so far, I don't think that's useless to analyze considering it will start to approach the 1.7M "requests" from the GE

[Brittain33]

Crenshaw’s a dishonest grifter but he’s better at producing entertainment than the others.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

With regard to racial composition of the runoff electorate thus far, remember that early in-person voting begins today and the GOP electorate will start pouring into the ballot boxes. For November's election, VBM racial breakdowns had whites in the low-50s before early in-person voting began (just as they are now); by the time it ended, whites were back around 58-59%. In a normal election, the electorate would begin getting substantially whiter with each passing day. That effect may be muted somewhat for a runoff, since this election has naturally lower awareness among rank-and-file voters; a greater percentage of black voters may also vote in-person this time when compared to November.

Also remember that among the mail ballots requested, 631,332 were automatically sent due to requesting a mail ballot in the primary and/or general by those 65+, disabled, veteran or overseas (the 65+ segment is the vast, vast majority). That's a majority of all mail ballots requested for the runoff thus far, so don't read too much into the total number of mail ballots requested (especially because of the age breakdowns among these voters). Likewise, with only 21% of requested ballots being returned thus far with early in-person voting starting today, these VBM request totals are pretty worthless as far as #analysis goes.  

This is all true, but you can do an apples-to-apples comparison of VBM requests now to VBM requests in the general, which tells you in a general sense whether "things look better" or "things look worse." Of course, the same should be done for in person early voting, absentee returns, and other metrics as well, and they may or may not tell different stories. But in any case, it is always relevant - but not determinate - to know the demographics of who is voting.