Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[tagimaucia]

Man, it is way too easy to get carried away and find anecdotal evidence supporting my desired result right now (there are multiple accounts on Charles Bethea's feed of deep blue ATL area precincts claiming even *higher* turnout today than 11/3).

But I imagine if I was on the other side, I could just as easily find information supporting my desired narrative as well.  I should really unplug from twitter until 7pm...

[7,052,770]

For what it's worth, I had an e-mail exactly like this one appear in my work inbox late last night:

https://twitter.com/niel/status/1346252966018355200

I've talked to a few other Georgia voters who also received this e-mail. (Interestingly, everyone I've talked to received it at their work address.) I don't expect it to make a huge difference if it's directed at Atlanta-area office workers, but anything that depresses election-day Republican turnout is noteworthy.

Wow, welcome back Xahar!

[Adam Griffin]

With regard to turnout in my neck of the woods: overall and thus far, nothing amazing. Whitfield County has had a steady rate of turnout (but not what I'd consider to be great for the GOP), with a couple of lines early on at our three largest precincts (Varnell, Pleasant Grove, & Dug Gap).

Similar dynamics seem to exist elsewhere across the Chattanooga DMA. The one exception seems to be Catoosa, which had more consistent lines up through lunch.

If I had to guess, we might end up with 70-75% of the turnout we saw on Election Day in November. Hard to make a definitive guess, though: really depends on how many people pour into the precincts after 5 PM (which in this election, could be very volatile).

(This info comes from local party committee chairs like myself, as well as poll workers/watchers and other volunteers I know: consider it "anecdotal" but not in the vein of random Twitter #analysis)

[7,052,770]

https://twitter.com/charlesbethea/status/1346466678968778754

Was it necessary to specify "women's" ?

[MillennialModerate]

I think everyone should be careful with their expectations. That includes expectations of when we’ll know with certainty who won.

I think we know after midnight, Republicans win as any rational predictor would be able to see

Damn it. We have to deal with this all over again?

That’s my thought actually.

We’ve been dreadful at Senate races.

From Nelson to Gideon to Cunningham ... and now Osoff and Warnock

[KaiserDave]

I think everyone should be careful with their expectations. That includes expectations of when we’ll know with certainty who won.

I think we know after midnight, Republicans win as any rational predictor would be able to see

Damn it. We have to deal with this all over again?

That’s my thought actually.

We’ve been dreadful at Senate races.

From Nelson to Gideon to Cunningham ... and now Osoff and Warnock

Nobody wants to hear about your inability to react to new information (Kennedy not being a God, Biden winning Georgia, etc)

[Adam Griffin]

Also, obligatory post:

Here's Griff's patented Election Day Hysteria Generator!

Have fun

Early reports of [adjective] turnout in [location] suggest [noun] for [party/candidate]

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/charlesbethea/status/1346512501727494149

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/charlesbethea/status/1346466678968778754

Was it necessary to specify "women's" ?

Yes.  Yes it was. 

[VAR]

We may not have the exact numbers but it will be blatantly obvious to everyone if 1 million people did not show up to vote today.

you dont have be a math wiz in order to notice that so far turnout is not anyhing like it was during the November presidential election and if that does not change over the next few hours than the GOP is in big trouble.....

Hey roxas! You're totally right, and you're also one of my favorite lefties on this forum! Would you like to get an avatar like all of us? I remember you saying you're from Louisiana (great state imo). We don't have many Louisiana avatars on here, and I think people would pay more attention to your great posts if you had an avatar. It's super easy to make, you just go to "profile" then to "Forum Profile Information" and select your political party and state.

[Хahar 🤔]

Wow, welcome back Xahar!

Thanks, it felt like time. I don't want to derail this thread too much but it's nice to see you around.

[ꙮ]

We may not have the exact numbers but it will be blatantly obvious to everyone if 1 million people did not show up to vote today.

you dont have be a math wiz in order to notice that so far turnout is not anyhing like it was during the November presidential election and if that does not change over the next few hours than the GOP is in big trouble.....

Hey roxas! You're totally right, and you're also one of my favorite lefties on this forum! Would you like to get an avatar like all of us? I remember you saying you're from Louisiana (great state imo). We don't have many Louisiana avatars on here, and I think people would pay more attention to your great posts if you had an avatar. It's super easy to make, you just go to "profile" then to "Forum Profile Information" and select your political party and state.

Is there a reason you keep bothering people who don't have avatars?

[Horus]

We may not have the exact numbers but it will be blatantly obvious to everyone if 1 million people did not show up to vote today.

you dont have be a math wiz in order to notice that so far turnout is not anyhing like it was during the November presidential election and if that does not change over the next few hours than the GOP is in big trouble.....

Hey roxas! You're totally right, and you're also one of my favorite lefties on this forum! Would you like to get an avatar like all of us? I remember you saying you're from Louisiana (great state imo). We don't have many Louisiana avatars on here, and I think people would pay more attention to your great posts if you had an avatar. It's super easy to make, you just go to "profile" then to "Forum Profile Information" and select your political party and state.

Is there a reason you keep bothering people who don't have avatars?

Tbf I like roxas too but not having an avatar is pretty disturbing.

[VAR]

We may not have the exact numbers but it will be blatantly obvious to everyone if 1 million people did not show up to vote today.

you dont have be a math wiz in order to notice that so far turnout is not anyhing like it was during the November presidential election and if that does not change over the next few hours than the GOP is in big trouble.....

Hey roxas! You're totally right, and you're also one of my favorite lefties on this forum! Would you like to get an avatar like all of us? I remember you saying you're from Louisiana (great state imo). We don't have many Louisiana avatars on here, and I think people would pay more attention to your great posts if you had an avatar. It's super easy to make, you just go to "profile" then to "Forum Profile Information" and select your political party and state.

Is there a reason you keep bothering people who don't have avatars?

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=422028.0

I'm doing this for our community.

[Del Tachi]

Any more anecdotal turnout reports for us to glean over?

Talked to friends today in DeKalb, Chatham, Athens-Clarke, Bibb, Tift and Catoosa counties.

Savannah, Macon and Athens are apparently anemic; DeKalb ~10 minute wait; the longest lines were apparently in very Republican Tift and Catoosa counties.

All the media reports of low turnout are focusing around Atlanta and other D-leaning cities like Columbus or Augusta; they need to send a CNN crew up to Dalton or Blairsville or something

[LimoLiberal]

Uh wow

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1346544945730105345

[It’s so Joever]

Uh wow

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1346544945730105345

Very cool, will be fun to quote in about twelve hours.

[Non Swing Voter]

Uh wow

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1346544945730105345

was that expected?  that seems higher than people thought. 

[Horus]

Talked to some friends in Inman Park who said they were in and out in five minutes. Will have reports from Stone Mountain and Kennesaw soon.

[Tender Branson]

Atlanta: CRUSH THE REPUBLICANS !!!

[VAR]

Forumlurker, stop.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Very riveting discussion going on here

[xavier110]

I was on the phone hustling last minute to make sure everyone I know votes and got three family members to commit to vote tomorrow:

One registered in 2018, but has never voted.
The other voted in 2016 and that's it.
One has only voted in presidentials and never in a runoff.

If we win tomorrow, it is going to be so overwhelming.

Nice! What convinced them now?

Just asking them to vote. Full transparency, they are young adults who are very transient when it comes to housing. There's no way that they have ever been canvassed or been in a position to think about an election that intently.

ETA: I told them a few reasons why I'm supporting, but they were mostly sold on the $2k checks and that Ossoff/Warnock are anti-Trump lol.

Obligatory followup...

Did any of them vote tho!!’

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Very riveting discussion going on here

lol.. any election night brings out the best. 

[Gass3268]

Any more anecdotal turnout reports for us to glean over?

Talked to friends today in DeKalb, Chatham, Athens-Clarke, Bibb, Tift and Catoosa counties.

Savannah, Macon and Athens are apparently anemic; DeKalb ~10 minute wait; the longest lines were apparently in very Republican Tift and Catoosa counties.

All the media reports of low turnout are focusing around Atlanta and other D-leaning cities like Columbus or Augusta; they need to send a CNN crew up to Dalton or Blairsville or something

We have multiple reports from Dalton, turnout out has been average.