Predict Trump's final % in Alaska

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

A mere 47% of the Alaskan vote has been counted so far, and Trump's current percentage is amounting to 62.23%. What do you think will be his final tally in that state?

Furthermore, which Boroughs and Census Areas do you think have switched parties?

[Rand]

Whatever it is, it will Palin comparison to LBJ’s 66%.

[It’s so Joever]

53-43 Trump

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

When will we get the final results from Alaska?
And why has CNN already called its House race, but neither its Senate nor its presidential race?

[RI]

When will we get the final results from Alaska?
And why has CNN already called its House race, but neither its Senate nor its presidential race?

Mail-in votes start getting counted on Tuesday, I believe.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

When will we get the final results from Alaska?
And why has CNN already called its House race, but neither its Senate nor its presidential race?

Mail-in votes start getting counted on Tuesday, I believe.

Do the poll workers have to tramp through the never-ending snow-covered boondocks to get to the next elections administrator in order to hand his three ballots over to him?

[Bootes Void]

Biden doing better with natives so we should look for shifts

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Trump's vote share has decreased to 58% after 65% of the ballots have been counted.
Moreover, Biden is, as matters stand, being at risk of losing House District 37 (the one including the Aleutians) and House District 40 (the northernmost one).

[Flo 2.0]

I would think trump gets like 52-53% after all is said and done and biden probably gets 41-42%?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Alaska has just been called by CNN. Finally!
But 29% of the vote has still not been counted yet.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Alaska has just been called by CNN. Finally!
But 29% of the vote has still not been counted yet.

Trump is stealing Alaska. Biden can still win there.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Now that 89% of the vote has been counted, Trumps current vote tally amounts to 53.3%.

[Skill and Chance]

Now that 89% of the vote has been counted, Trumps current vote tally amounts to 53.3%.

Wow, so there is still 11% of the vote to count and it's all absentees?  This could get down to Trump +7 or so at the end of the count!

[wbrocks67]

Now that 89% of the vote has been counted, Trumps current vote tally amounts to 53.3%.

Wow, so there is still 11% of the vote to count and it's all absentees?  This could get down to Trump +7 or so at the end of the count!

Funny enough it looks like NYT poll was not far off then

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/16/upshot/poll-alaska-2020-election.html

[VAR]

I really hope it'll be to the left of Iowa

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Now that 89% of the vote has been counted, Trumps current vote tally amounts to 53.3%.

Wow, so there is still 11% of the vote to count and it's all absentees?  This could get down to Trump +7 or so at the end of the count!

Basically all the huge House Districts in the north and in the west.
HD 37 (Bristol Bay area) with a very slight lead for Trump, and HD 36 (Ketichkan) with a huge lead for him only have 54% of the vote counted yet.
All the other HDs' vote counts are at about 90%.

[Skill and Chance]

Now that 89% of the vote has been counted, Trumps current vote tally amounts to 53.3%.

Wow, so there is still 11% of the vote to count and it's all absentees?  This could get down to Trump +7 or so at the end of the count!

Basically all the huge House Districts in the north and in the west.
HD 37 (Bristol Bay area) with a very slight lead for Trump, and HD 36 (Ketichkan) with a huge lead for him only have 54% of the vote counted yet.
All the other HDs' vote counts are at about 90%.

If other states are a guide, where they are coming from is actually less important than whether they are mail-in vs. in-person votes. 

[It’s so Joever]

Now that 89% of the vote has been counted, Trumps current vote tally amounts to 53.3%.

Wow, so there is still 11% of the vote to count and it's all absentees?  This could get down to Trump +7 or so at the end of the count!

Basically all the huge House Districts in the north and in the west.
HD 37 (Bristol Bay area) with a very slight lead for Trump, and HD 36 (Ketichkan) with a huge lead for him only have 54% of the vote counted yet.
All the other HDs' vote counts are at about 90%.

If other states are a guide, where they are coming from is actually less important than whether they are mail-in vs. in-person votes. 

Remember, Alaska is not like other states.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

With 97% of the vote in, Trump is only leading 53.1% - 34.0%.

Does anybody happen know who is leading in Haines Borough within electoral district No. 33?
I'm inquiring that of you because if Trump wins that borough, it would be the county-equivalent with the longest anti-bellwether streak.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gross did well but not good enough to win

[Pericles]

Gross did well but not good enough to win

He underperformed Biden despite his badass ads.

[MATTROSE94]

Gross did well but not good enough to win

He underperformed Biden despite his badass ads.

He should have won. We need a doctor in the Senate during the COVID pandemic.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Trump received 52.83% of the Alaskan vote, while Biden got 42.78%.
Thus, he narrowly managed to eke out a double-digit victory.

Alaska was carried by Trump on the day of the election, but by a mere 10.1 percentage points, the closest margin in the state since 1992, when George H.W. Bush beat Bill Clinton by 9.17 points, and the highest percentage of the vote for a Democrat in the state since 1964, when Lyndon B. Johnson carried it by over 30 points.
Anchorage voted for the Democratic nominee for the first time since 1964!

21 House districts went to the Republican column, whereas the Democrats emerged victorious in the remaining 19, with 6 districts having switched parties in support of Biden.

Those six House districts are:

• HD 5   (southwestern part of Fairbanks North Star Borough)
• HD 23 |
• HD 25 |(tiny districts in the western part of Anchorage)
• HD 27 |
• HD 28 (relatively big district encompassing the southern part of Anchorage)
• HD 35 (the district between Juneau and Wrangell)

[Devils30]

Dems should begin showing up here, they could use a handful of smaller states much more than a Florida for example and their problem is the Senate more than the House.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Dems should begin showing up here, they could use a handful of smaller states much more than a Florida for example and their problem is the Senate more than the House.

However, canvassing for votes in Alaska is incredibly expensive and laborious. I don't know if it's advantageous to spend too much money and time in Alaska. But now that Anchorage has eventually switched its party support after decades, it may prove profitable in the near future.