Chile Constitutional Referendum, September 4th 2022

[Niemeyerite]

If these are the final results it would be pretty ominous for the runoff, honestly.

No, it would just mean Atlas got it wrong again. Come on, the bias was obvious (practically the only replies here were from red avatars haha). Absolutely pathetic performance for the left. It must be said that I was the only one here who did not buy into the narrative of the red avatars.

Nobody cares about what you say. You are always there to laugh when the left loses and cry when the left wins, but other than that, your inputs are naught, null, zero, irrelevant. Kaoras, Lumine (Who happens to be Chilean and conservative), etc, did a great job and provided useful information about Chile and its elections. I never read anything about Boric winning in a landslide or something like that, so stop lying.

Yes, and now I'm laughing. Niemeyerite, it's always a pleasure to see your fantasies destroyed.

That makes the performance of the conservatives look even more pathetic.

Yes, that happens when you have no social life at all. I sill remember that the worse day of your life was some days ago when the House passed some legislation you didn't like. The happiest was when Trump won Florida (that didn't last long, btw). I feel sorry for you, man.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

RM senators: Ossandon and Mañalich for Chile Podemos Más, Pascual and Oliva for Apruebo Dignidad, and Rojo Edwards for Kast (the Frente Social Cristiano). Campillai looks like she won’t make it despite achieving over 15% of the vote.

[buritobr]

In Las Condes, Santiago, Chile's richest neighborhood after 50% of the polls proceeded

Kast 46.7%, Sichel 30.8%, Boric 12.3%

The right win landslides in Latin American wealthy neighborhoods

[Logical]

49,63% polls counted

Kast 28,64%
Boric 24,44%

Parisi 13,60%
Provoste 12,36%
Sichel 11,96%
MEO 7,57%
Artes 1,42%

Gap between Kast and Boric narrowing as more of Metro Santiago reports.

[Red Velvet]

49,62% counted

1. Kast 28,64%
2. Boric 24,44%
-
3. Parisi 13,60%
4. Provoste 12,36%
5. Sichel 11,96%
6. Ominami 7,57%
7. Artes 1,42%

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Partido de la Gente (Parisi) is getting at least two senators, it appears.

[H. Ross Peron]

Boric seems to be doing quite poorly in the north.

[Red Velvet]

Idk why some people are surprised when this was the exact result polls predicted lol It’s so boring there’s not much to comment.

Even the Parisi result was something evidenced by his late growth in the final polls. They literally predicted everything right. Chileans will now be thinking twice before dismissing all the polls as trash.

ETA: Actually, polls predicted slightly worse scenario for the left, with 30% vs 25%. It’s really looking it will finish around 27% vs 25% instead.

[Logical]

58,28% polls counted

Kast 28,52%
Boric 24,71%

Parisi 13,47%
Provoste 12,20%
Sichel 12,08%
MEO 7,59%
Artes 1,43%

[Mike88]

Sichel seems to be on the verge of surpassing Provoste.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

My favorite part of the campaña de terror contra Boric was that essentially none of it was actually about Boric. It was always about Nicaragua or the PC or Karina Oliva, even when he himself came out against Ortega or defeated the PC in the primaries or signed the 15N agreement without them. Meanwhile, has there been any coverage at all of Kast’s party or his allies?

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Idk why some people are surprised when this was the exact result polls predicted lol It’s so boring there’s not much to comment.

Even the Parisi result was something evidenced by his late growth in the final polls. They literally predicted everything right. Chileans will now be thinking twice before dismissing all the polls as trash.

ETA: Actually, polls predicted slightly worse scenario for the left, with 30% vs 25%. It’s really looking it will finish around 27% vs 25% instead.

They also did a pretty good job in Peru and Argentina. South American pollsters have done better since 2020 than US pollsters.

We've gone from likely Boric to lean Boric. He should still have the advantage and there's plenty to attack JAK with but the most incisive attacks in the second debate were landed by other candidates. Winning the first round will give the latter some momentum but probably not enough unless Boric runs a particularly bad campaign or the CC does something embarrassing. If anything Kast would probably prefer that Boric be the center of the campaign.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Oh dear.

[Logical]

65,52% polls counted

Kast 28,42%
Boric 24,90%

Parisi 13,38%
Sichel 12,19%
Provoste 12,07%
MEO 7,60%
Artes 1,44%

Sichel has overtaken Provoste

[Logical]

71,45% polls counted

Kast 28,30%
Boric 25,07%

Parisi 13,31%
Sichel 12,26%
Provoste 12,00%
MEO 7,62%
Artes 1,45%

I believe that when everything has been counted the gap between the top 2 should be less than 2%.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

New senate numbers in RM: Campillai and Cruz-Coke in, Oliva and Mañalich out.

[Logical]

76,71% polls counted

Kast 28,19%
Boric 25,24%

Parisi 13,24%
Sichel 12,33%
Provoste 11,93%
MEO 7,62%
Artes 1,45%

[Colbert]

According to last results here are the new deputy seats


renovacion national   (   R   )   26   seats   (   -10   )
UDI   (   R   )   23   seats   (   -7   )
partido republicano   (   FR   )   14   seats   (   14   )
partido socialista   (   CL   )   12   seats   (   -7   )
partido de la gente   (   FR   )   10   seats   (   10   )
partido communista   (   FL   )   10   seats   (   2   )
revolucion democratica   (   FL   )   9   seats   (   -1   )
democracia christana   (   CL   )   8   seats   (   0   )
convergencia social   (   FL   )   7   seats   (   7   )
partido por la democracia   (   CL   )   7   seats   (   -7   )
communes   (   FL   )   6   seats   (   5   )
partido radical   (   CL   )   5   seats   (   -3   )
evopoli   (   R   )   4   seats   (   -2   )
partido ecologista   (   L   )   3   seats   (   2   )
PRID   (   R   )   2   seats   (   2   )
partido liberal   (   CL   )   2   seats   (   0   )
federation verde   (   FL   )   2   seats   (   -2   )
partido humanista   (   L   )   2   seats   (   -3   )
centro unido   (   FR   )   1   seats   (   1   )
partido egualidad   (   L   )   1   seats   (   0   )
partido progressisto   (   L   )   0   seat   (   -1   )




right bloc had 46.8% of all seats in 2017, they should have 51.9 this year.


Kast will be easily elected as president.

Glorious !

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

71,45% polls counted

Kast 28,30%
Boric 25,07%

Parisi 13,31%
Sichel 12,26%
Provoste 12,00%
MEO 7,62%
Artes 1,45%

I believe that when everything has been counted the gap between the top 2 should be less than 2%.

Still won’t do much to shake the SHOCKING KAST LANDSLIDE narrative that appears to be setting in.

[Colbert]

https://www.emol.com/noticias/Nacional/2021/11/21/1038869/nueva-camara-diputados-elecciones-ganadores.html

[Bilardista]

35,5% turnout? jesus that's bad

[jaichind]

Watching news live streams the Kast camp seems a lot more in a celebratory mood than the Boric camp.

[Colbert]

this is a lanslide


compare to last presidential election


2017

all lefts : 49.55

center right : 42.52

far right : 7.93



2021

all lefts : 34.31 (-15.24)

center right : 24.26 (-18.26)

far right : 41.43 (+33.50)

[Logical]

71,45% polls counted

Kast 28,30%
Boric 25,07%

Parisi 13,31%
Sichel 12,26%
Provoste 12,00%
MEO 7,62%
Artes 1,45%

I believe that when everything has been counted the gap between the top 2 should be less than 2%.

Still won’t do much to shake the SHOCKING KAST LANDSLIDE narrative that appears to be setting in.

Could be counterproductive as it might motivate marginal left wing voters to turn out on the second round and draw the scrutiny of the campaign on him. I personally think the run off will be determined by Parisi voters who appears to have been drawn from traditionally left areas.

[Logical]

80,54% polls counted

Kast 28,15%
Boric 25,32%

Parisi 13,19%
Sichel 12,39%
Provoste 11,87%
MEO 7,62%
Artes 1,45%