That still doesn't work. You can't use "the people I talk to don't like him" as an argument.
If I can't, than why can any pollsters? What makes my data so much more invalid.
I doubt that. Kerry lost because he couldn't make up his mind, I would be willing to bet that a Wes Clark or a Richard Gephardt could have been able to trump Bush. Granted, Bush's approval rating was higher than normal during the election...but Kerry had plenty of ammunition that he never got a chance to use. He was far to busy trying to save his ass from the media.
As I said, I understand that it's a very partisan district. However, let's put it this way. Busby was leading in polls until she made a remark encouraging illegal immigrants to support her campaign. She then floundered and lost the election to an otherwise weak candidate. I am not denying that she did decently (granted with the help of a conservative independent)...the point that I am trying to make is that one dumb comment on immigration killed her campaign....proving that the corruption culture strategy isn't going to overwhelm this issue. It would be dumb for Democratic strategists to suggest that.