2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 618606 times)
Ljube
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« Reply #950 on: November 03, 2020, 05:00:09 PM »
Unfortunately, it looks like Trump will lose the election. What a sad day for the world.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #951 on: November 03, 2020, 05:00:12 PM »
Quote from: Chaddyr23 on November 03, 2020, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 04:48:12 PM
All precincts at least partially reporting in Guam.

Biden 14,445 (55.36%)
Trump 10,938 (41.92%)

What did it look like in 2016?
Clinton won with 71%.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #952 on: November 03, 2020, 05:00:14 PM »
Quote from: Chaddyr23 on November 03, 2020, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 04:48:12 PM
All precincts at least partially reporting in Guam.

Biden 14,445 (55.36%)
Trump 10,938 (41.92%)

What did it look like in 2016?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_straw_polls_in_Guam
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #953 on: November 03, 2020, 05:00:29 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 03, 2020, 04:58:46 PM
Why does CNN have a timer counting down to exit polls at 5pm?  5pm is simply when the networks will be *shown* the early exit polls.  It usually takes that at least 10 minutes after that for them to report what they've seen.


Did you see their ads for the first debate? It was like framed like promos for the annual Texas vs. Oklahoma game -- BIDEN.  TRUMP.  THE FIRST DEBATE. 

It's about catching viewer attention. 
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Suburbia
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« Reply #954 on: November 03, 2020, 05:01:15 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on November 03, 2020, 04:46:38 PM
Quote from: Atlanta 1997 World Champs on November 03, 2020, 04:45:15 PM
Quote from: Let's Win This Thing on November 03, 2020, 04:43:16 PM
Honestly, exit polls should be tossed out this year.

No they shouldn't. I want to see the Black male vote, the White male vote, I want to see the Latina vote.

I want to know if the Mexican-American women will vote Trump, because a lot of them are Trumper (Telemundo, Univision talk show hosts, etc.)

Mmm, Mexican women will not vote for Trump...

Rich ones will (Rich Mexican-American telenovela stars that live in Miami/LA/etc.)
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #955 on: November 03, 2020, 05:01:25 PM »
So apparently the Democrats are projected to gain 8 seats in the Northern Mariana Islands legislative elections? Just saw on Twitter.
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Flabuckeye
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« Reply #956 on: November 03, 2020, 05:01:31 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 04:47:46 PM



This will be our first clue about NPAs.  These 840,000 votes are early votes.

If you evenly spread NPAs out to Rs and Ds you get the following split:

Trump:  32.4%
Biden:  64.0%

If the first data drop is bigger than 64% then we have a first glimpse that NPAs are not 50/50 and indeed in favor of biden.

Of course this is a swag, but maybe our first sign.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #957 on: November 03, 2020, 05:01:43 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 03, 2020, 05:00:09 PM
Unfortunately, it looks like Trump will lose the election. What a sad day for the world.



Just as I've been cautioning those counting their chickens too early, at least wait until actual results start rolling in before dooming-and-glooming. 

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GoTfan
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« Reply #958 on: November 03, 2020, 05:01:58 PM »
Still worried about Flordia. A lot of Republican counties still haven't reported in.
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Crucial Waukesha
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« Reply #959 on: November 03, 2020, 05:02:11 PM »
60% of all absentee ballots processed in Madison, Wi as of 2 pm.  Should be able to get them all processed by poll closing time
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Torrain
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« Reply #960 on: November 03, 2020, 05:02:37 PM »
1 hour until the first polls close in KY and IN.

Looking forward to feverishly pouring over precinct data with you all then.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #961 on: November 03, 2020, 05:02:50 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 03, 2020, 05:00:09 PM
Unfortunately, it looks like Trump will lose the election. What a sad day for the world.



Sad!
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #962 on: November 03, 2020, 05:03:59 PM »
Quote from: Anti-Doomer Activist darthpi on November 03, 2020, 05:02:50 PM
Quote from: Ljube on November 03, 2020, 05:00:09 PM
Unfortunately, it looks like Trump will lose the election. What a sad day for the world.



Sad!

Not sad for me...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #963 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:09 PM »
1 hour to see if McConnell is gonna lose, I wouldnt mind to see him voted out, not just change to minority Leader
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #964 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:22 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 03, 2020, 04:58:50 PM
Huh, I guess I never realized just how stagnant Arizona had been for the Democrats from 2000-2016.  In all five elections during that timeframe, all five Democratic candidates pulled 44.xx percent of the vote.  (And Dole pulled in 44.xx percent as the loser of the state in 1996).  
Similar to MN
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #965 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:23 PM »
So is no one else concerned about those voters Trump GAINED in Guam?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #966 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:37 PM »
Guys, I'm gonna jinx it.

I'm gonna do it.

You ready?

PRESIDENT-ELECT JOE BIDEN.
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Ljube
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« Reply #967 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:45 PM »

Very sad.
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Splash
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« Reply #968 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:50 PM »
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #969 on: November 03, 2020, 05:04:57 PM »
From CNN: early exit polls:

top issue:
economy 34%
racial equity 21%
coronavirus 18%
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #970 on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:05 PM »
Quote from: I will now accept my accolades on November 03, 2020, 05:04:23 PM
So is no one else concerned about those voters Trump GAINED in Guam?

I'm literally shaking.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #971 on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:09 PM »
Quote from: I will now accept my accolades on November 03, 2020, 05:04:23 PM
So is no one else concerned about those voters Trump GAINED in Guam?

No.
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #972 on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:14 PM »
https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1323745241107734530

R+1.79. Barring something crazy, the Ds look on track to holding R edge under +2.5,
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #973 on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:31 PM »
Good for Biden!
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Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
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« Reply #974 on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:33 PM »
Quote from: I will now accept my accolades on November 03, 2020, 05:04:23 PM
So is no one else concerned about those voters Trump GAINED in Guam?

Because it's just election day.
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