2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Twitter says AZ has just certified.

[Tender Branson]

Electoral Vote tracker, based on official/certified states + DC

34/51:

187 Trump
136 Biden

November 5th
Delaware

November 6th
New Hampshire

November 10th
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont

November 11th
South Carolina
Wyoming

November 12th
North Dakota

November 17th
Florida

November 18th
Idaho
Mississippi
Virginia

November 19th
Louisiana
Massachusetts

November 20th
Georgia
Kentucky

November 23rd
Alabama
Maine (3 EV Biden, 1 EV Trump)
Michigan
Utah

November 24th
Arkansas
Hawaii
Indiana
Minnesota
Nevada
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas

November 25th
Connecticut

November 30th
Arizona
Colorado
Iowa
Montana
Nebraska (4 EV Trump, 1 EV Biden)
Rhode Island
Wisconsin

December 1st
Kansas

December 2nd
District of Columbia

December 3rd
Oregon
Washington
West Virginia

December 4th
Illinois

December 7th
New York

December 8th
Maryland
Missouri
New Jersey

December 11th
California

December 14th
Electoral College votes

Unknown dates
Alaska (missed Nov. 25 deadline)
Tennessee (missed Nov. 23 deadline)

Results:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker?

Certificates of Ascertainment:

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020

[American2020]

AZ

https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1333487375805263873

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/dougducey/status/1333482912621023233
LOL at Trump supporters in the comment section.

[vileplume]

Despite most other counties in California being mostly done counting, Lake County is only at 40% and has been since election night. Does anyone know what's going on there?

[sguberman]

When do Colorado, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Iowa certify today anyone have the times?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

When do Colorado, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Iowa certify today anyone have the times?

Wisconsin is at 3:30 local time, so about 45 minutes from now. No idea about the others.

[Gass3268]

When do Colorado, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Iowa certify today anyone have the times?

Wisconsin is at 3:30 local time, so about 45 minutes from now. No idea about the others.

This is what's happening in Wisconsin today:

https://twitter.com/adam_brew/status/1333513643443572737?s=20

[Matty]

Not at all trying to a douche, but why did so many people on here say Ohio was going to to tighten to around 7 points after late votes were counted?

The Margin didn’t change

[Antonio the Sixth]

Rhode Island results are official:

https://www.ri.gov/election/results/2020/general_election/

https://eu.providencejournal.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/30/elections-board-certifies-bidens-ri-win-other-race-results/6462558002/

RIP Providence Plantations

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/MikeBalsamo1/status/1333526167215894528

https://twitter.com/IowaSOS/status/1333519869212553219

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Rhode Island results are official:

https://www.ri.gov/election/results/2020/general_election/

https://eu.providencejournal.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/30/elections-board-certifies-bidens-ri-win-other-race-results/6462558002/

RIP Providence Plantations

Death of a trivia question answer. Press F to pay respects.

[sguberman]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1333537774486638594

[Virginiá]

https://twitter.com/ryanjreilly/status/1333439836959744002

[prag_prog]

Not at all trying to a douche, but why did so many people on here say Ohio was going to to tighten to around 7 points after late votes were counted?

The Margin didn’t change

People thought (myself included) there were still around 250K-300K mail-in ballots yet to be counted based on what NYT was showing..the urban counties in NYT were also only 80-90% reporting whereas rest of the state was at >98%. Based on this info, ppl thought that the margin would decrease

[Gass3268]

Not at all trying to a douche, but why did so many people on here say Ohio was going to to tighten to around 7 points after late votes were counted?

The Margin didn’t change

People thought (myself included) there were still around 250K-300K mail-in ballots yet to be counted based on what NYT was showing..the urban counties in NYT were also only 80-90% reporting whereas rest of the state was at >98%. Based on this info, ppl thought that the margin would decrease

There were about 300K ballots, but they only broke towards Biden by a tiny amount.

[n1240]

Not at all trying to a douche, but why did so many people on here say Ohio was going to to tighten to around 7 points after late votes were counted?

The Margin didn’t change

People thought (myself included) there were still around 250K-300K mail-in ballots yet to be counted based on what NYT was showing..the urban counties in NYT were also only 80-90% reporting whereas rest of the state was at >98%. Based on this info, ppl thought that the margin would decrease

There were about 300K ballots, but they only broke towards Biden by a tiny amount.

They counted 150k post-eday, the 300k number was because of outstanding ballots being defined as mail-in ballots not received by election day, only about 10% of these were returned. Most outstanding vote was provisional.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Not all Hispanic swings can be explained by 'socialism scary', the simple fact is that the racial divide is shrinking and the class divide is growing. It is simply a swing among poorer minorities towards Republicans, not anything to do with fear of socialism.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/bradheath/status/1333533147364007938

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

https://twitter.com/ryanjreilly/status/1333439836959744002

Raffensperger has shown himself to be shockingly based for a Georgia Republican.

[emailking]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1333556242984431616
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1333556458575818754

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/GovEvers/status/1333548867711758338?s=20

[Antonio the Sixth]

NY seems unlikely to only be at 22.4%, exactly what the 2016 result was, considering the major swings upstate. Did NYC really swing *that* much rightwards to cancel that out?

I'm not saying this is where NY will end up when all counting in done. I'm just saying this is what we will likely get after NYC blows its load. But of course there are more outstanding votes upstate, and those should also pad Biden's margin. Unfortunately, I can't estimate by how much without a sense of how many ballots are left to count in each county.

If so, was this just another thing seen in all cities across the U.S.?

To this question though, the answer is clearly yes. All the large inner cities I've seen data for have either swung R or barely moved (meaning a R trend). Of course this was more than compensated by a D trend in the suburbs of those cities.

[Non Swing Voter]

remember when people said Republicans would grow a backbone and acknowledge Biden as President elect after Michigan and Georgia certified?  and Pennsylvania?  Now Arizona and Wisconsin have.  Still not seeing any acknowledgment.  I hope this gives the Biden administration some added drive to lock up all these criminal traitors.

[Middle-aged Europe]

https://twitter.com/ryanjreilly/status/1333439836959744002

Raffensperger has shown himself to be shockingly based for a Georgia Republican.

Everybody has a breaking point.