2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Ichabod]

This is just getting sad

https://mobile.twitter.com/CortesSteve/status/1326298952774381575

As a mathematician myself, nothing worse than a lawyer lecturing about Statistics

[emailking]

Trump retweeted that statistical case tweet. Also he still thinks he's going to win Wisconsin.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1326519025552265216

Also, bad polls are illegal apparently. ^

[Tender Branson]

Trump is an idiot.

Polls that showed Biden +17 were more likely to suppress the Democratic vote, not his own ...

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326369139452239872

Stuff like this hurts. It just hurts real bad.

Eh, these seats will be easier to win back than MN-7 or IA-1, and at the end of the day, Democrats still control the House.

[Badger]

This is just getting sad

https://mobile.twitter.com/CortesSteve/status/1326298952774381575

As a mathematician myself, nothing worse than a lawyer lecturing about Statistics

I think there's a 79% chance you are wrong here.

[wbrocks67]

Not sure if it was posted, but 1.7 million mail ins yet to be counted in NY

https://twitter.com/luisferre/status/1326531727829905408

[Rep Jessica]

What is really impressive is the fact that this election wasn't even bad for republicans in general as they cut the democrats majority in the house by over half and held onto the senate, while Trump still lost by historic amounts that are almost as impressive as his wins in 2016. Think about it Biden won Arizona and Ga that hasn't want democrat in decades that are as impressive as Trump winning Wis, Mi and Pa in 2016.

This is sick.

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326617805417017345

so much for it swinging hard D

[MATTROSE94]

What is really impressive is the fact that this election wasn't even bad for republicans in general as they cut the democrats majority in the house by over half and held onto the senate, while Trump still lost by historic amounts that are almost as impressive as his wins in 2016. Think about it Biden won Arizona and Ga that hasn't want democrat in decades that are as impressive as Trump winning Wis, Mi and Pa in 2016.

This is sick.

I agree. It is probably the weirdest election map at least since 1916 or 1976.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

so much for it swinging hard D

I don't remember this take at all

[Ferguson97]

What is really impressive is the fact that this election wasn't even bad for republicans in general as they cut the democrats majority in the house by over half and held onto the senate, while Trump still lost by historic amounts that are almost as impressive as his wins in 2016. Think about it Biden won Arizona and Ga that hasn't want democrat in decades that are as impressive as Trump winning Wis, Mi and Pa in 2016.

This is sick.

I agree. It is probably the weirdest election map at least since 1916 or 1976.

It's just visually very weird since Georgia is isolated. If you think about the demographics, partisan swings, etc. it's not that crazy.

[Gass3268]

Not sure if it was posted, but 1.7 million mail ins yet to be counted in NY

https://twitter.com/luisferre/status/1326531727829905408

If you give Trump a favorable 3-1 split on those 1.7 million ballots, Biden ends up winning the state 59.5%-39.2%. The fact that about 44% of that is in New York City where Biden will probably be getting splits closer to 8-2 or 9-1, I'm guessing Biden will easily get over 60% in New York. Still probably narrowly swings to Trump, but I think it will be close.

[Alben Barkley]

Joe did better in DE this year than his 1972, 1978, and 2002 senate races.

He did slightly worse than he did in his other DE senate races, but only by like a point or two.

I wish he’d gotten 60+, then he wouldn’t have done worse in just about any of them. Still, shows you how much strength he retains there for someone who hasn’t represented the state in 12 years. Flipping Kent County and causing the state to swing/trend significantly from 2016 doesn’t hurt either.

[VAR]

so much for it swinging hard D

I don't remember this take at all

Wasn't there some polls showing Trump up by low double digits?

[Gass3268]

so much for it swinging hard D

I don't remember this take at all

Wasn't there some polls showing Trump up by low double digits?

You talking about South Carolina or South Dakota?

[VAR]

so much for it swinging hard D

I don't remember this take at all

Wasn't there some polls showing Trump up by low double digits?

You talking about South Carolina or South Dakota?

South Dakota

[roxas11]

What is really impressive is the fact that this election wasn't even bad for republicans in general as they cut the democrats majority in the house by over half and held onto the senate, while Trump still lost by historic amounts that are almost as impressive as his wins in 2016. Think about it Biden won Arizona and Ga that hasn't want democrat in decades that are as impressive as Trump winning Wis, Mi and Pa in 2016.

This is sick.

It just goes to show that for a lot of voters this election really was not about Dem vs the GOP
many of them really did not have any issue with their local GOP congressmen nor did they mind voting for the GOP down ballot

Trump himself is who they really hated and he alone is who they really wanted to get rid of
 
So they showed up to punish Trump while not giving Nancy and the Dems any political victory whatsoever for delaying the stimulus bill lol

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326622414764175360

[Person Man]

How likely will Democrats win at least one other House seat in New York with all the D heavy stuff out?

[Skill and Chance]

How likely will Democrats win at least one other House seat in New York with all the D heavy stuff out?

Suozzi will very likely come back.  Beyond that, probably not.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Is Biden still on track for a 100K win in PA?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326617805417017345

so much for it swinging hard D

Once again, South Carolina has proven itself to be the least swingy state in the country, voting almost exactly 15-16 points to the right of the nation for like the 9th election in a row.

[DINGO Joe]

Is Biden still on track for a 100K win in PA?

I'd guess 70 to 75 thousand.  I don't think that outside of remade ballots, there are anything other than provisionals out there.

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326617805417017345
so much for it swinging hard D

Once again, South Carolina has proven itself to be the least swingy state in the country, voting almost exactly 15-16 points to the right of the nation for like the 9th election in a row.

I was talking about SD

[Gass3268]

How likely will Democrats win at least one other House seat in New York with all the D heavy stuff out?

Suozzi will very likely come back.  Beyond that, probably not.

I'd like to know the raw number of mail ballots in NY-02, NY-11 and NY-22 first.