2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Gass3268]

I think this most recent batch from Clark County means Nevada has officially swung to the Dems from 2016.

[wbrocks67]

I think this most recent batch from Clark County means Nevada has officially swung to the Dems from 2016.

Yep, Biden now +2.7, from Clinton +2.4.

[MATTROSE94]

https://twitter.com/khamenei_ir/status/1325138042047377408

The Aytolli speaks!

F*** Ayatollah Khomeini. We are very proud to have a liberal democracy, and I hope that maybe, possibly, Biden's narrow election might possibly Spark a reversal, or at least egg cessation of the worldwide attack on liberal democratic values.

Just because you are scared of the opinion of your people, a******, doesn't make the tension of a tightly contested election one iota an example for authoritarianism

At least Joe Biden will reenter the Iran deal and work to defuse tensions in the Middle East, unlike Donald Trump. Maybe that will have positive impacts in Iran and bring about a reformed Islamic Republic system.

[Badger]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1325803054344581124

I have to say that I've been very impressed with Georgia's election apparatus for this election, both at the state and county levels.

How long until Republicans turn on Kemp and Duncan for not conforming to the voter fraud narrative?

That's.... Actually a reasonable question.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

I think this most recent batch from Clark County means Nevada has officially swung to the Dems from 2016.

But mah conservative Latinos narrative!

[GP270watch]

https://twitter.com/khamenei_ir/status/1325138042047377408

The Aytolli speaks!

F*** Ayatollah Khomeini. We are very proud to have a liberal democracy, and I hope that maybe, possibly, Biden's narrow election might possibly Spark a reversal, or at least egg cessation of the worldwide attack on liberal democratic values.

Just because you are scared of the opinion of your people, a******, doesn't make the tension of a tightly contested election one iota an example for authoritarianism

 There are so many good people in Iran. It really is a shame they live under an oppressive conservative theocracy, we can never allow that to happen in The United States.

[Bootes Void]

why are republicans stalling by they want every "legal" vote to count and deal with election disputes? The election's over man, what are they doing

[Non Swing Voter]

OMG CNN has John King and Mattingly on split screen with two magic walls. 

[Badger]

Anyway, I just still can't believe I might have to thank above all Philadelphians, i.e. Eagles fans, for saving the world.

Well, if you can do it, so can I.

(Braces self. Grits teeth.)

"Thank you Flyers fans".

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Damn is the stock market hot this morning. I'm up 6% overall thanks in large part to the Financial stocks and REITS I'm in and had bought more of during the dips earlier this year. My portfolio isn't quite at the balance I want it, but I'm trying to avoid claiming capital gains if I can help it, so selling good stocks in bad sectors isn't something I want to do right now.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1325855042222632960?s=20

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1325855042222632960?s=20

This is getting pathetic. 

[gf20202]

The website has updated overnight with a few additional votes from Apache County. Arizona now has the following estimated ballots left per https://arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html:

Ballots needing signature verification by 5pm MST Tuesday: 6203
Provisional ballots: 40602
Ballots ready for tabulation: 30193

Total: 76998

Updating with these numbers and using the same (very) Trump-friendly assumptions as before:

50% of the ballots needing signature cures will be accepted.
80% of the provisionals will be accepted.
Trump will do 10% better (and Biden 10% worse) than the current margins in each county.  Trump has generally not been doing this well in recent dumps.

With these assumptions, an estimated 65776 ballots will be accepted, and Trump will net 12151 of them.  He currently trails by 16985, so would finish behind by 4834.

It's over and the networks could call it.

GeorgiaModerate, can you use your math skills to see if AZ (.51 currently) has a chance of surpassing WI (.63) as the tipping point state?

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1325855042222632960?s=20

"Dictatorship of the state legislature doctrine"

That said, these late arriving votes haven't been counted yet or included into Biden's lead in the state. This case is meaningless for the result in the state.

[BlueSwan]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1325855042222632960?s=20

Ridiculous. Regardless of what you think of the rules in place, everybody should be able to agree that you don't change the  rules after the fact. That would be disenfranchising all of those voters who voted by the rules set in place at the time of their vote.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1325855042222632960?s=20

Ridiculous. Regardless of what you think of the rules in place, everybody should be able to agree that you don't change the  rules after the fact. That would be disenfranchising all of those voters who voted by the rules set in place at the time of their vote.

John Roberts ‘if the people Pennsylvania don’t like not have their votes counted, they need to vote out the Ohio legislature’

[ucscgaldamez1]

The last two small batch updates from PA had:

67 votes (Biden 10.3% / 89.7% Trump)
27 votes (Biden 24.0% / 76.0% Trump)

Trump would need close to 87% to overcome Biden, nearly impossible at this pt. But wondering where those small batches were from, hoping they were mainly very conservative areas reporting provisional ballots?

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1325855042222632960?s=20

Ridiculous. Regardless of what you think of the rules in place, everybody should be able to agree that you don't change the  rules after the fact. That would be disenfranchising all of those voters who voted by the rules set in place at the time of their vote.

John Roberts ‘if the people Pennsylvania don’t like not have their votes counted, they need to vote out the Ohio legislature’

who are in gerrymandered districts.

[CookieDamage]

So when are Arizona and Georgia's certification deadlines?

[Gass3268]

Remember those ~8,000 outstanding military votes that were going to save Trump in Georgia? Only ~1,000 came back in time.

https://twitter.com/AmyEGardner/status/1325862774262599680?s=20

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Remember those ~8,000 outstanding military votes that were going to save Trump in Georgia? Only ~1,000 came back in time.

https://twitter.com/AmyEGardner/status/1325859421566676993?s=20

Might just be me, but the wording of that tweet is odd -- the "only" is throwing me off.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Remember those ~8,000 outstanding military votes that were going to save Trump in Georgia? Only ~1,000 came back in time.

https://twitter.com/AmyEGardner/status/1325859421566676993?s=20

Might just be me, but the wording of that tweet is odd -- the "only" is throwing me off.

It's based on this:

https://twitter.com/myhlee/status/1325860528691044352

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1325827447451906048

[Gass3268]

Small Arizona update:

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1325866763850969096?s=20

[Sbane]

The four seasons thing was already a joke, but now this is just... lol:

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1325813524069806083

Is this really the hill Republicans want to die on? Is John Roberts that stupid? I highly doubt it.