2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[redjohn]

With the PA lead growing every moment (with fewer and fewer votes remaining for Trump to possibly make it up, even in some alternate universe where he fares much better with these ballots), what are networks waiting for?

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/hugolowell/status/1324890440462700546

[Bootes Void]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1324888901488529408?s=20

Well he's gonna wait another week at this rate

[GeneralMacArthur]

Jesus. Nearly 4M left in CA alone.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1324883424696471552

These alone might increase Biden's national PV margin by a full 1%.

Could Biden end up with over 80,000,000 votes?

[Frodo]

What a embarrassing low margin in PA and WI, considering Biden is probably going to win the NPV by over 4 points after the slow counting blue states finish. Despite all the hype about NC's leftward trend, this another state that is very stubborn for Democrats and is going to be around R+ 5-6% compared to the NPV.

The electoral college is 3-4 points to the right of the nation.  Democrats will have to win elections by 3-4 points in the NPV for the foreseeable future to hold the presidency.

The House is so gerrymandered that Dems were only able to get a 36-seat advantage in an election they won by 8%.  The clincher flip was CA-10 which Dems won by 4.5%, so shift the results 4.5% to the right and the Republicans hold the House despite losing the election by 3-4%.  This means the House is just as rigged in favor of the GOP as the electoral college.

And don't even get me started on the Senate, where states with 2 Dem senators represent 47.22% of the American population, while states with 2 GOP senators represent 41.1%, yet the GOP controls the chamber.  Split the 1-1 states, and the Democratic minority represents 53.04% of the country, while the Republican majority represents 46.96% of the country.

And now that the GOP was able to hold off Democrats in down-ballot races in North Carolina, Florida, and Texas among other states that we were hoping to make gains in (still awaiting final results in Arizona and Georgia...), we are going to see Republicans double down on gerrymandering for yet another decade.  We can't catch a break.  

[GeorgiaModerate]

Very unlikely, but
Right now Biden has 253 Electoral Votes, if Biden wins Georgia's 16 electoral votes, Biden will finish with 269, Trump wins the remain states and will also finish with 269 electoral votes.

If it goes to extra innings, do they start with a runner on second base?

[redjohn]

In any normal situation, Trump would have conceded this race yesterday and Biden could have begun his transition to the White House. Trump is a spoiled child dragging his feet; it's unbelievable that networks haven't called what is now such an obvious outcome.

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/apnovoa/status/1324800460335755265

This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.

It’s time to increase police presence in these neighborhoods until we know what the **** is going on.
Also we should ban Venezuelan and Cuban immigrants because of possible radicals. After all, for every 1,000 grapes of there is a poisoned grape, I wouldn’t want to eat a single one.

Such a ban wouldn’t be racist, it would be only until a government change.

(Let’s see if the Trumpies get the joke)

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

What a embarrassing low margin in PA and WI, considering Biden is probably going to win the NPV by over 4 points after the slow counting blue states finish. Despite all the hype about NC's leftward trend, this another state that is very stubborn for Democrats and is going to be around R+ 5-6% compared to the NPV.

The electoral college is 3-4 points to the right of the nation.  Democrats will have to win elections by 3-4 points in the NPV for the foreseeable future to hold the presidency.

The House is so gerrymandered that Dems were only able to get a 36-seat advantage in an election they won by 8%.  The clincher flip was CA-10 which Dems won by 4.5%, so shift the results 4.5% to the right and the Republicans hold the House despite losing the election by 3-4%.  This means the House is just as rigged in favor of the GOP as the electoral college.

And don't even get me started on the Senate, where states with 2 Dem senators represent 47.22% of the American population, while states with 2 GOP senators represent 41.1%, yet the GOP controls the chamber.  Split the 1-1 states, and the Democratic minority represents 53.04% of the country, while the Republican majority represents 46.96% of the country.

And now that the GOP was able to hold off Democrats in down-ballot races in North Carolina, Florida, and Texas among other states that we were hoping to make gains in (still awaiting final results in Arizona and Georgia...), we are going to see Republicans double down on gerrymandering for yet another decade.  We can't catch a break.  

To be fair, they won't be able to in a few states the did last time.

[brucejoel99]

Jesus. Nearly 4M left in CA alone.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1324883424696471552

These alone might increase Biden's national PV margin by a full 1%.

Could Biden end up with over 80,000,000 votes?

Seems like it'll end up somewhere around there, so that's probably the over/under to keep an eye on.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Delco: Biden +1293, Trump +406

[GeorgiaModerate]

Chester Co PA: Biden +1657, Trump +398

[Splash]

Apparently we're getting another vote dump out of Philly at 9pm.

[Ferguson97]

Very unlikely, but
Right now Biden has 253 Electoral Votes, if Biden wins Georgia's 16 electoral votes, Biden will finish with 269, Trump wins the remain states and will also finish with 269 electoral votes.

There's virtually no way that Trump will win Nevada and Pennsylvania at this point. And Arizona is going to be out of reach soon.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Erie Co PA: Biden +206, Trump +138

[seb_pard]

https://twitter.com/apnovoa/status/1324800460335755265

This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.

You people need to understand that for these people (a great share of the latin-american upper class) anything that means losing just an inch of privilege or cent from their wallets is communism. Latam is ed due to them (also corruption). They are so selfish no public policy is possible because they sabotage. At the end, you shouldn't be surprised why there are so many revolutionary movements and crazy politicians in our region, is because they swear to fight them. With them the new deal would have finished in a coup d'état finance by them.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

In any normal situation, Trump would have conceded this race yesterday and Biden could have begun his transition to the White House. Trump is a spoiled child dragging his feet; it's unbelievable that networks haven't called what is now such an obvious outcome.

There's lots to criticize Trump for in how he's handling it but no candidate would have conceded already.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324886194757398528

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324886194757398528

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

https://twitter.com/apnovoa/status/1324800460335755265
This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.

Democrats wanting to raise a bit more tax (only on income of 400k+), especially when we are one of the lowest tax paying countries, is communism!

I find it odd how Cubans hate Castro but Trump and him both have the same style. Both are authoritarian chest thumping demagogues.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Biden +21,705 in PA now.

We should be getting a Philly drop in a little.

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324893236528250881

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Any chance we get a call in 5 min from Maricopa and Philly?

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324891477152067591

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/apnovoa/status/1324800460335755265

This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.

You people need to understand that for these people (a great share of the latin-american upper class) anything that means losing just an inch of privilege or cent from their wallets is communism. Latam is ed due to them (also corruption). They are so selfish no public policy is possible because they sabotage. At the end, you shouldn't be surprised why there are so many revolutionary movements and crazy politicians in our region, is because they swear to fight them. With them the new deal would have finished in a coup d'état finance by them.

You do realize this was still the 2nd most pro minimum wage county in Florida