2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Badger]

By the way ...
What happened to our blue-avatar friends that were so enthusiastic about consistently posting in this thread yesterday?

Jessica
SirWood
SN
Buzz
7sergi9
Ljube
Dabeav
GOP Toupee
Who else am I missing?

Don't throw Buzz in with the rest of those crazies. They have some great takes and actually contribute to discussion even though they are a Trump supporter. Woodbury is the Robert Cahaly of Atlas, and whil Jessica seems to be moving out of the Trump cult camp she still is pretty far right without many feasible takes. Ljube, pre election, was a Trump sycophant but seems to have eased off a little bit. Still noticeably missing. Don't know much about sergi and SN but they seem fine. The only other Trumpists are Dabeav and GOP Toupee and they are complaining about practically everything.

Regardless, they were talking a lot of smack pre-Nov 3rd which never materialized in their favor.

Not to say that the 413 crowd were accurate either (which I was a part of) but at least we had evidence for our takes other than "crowd size" "polls" "2016."

In summary, Buzz is an excellent poster.

Buzz is indeed at least better than posters like SN, sir Woodbury, and LJ Ube, but let's not go overboard here

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324744444810301440

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324740186316689411
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324740447298854916

I think Wasserman is using old numbers here.  I watched the report of the SoS conference this morning and he said there were a little over 4K left.

[DaleCooper]

I knew that Fox and AP would've retracted their call long before now if they thought it'd come down to a few thousand votes.

[TopShelfGoal]

Yeah AZ looking tough for Trump, seems like the data about election day dropoffs being less GOP and more independent is true.

Fox/AP might end up being vindicated on this one.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Let’s hear it for that 306 map!

[n1240]

Yeah AZ looking tough for Trump, seems like the data about election day dropoffs being less GOP and more independent is true.

Fox/AP might end up being vindicated on this one.

Their decision desks probably had quality data in terms of how the outstanding mail-in batches looked, which allowed them to make a call so early.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

No networks are brave enough to call it, lmao.

This country is awesome and definitely not an authoritarian fear state.

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/someknew/status/1324744475906699269

[JG]

I'm relieved. I really wanted Non-Atlas Blue Arizona for some reason.

[wbrocks67]

Biden's lead grows 500 in GA. Now up 1600.

[DrScholl]

Much of what is left now is out of AZ-6 and AZ-9 so probably not huge amounts of votes left out there for Trump.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I'm relieved. I really wanted Non-Atlas Blue Arizona for some reason.

The 306 map, vindicating John McCain and Latinos, Biden winning yet another red state. That’s three reasons right there.

[Crumpets]

Fun fact: If those Arizona numbers hold and I travel there sometime in the next four years, I will have been there four times in my life and all of those times it will have been a blue state.

[Person Man]

Let’s hear it for that 306 map!

The only thing greater than the prolonged torture of this guy is the irony of 306.

[TopShelfGoal]

I wonder which one of WI/AZ is going to end up being the tipping point state when all is said and done. I think it'll be pretty close. Is there a predicit bet on it?

[Middle-aged Europe]

Kind of sad that John McCain didn't live long enough to see Trump lose McCain's homestate.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Fun fact: If those Arizona numbers hold and I travel there sometime in the next four years, I will have been there four times in my life and all of those times it will have been a blue state.

What were things like in 1916, anyway?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Perhaps it was unwise for Trump to sh*t all over John McCain for all of these years. It would be pretty nice to see Arizona be the one to deliver the White House to Joe Biden.

[n1240]

Much of what is left now is out of AZ-6 and AZ-9 so probably not huge amounts of votes left out there for Trump.

Not really sure about the accuracy of this claim, none of the CD's are deviating significantly from their current % of total county vote of past elections, other than 6 which seems slightly higher this year. Main thing that screws over Trump is remaining batches having stronger independent lean.

[charcuterie]

Okay, feeling good about calls in NV, PA, and AZ today. NV should be called after noon, AZ after their 9pm EST drop, and PA at some point randomly. At least, I hope that's what happens today.

[pppolitics]

Let’s hear it for that 306 map!

https://twitter.com/KellyannePolls/status/803336493469204481

[Sir Mohamed]

Let’s hear it for that 306 map!

Yup, though I still have a small hope for NC.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324740186316689411
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324740447298854916

I think Wasserman is using old numbers here.  I watched the report of the SoS conference this morning and he said there were a little over 4K left.

IDK, it still seems like 8k. We haven't had any dumps since Clayton and a small one just now

[Hassan 2022]

Just got out of class and saw Blue Georgia and Blue Pennsylvania. GORGEOUS!