2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[musicblind]

Next Update: Trump up 1

[Benjamin Frank]

[Granite City]

You know something exciting is happening when even people who don't care one bit about politics are posting Insta stories re: Georgia.

Indeed, I hosted a Zoom event covering the election for a bunch of friends who are not particularly political and are also, you know, Scottish not American!

I told them at the start of the night; you’re going to think this is boring for a little while and then before you know you’re going to be frantically discussing how and why Puerto Ricans swung compared to Cubans and you’ll feel like you know every county in America.

Pleased to say I was right on that!

[Pericles]

GA: Next Clayton update may put Biden ahead, depending on the size.

When is it?

[Rand]

I was the producer/promoter of a major drag contest for ten years. Final night of our contests went over four hours some years.

Oh, and one year, when I was leaving nationals in Kentucky, the sun came up as I got in my car...

Lotsa things are gonna come up once Biden takes the lead in GA.

[philly09]

Did Bill Clinton really win AZ due to Perot?  I've never heard that narrative before, but CNN has been hammering it. Clinton cleared 50% in a lot of the counties.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Next Update: Trump up 1

Trump up 0.35 votes and a chicken

Huh?

[Alben Barkley]

I now support Maduro in Venezuela and the Communist regime in Cuba.

Clearly, Cubans and Venezuelans will just punish Democrats for pushing for democracy in their home countries anyway, so might as well just make it simpler for everyone.

I don’t even ever want Florida’s votes again. Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and yes eventually even Texas? That’s the way forward. I hope Florida sinks underwater sooner rather than later.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Update from GA only.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 463 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~20,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 10,582 of them - (51.1%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

AK - Biden down by 51,382 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~93,500 of them - (69.0%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~287,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~182,000 of them - (63.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Did Bill Clinton really win AZ due to Perot?  I've never heard that narrative before, but CNN has been hammering it. Clinton cleared 50% in a lot of the counties.

Perot helped, but remember that Clinton was also a unique brand of Democrat (unlike say Mondale or Dukakis) and he was a popular incumbent. 

[Canis]

I now support Maduro in Venezuela and the Communist regime in Cuba.

Clearly, Cubans and Venezuelans will just punish Democrats for pushing for democracy in their home countries anyway, so might as well just make it simpler for everyone.

I don’t even ever want Florida’s votes again. Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and yes eventually even Texas? That’s the way forward. I hope Florida sinks underwater sooner rather than later.

Get some sleep man

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Georgia better flip soon or else I’ll have to get involved

[NOVA Green]

You know something exciting is happening when even people who don't care one bit about politics are posting Insta stories re: Georgia.

You woke PQG (Apologies for the familiar tone), but know you currently live out in my Grandparents State of PA, where Family History all supported the Union against the Southern Slaver Traitor States (Ancestral Republicans) (Unfortunately deceased both having been born back in the 1910s a decade or so back.   ), but yeah a lot of Americans move around over the years and decades, as well as family members.

Meanwhile our son-in-law and daughter are going crazy on social media, since he is from GA (Hall County) and basically all three sons from that side of the family moved to Portland, Oregon from Metro Atlanta and now are hardcore Democrats (Although unfortunately more like "Moderate DEMs" and not "Socialist DEMs" (GRGH).   

[Inmate Trump]

Update from GA only.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 463 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~20,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 10,582 of them - (51.1%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

AK - Biden down by 51,382 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~93,500 of them - (69.0%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~287,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~182,000 of them - (63.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

I’m sorry to be kinda dumb but what’s the difference in your red and green coloring?

Sorry, sorry.  I feel like I’m going to look so stupid asking that.....

[Yeahsayyeah]

a multi racial party of the working class.

A multi racial party of the working class whose main policy goals are tax cuts for the rich and gutting unions is actually something that I really can hardly fathom.

[cp]

Update from GA only.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 463 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~20,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 10,582 of them - (51.1%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

AK - Biden down by 51,382 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~93,500 of them - (69.0%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~287,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~182,000 of them - (63.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

I’m sorry to be kinda dumb but what’s the difference in your red and green coloring?

Sorry, sorry.  I feel like I’m going to look so stupid asking that.....

There's different colouring? Stupid colour blindness.

[Panda Express]

I didn't even notice Biden flipped back Erie County. That's cool.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Update from GA only.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 463 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~20,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 10,582 of them - (51.1%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

AK - Biden down by 51,382 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~93,500 of them - (69.0%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~287,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~182,000 of them - (63.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

I’m sorry to be kinda dumb but what’s the difference in your red and green coloring?

Sorry, sorry.  I feel like I’m going to look so stupid asking that.....

Green Big Numbers are where Biden is ahead in current voting. Biden is currently UP.

Red Big Numbers are where Biden is behind in current voting. Biden is currently DOWN.

Green on the right in small writing is most likely going to end with a Biden win (green number will represent a 'come-from-behind' when the large number is red).

That is based on Biden currently exceeding the required rate to catch up to Trump and pass him.

Red on the right in small writing is where I don't think Biden can do it. Alaska.

North Carolina - I don't know yet.

[Inmate Trump]

Update from GA only.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 463 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~20,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 10,582 of them - (51.1%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

AK - Biden down by 51,382 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~93,500 of them - (69.0%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~287,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~182,000 of them - (63.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

I’m sorry to be kinda dumb but what’s the difference in your red and green coloring?

Sorry, sorry.  I feel like I’m going to look so stupid asking that.....

Green Big Numbers are where Biden is ahead in current voting. Biden is up.

Green on the right in small writing is most likely going to end with a Biden win (green come from behind when the large number is red)

Red on the right in small writing is where I dont think Biden can do it.

Ohhh. I didn’t even notice the numbers on the right, and only saw the ones on the left.  I was about to get all doomy again.

It’s 4 am.

[MT Treasurer]

How likely is it that Trump and Tillis still lose NC? I’d say Trump is a 70% favorite to hold NC and Tillis maybe 95%, does this seem accurate?

[gf20202]

GA: Next Clayton update may put Biden ahead, depending on the size.

When is it?

The last update was 37 minutes ago. At that pace, we will get in the next 30 minutes.

When this website updates, that means DDHQ will have it.
https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/Clayton/105401/web.264614/#/summary?v=269526%2F

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Goodnight. I expect to wake up to a strange result.

[gf20202]

How likely is it that Trump and Tillis still lose NC? I’d say Trump is a 70% favorite to hold NC and Tillis maybe 95%, does this seem accurate?

Trump is 95% and Tillis is like 99% I am no doomsayer, that's the sad (to me) reality

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Feels like MSNBC are completely downplaying the incoming Georgia flip in favor of Pennsylvania. Katy Tur practically said "Georgia flipping is neat, but we're really only here for Pennsylvania". Luckily, Steve Kornacki is there to explain the political importance & context to such a flip.

I get Pennsylvania in terms of instantly declaring Biden the winner and getting some much-needed sleep, but Blue Georgia is literally decades in the making. To echo Penn_Quaker_Girl, my apolitical friends are also staying up and posting Instagram stories about Georgia & Stacy Abrams. Not even Arizona got this much attention in the last 72 hours.

[Bootes Void]

The only candidate who would have done worse than Bernie is... Castro.

Clearly literally every Cuban who lives in Miami is mentally impaired in the extreme, thus the line of attack “Hurr durr... Joe Biden is literally Maduro, hurr durr” works on their incredibly, stunningly stupid, simple minds.

Thus, is it that hard to believe that people whose brains clearly only barely rival those of the dumbest three year olds on the planet  would think “Ermahgerd, his name is, like, Castro and Castro, is, like, totally bad” and thus have voted against him EVEN WORSE than they did Biden, let alone Bernie?

I swear, I had previously thought white rurals who lived in places like eastern Kentucky were the dumbest voters in the country, but clearly Cubans were hellbent on proving me VERY wrong. They might in fact be the dumbest people IN THE WORLD. At least I can logically sympathize with WHY WWC rurals voted the way they did. Miami Cubans however? There is literally no explanation but extreme mental impairment.

And no, I don’t give a f—k how offensive you think this is. The next Democrat who relies on Florida deserves to lose anyway. The first legislation we should push for if we take back the Senate is to give Bugs Bunny free reign to cut Florida off and send it back to hell where it belongs.

Miami was very hard hit by covid but that made no difference to these guys anyway