2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Rand]

Politics aside, who is more annoying on CNN: Rick Santorum or Chris Cuomo?

Do you ever sometimes start a post off with “Let me be frank with you...”

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Put me at ease: I fear Biden will come up short in the remaining states.

Does it appear to be likely that will happen?

[gf20202]

Put me at ease: I fear Biden will come up short in the remaining states.

Does it appear to be likely that will happen?

No. He'll take the lead in GA and PA tonight.

[Benjamin Frank]

Politics aside, who is more annoying on CNN: Rick Santorum or Chris Cuomo?

Do you ever sometimes start a post off with “Let me be frank with you...”

Frankly, no.

[emailking]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324613375213621248

He's had 11 tweets hidden behind a warning in the last 2 days.

[ObamaMichael]

Put me at ease: I fear Biden will come up short in the remaining states.

Does it appear to be likely that will happen?

It appears that could happen in AZ. PA is a done deal, GA and NV are very very likely to go to Biden in the end.

[OBD]

Oh god Georgia's down to Trump+600.

It's happening!

[Dr. Frankenstein]

Updates from AZ, PA and GA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 1,267 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~22,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 11,634 of them - (52.9%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

Per the NYT map, the gap in GA is down to 665.

[BlueSwan]

Put me at ease: I fear Biden will come up short in the remaining states.

Does it appear to be likely that will happen?

No. Biden wins PA EASILY at this point!

[philly09]

Put me at ease: I fear Biden will come up short in the remaining states.

Does it appear to be likely that will happen?

No. He'll take the lead in GA and PA tonight.

Philly is taking forever to count the votes. This BS doesn't help speed things up.

https://6abc.com/pennsylvania-convention-center-attack-plot-pa-election-2020/7689932/

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Oh god Georgia's down to Trump+600.

It's happening!

Georgia is the tortoise 600 away. Pennsylvania is the hare 18000 away. Who will win?

[2952-0-0]

Biden will lead in GA by ~4000 at this rate. Trump will surely continue to fundraise to pay for the recount to pay for his impending difficulties.

[philly09]

Shame it wasn't 666.

[cp]

Updates from AZ, PA and GA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 1,267 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~22,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 11,634 of them - (52.9%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

Per the NYT map, the gap in GA is down to 665.

If only for the sake of comparison, I'd be interested to see the figures for NC and AK. The Senate races in both could also still be in contention if the EV ratios for the Dems are comparable to GA or PA.

[Benjamin Frank]

Biden will lead in GA by ~4000 at this rate. Trump will surely continue to fundraise to pay for the recount to pay for his impending difficulties.

He'd make better use fundraising to pay for the wall.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Recounnts don't usually change calls aside from 2000, right?

[Benjamin Frank]

Updates from AZ, PA and GA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 1,267 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~22,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 11,634 of them - (52.9%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

Per the NYT map, the gap in GA is down to 665.

If only for the sake of comparison, I'd be interested to see the figures for NC and AK. The Senate races in both could also still be in contention if the EV ratios for the Dems are comparable to GA or PA.

Other than only around 1/2 of the estimated eligible vote has been counted in Alaska, is there any reason to believe it will become competitive?

[Benjamin Frank]

This thread should be ended at page 538.

[gf20202]

Recounnts don't usually change calls aside from 2000, right?

Al Franken overcame Norm Coleman in 2006 as a result of a recount in a Minnesota Senate race in 2008 but it's extremely rare.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Updates from AZ, PA and GA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 1,267 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~22,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 11,634 of them - (52.9%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

Per the NYT map, the gap in GA is down to 665.

If only for the sake of comparison, I'd be interested to see the figures for NC and AK. The Senate races in both could also still be in contention if the EV ratios for the Dems are comparable to GA or PA.

Not sure about that. iIrc Biden needs to clear 70% in NC to flip it which is maybe possible but I think Cunningham is too hard of a lift.

[Rand]

Biden just gained 602 votes in GA. The margin is now just 665 in Georgia.

Blue Georgia was once the stuff of dreams.

But now it’s reality.

[cp]

Updates from AZ, PA and GA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,667 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.0%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 1,267 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~22,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 11,634 of them - (52.9%)

PA - Biden down by 18,229 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~270,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~144,115 of them - (53.4%)

The ratios of late votes coming in the last 4 hours:

AZ (Biden : Trump =  53.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

Per the NYT map, the gap in GA is down to 665.

If only for the sake of comparison, I'd be interested to see the figures for NC and AK. The Senate races in both could also still be in contention if the EV ratios for the Dems are comparable to GA or PA.

Other than only around 1/2 of the estimated eligible vote has been counted in Alaska, is there any reason to believe it will become competitive?

The outstanding ballots are all mail-in and EV. Considering the proportions seen elsewhere tonight, it's not unreasonable to assume they might make the race competitive.

[Stockdale for Veep]

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Recounnts don't usually change calls aside from 2000, right?

Florida was called for Bush because of -16k votes for Gore in a precinct.

[Sbane]

Biden's GA deficit is now 1267

Irrespective of who wins or loses Georgia, Trump performed better virtually everywhere than the Republicans did in 2018, yet Brian Kamp won the governorship in Georgia by 53,000 votes.  I think this provides even more evidence that Brian Kamp stole the governorship.

That was with a midterm electorate and this is with a general election electorate. In a state like Georgia with a strong age divide, that will benefit the Republicans over the Democrats. Also why Republicans do better in the runoffs.

Totally disagree.  2018 was a semi-wave Democratic cycle.

I don't think the electorate in Georgia swings as much as in other places. Demographics and who turned out and who didn't are much more important.