2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[kyc0705]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324534164826296323

Ehm... "redacted"?

He's implying that they're done deals for Biden, but the networks can't say it quite yet.

[GeneralMacArthur]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324534164826296323

Ehm... "redacted"?

He's just being annoying.  He doesn't want to say "Safe Biden" because ABC has to make that call.

Also by replying to that tweet without changing the numbers, I'm assuming he's agreeing with those numbers, which are the 57-43 numbers.  Not the fake news Kornacki 59%

[Horus]

Biden is going to win Georgia LOL

ClayCo will put him ahead for now. I am somewhat worried about military ballots.

You’re always worried

Genetics. Sorry.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324536282295410688?s=20

[UncleSam]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

[Alben Barkley]

He thinks NV and PA are Safe!

https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1324534164826296323?s=21

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324536282295410688?s=20

What repurcusions does this have?

[roxas11]

https://twitter.com/SeanNobleAZDC/status/1324533173737279488?s=20

At this point what difference does it even make

the reality is stacey abrams may have single handedly ended all hope of Trump ever having a comeback in GA.

If Biden takes GA its game over for him and at that point AZ will not matter

[Alben Barkley]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

But it’s not all military ballots, also other abroad voters which skew Democratic, plus military has trended away from Trump this year.

[lfromnj]

Orange county seems likes its gonna trend R, same margin as 2016, my guess is CA 48 and stuff like that moved left while hispanics and maybe(?) Vietnamese moved to the right?

[forsythvoter]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

There's not likely to be more than 2k of them that arrive by tomorrow and it would probably go at most 70-30 R so Trump might net 1k votes max from overseas ballots. It will also include expats which are a pretty D vote especially under Trump, so I'm being extra friendly to Trump in my assumptions here.

Bottom line - it's not as big an issue as people make it out to be.  

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/HurdOnTheHill/status/1324525976198565890

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/HurdOnTheHill/status/1324525976198565890

Sad he's retiring. He's a great guy and would have won.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/JasonMillerinDC/status/1324536287903305729?s=20

[MillennialModerate]

F for MillienialModerate

If Joe Biden is the President Elect then I’m not getting an F

With that said.... Georgia. Well we will see

[Lord Halifax]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

Apparently that's not the case in GA where they skew heavily AA.

[UncleSam]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

But it’s not all military ballots, also other abroad voters which skew Democratic, plus military has trended away from Trump this year.

Does being a massive D hack and thus always wrong in one direction ever get tiring lol

Yes there are some overseas D-leaning votes but in general the overseas votes will skew R, as they always do. They might not skew R massively and I wouldn't expect Trump to get more than 1-2k out of them, if even that. If Biden is only ahead by a few hundred when Clayton drops tonight, however, they could very well flip it back.

Not like it really matters since PA is obviously Safe Biden at this point, so GA / AZ / NV literally don't matter at all. Biden is the President-elect.

[ultraviolet]

F for MillienialModerate

If Joe Biden is the President Elect then I’m not getting an F

With that said.... Georgia. Well we will see

I think we’ve seen enough

Time for you to change your avatar to blue Georgia

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

https://twitter.com/JasonMillerinDC/status/1324536287903305729?s=20

So Trump’s people are now going with the 57% figure, despite the fake framing. I wonder what got into MSNBC.

[MasterJedi]

https://twitter.com/JasonMillerinDC/status/1324536287903305729?s=20

So Trump’s people are now going with the 57% figure, despite the fake framing. I wonder what got into MSNBC.

Streak of cruelty to the salty GOP?

[GALeftist]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

But it’s not all military ballots, also other abroad voters which skew Democratic, plus military has trended away from Trump this year.

I'm also seeing that the military vote might be from blacker counties in Georgia, though I'm uncertain if that's true or what it necessarily means.

[Benjamin Frank]

I don't know how much significance this has to the 2020 election, but don't forget in 2018 Kyrsten Sinema had a fairly large lead that closed until she was trailing Martha McSally, but then won when the last votes came in.

In 2018 there was something of a rollercoaster effect to the count.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Joe has reached 89 cents on PredictIt.

[GeorgiaModerate]

One thing to remember is that although provisional ballots are usually heavily D in normal years, they are in most cases a subset of Election Day votes, which were disproportionately R this year.  So they're not going to be as D as in previous years.

[MillennialModerate]

F for MillienialModerate

If Joe Biden is the President Elect then I’m not getting an F

With that said.... Georgia. Well we will see

I think we’ve seen enough

Time for you to change your avatar to blue Georgia

hahahahaha. I laughed. I should’ve made a bet with someone.