2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

So no update on PA yet?

[Alben Barkley]

For those of you annoyed by Party Advisor:

He's a sock of a guy that got banned about a week ago.

Shocked. SHOCKED!!!

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

*rolls out 55 gallon drum of lotion*

It’s gettin’ real.

I just wanna say, as a gay man, I'm looking forward to future updates.

Fellow gays represent!

Atlas baybee! I got here the year I realized I was gay and this was the first place where I really knew a significant amount of LGBT people.

I’m here, I’m gay (albeit with a bi-cycle) and I wouldn’t have it any other way!

At this point, I would like all the forum gays to identify themselves.

Reporting for duty!

We’re here we’re queer....get used to it!

Fellow gay here! Here's hoping we keep Obergefell (SCOTUS ruling legalizing same sex marriage) and Bostock (SCOTUS ruling outlawing discrimination for being gay). Sorry, too on topic, back to the gallon of lotion

Damn. All these gay new registers might be what it takes to turn back the tide of straightization on Atlas over the past couple years.

Hasn't Atlas been far on average more gay anyway?

Yeah but iirc it's dropped from like a third to a quarter.

[Left Wing]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

[Saruku]

https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1034124130235236354?s=20

That’s a man with more character in his pinkie than trump could dream to have.

Bombing Vietnamese civilians shows real character, doesn't it?

[CookieDamage]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

I doubt it. Biden might even do well there

[lfromnj]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

Considering Biden netted votes in Forsyth for the last few ballots

no

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

I would expect Biden to net votes from mail-ins in all those counties because mail-ins tend to be very Dem. So the partisanship of the counties is not particularly relevant once Biden takes a lead.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/RepKinzinger/status/1324503564891414528

LOL it's quite something to see Republicans suddenly seem to wake up.

Of course it's really just because they know he's lost and is a liability so they're happy to throw him under the bus now. They knew all along he was terrible and stood by and enabled that. They're trying to start pivoting away from him now, nobody should buy it.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/550046337547665409
There's always a tweet!

[Malarkey Decider]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

No, because the absentees from Floyd and Taylor will likely be a net wash. When Clayton reports, Biden will be ahead.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/RepKinzinger/status/1324503564891414528

LOL it's quite something to see Republicans suddenly seem to wake up.

Of course it's really just because they know he's lost and is a liability so they're happy to throw him under the bus now. They knew all along he was terrible and stood by and enabled that. They're trying to start pivoting away from him now, nobody should buy it.

Kinzinger's usually called him out.

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/550046337547665409
There's always a tweet!

Maybe Trump can get a job as a fortune cookie writer.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

Clayton about the same size as Chatham so yes. Floyd is barely bigger than Dougherty.  

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

I would expect Biden to net votes from mail-ins in all those counties because mail-ins tend to be very Dem. So the partisanship of the counties is not particularly relevant once Biden takes a lead.

Right, unless these two individual counties for some reason decided to buck the national trend of Democrats overwhelmingly voting by mail over Republicans.  

[lfromnj]

I hope Biden breaks Obama's 2008 total in Philly. He's 83k votes away.

That's why I think the "ballots out in Philly" # is wrong - Biden is definitely passing Hillary 2016

He didn't do it in Detroit, although there are a few upscale parts of Philly and Philly is growing.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Those Red counties aren't going to be enough to offset Clayton right?

I would expect Biden to net votes from mail-ins in all those counties because mail-ins tend to be very Dem. So the partisanship of the counties is not particularly relevant once Biden takes a lead.

Right, unless these two individual counties for some reason decided to buck the national trend of Democrats overwhelmingly voting by mail over Republicans.  

Likeliest scenario where the partisanship of these last few counties' mail-ins matters is military ballots lean R and prove to flip the state back, tbh.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

I mean, now that he’s dead, and spent his final political act accidentally doing the right thing in a fit of rage, I don’t mind the lionization of McCain anymore. Especially if the imagine of ‘what the GOP used to be’ (even if it wasn’t) eases some Republicans over to the good guys.

[compucomp]

I hope Biden breaks Obama's 2008 total in Philly. He's 83k votes away.

That's why I think the "ballots out in Philly" # is wrong - Biden is definitely passing Hillary 2016

He didn't do it in Detroit, although there are a few upscale parts of Philly and Philly is growing.

There are also provisional ballots outstanding in Philadelphia, it was reported that a substantial number of voters had requested an absentee ballot but chose to vote in person on Election Day, and if they didn't bring their absentee ballot with them to be spoiled, they have to cast a provisional ballot so officials can make sure that they didn't vote twice.

[Lord Halifax]

What are the odds Trump will end up winning AZ?

[Alben Barkley]

I mean, now that he’s dead, and spent his final political act accidentally doing the right thing in a fit of rage, I don’t mind the lionization of McCain anymore. Especially if the imagine of ‘what the GOP used to be’ (even if it wasn’t) eases some Republicans over to the good guys.

I don't think it was an "accident." I think he knew how terrible Trump was and I don't think it was all personal about the POW comments.

[Rep Jessica]

What are the odds Trump will end up winning AZ?

30%

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I hope Biden breaks Obama's 2008 total in Philly. He's 83k votes away.

That's why I think the "ballots out in Philly" # is wrong - Biden is definitely passing Hillary 2016

He didn't do it in Detroit, although there are a few upscale parts of Philly and Philly is growing.

You have to look at the turnout %. Detroit is smaller than in '08.

[BigSerg]

What are the odds Trump will end up winning AZ?

20%

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/rklau/status/1324492510815682561