2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[politics_king]

Nicole Wallace said that the Biden team and Trump team are actually talking about White House transition.

It’s over, and it looks like in the end he might actually go away somewhat willingly.

Source???

If it's Nicole Wallace, she's one of the anchors for MSNBC's coverage.

[Person Man]

NYT shows trump lead in PA down to only about 204,000 with 88% counted.

When ED counted was ended, we were at 76% and under 600k?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Nicole Wallace said that the Biden team and Trump team are actually talking about White House transition.

It’s over, and it looks like in the end he might actually go away somewhat willingly.

Source???

If it's Nicole Wallace, she's one of the anchor's for MSNBC's coverage.

I'm looking for footage lol

[ultraviolet]

If that's the case then Biden should win Georgia

What are the chances that Ossoff is carried across the finish line?

If Biden wins Georgia then Perdue's seat is going to a runoff

[Skill and Chance]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324152903364304896

Biden +4.3 is not good to be clear, but it does indicate that states like Arizona and Georgia (and even North Carolina) are moving left faster than the nation at large. This would be good news for the 2024 nominee.

Yes, Georgia flipping in a Dem <5 environment is impressive for Biden.

[Person Man]

When will all the PA vote be in?

Hopefully by morning.

[Pulaski]

Nicole Wallace said that the Biden team and Trump team are actually talking about White House transition.

It’s over, and it looks like in the end he might actually go away somewhat willingly.

"Trump team" =/= Trump.

There's no way that "man" will ever concede defeat.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Nicole Wallace said that the Biden team and Trump team are actually talking about White House transition.

It’s over, and it looks like in the end he might actually go away somewhat willingly.

Holy S***!!! Is Trump actually going to concede and do the right thing? Hell, would we actually get a stimulus package in the lame duck session?

I sure hope so. Things with this election seem to keep going from being bleak to (relatively) reassuring. It's why I am extra glad that I avoided watching the returns as they came in last night. Though I was very stressed and dispirited this morning still.

[philly09]

Trump's PA margin is down to 200,000.

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324152903364304896

Biden +4.3 is not good to be clear, but it does indicate that states like Arizona and Georgia (and even North Carolina) are moving left faster than the nation at large. This would be good news for the 2024 nominee.

Yes, Georgia flipping in a Dem <5 environment is impressive for Biden.

Imagine if it had actually been Dem +10.

[politics_king]

If that's the case then Biden should win Georgia

What are the chances that Ossoff is carried across the finish line?

If Biden wins Georgia then Perdue's seat is going to a runoff

I think this may actually work in favor for the Democrats. Having Ossoff & Warnock running together to win control of the Senate for the Democrats and having almost two months to campaign is a big deal. Also new voters can register by December 7th to vote in the Runoff Elections. It seems like Sleepy Joe has awakened. LOL

[pppolitics]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324152903364304896

Biden +4.3 is not good to be clear, but it does indicate that states like Arizona and Georgia (and even North Carolina) are moving left faster than the nation at large. This would be good news for the 2024 nominee.

Yes, Georgia flipping in a Dem <5 environment is impressive for Biden.

Imagine if it had actually been Dem +10.

We would have gotten FL and N.C. that’s about it.

[cg41386]

Is there a chance Donald Trump won the City of Miami?  I know it has elected Republican mayors, so I wonder if it might have voted to the right of the county given the Cuban swings.

A significant portion of the county’s Cuban population is in Hialeah.

[politics_king]

I think this may be the last time the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

And turning Texas purple. The demo's are changing.

[dunceDude]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324152903364304896

Biden +4.3 is not good to be clear, but it does indicate that states like Arizona and Georgia (and even North Carolina) are moving left faster than the nation at large. This would be good news for the 2024 nominee.

Yes, Georgia flipping in a Dem <5 environment is impressive for Biden.

Imagine if it had actually been Dem +10.

More interesting to me is a D+1, D+2 environment in 2024. Do we hold on in Minnesota and ride the Sun Belt to narrow victory while WI/MI/PA flip red again?

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324152903364304896

Biden +4.3 is not good to be clear, but it does indicate that states like Arizona and Georgia (and even North Carolina) are moving left faster than the nation at large. This would be good news for the 2024 nominee.

(Nevada + Arizona + Georgia + North Carolina + Minnesota = 275)*
*census will change totals slightly

Notice the common thing about all those states (except maybe MN) = all are fast growing, many gaining electoral votes too (and MN is keeping up its population more than other midwest states).  The GOP is shrinking.  

[ProudModerate2]

Trump's margin is down to 200,000.

PA is getting there.
Has anyone worked the numbers recently with the new data.
If we continue to see the same rate of closing-the-gap (assume), where will PA be?

[DaleCooper]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

I wouldn't be so sure about Michigan and Pennsylvania. They don't seem to be voting much to the right of the nation this year. At least not any more than last time.

[riceowl]

If that's the case then Biden should win Georgia

What are the chances that Ossoff is carried across the finish line?

If Biden wins Georgia then Perdue's seat is going to a runoff

I think this may actually work in favor for the Democrats. Having Ossoff & Warnock running together to win control of the Senate for the Democrats and having almost two months to campaign is a big deal. Also new voters can register by December 7th to vote in the Runoff Elections. It seems like Sleepy Joe has awakened. LOL

Also trying to figure out who would be excited about going to the polls to vote Perdue/Loeffler

[Adam Griffin]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324152903364304896

Biden +4.3 is not good to be clear, but it does indicate that states like Arizona and Georgia (and even North Carolina) are moving left faster than the nation at large. This would be good news for the 2024 nominee.

Yes, Georgia flipping in a Dem <5 environment is impressive for Biden.

Imagine if it had actually been Dem +10.

We would have gotten FL and N.C. that’s about it.

[redjohn]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

I wouldn't be so sure about Michigan and Pennsylvania. They don't seem to be voting much to the right of the nation this year. At least not any more than last time.

WI/MI/PA are still going to be completely winnable for Democrats going forward. Not only that, we need these states for their Senate seats in addition to electoral paths. It would be dumb for Democrats to look past them when... they literally just won them (minus PA at this hour)

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

How is Arizona right now? Were Fox and AP right to call it early?

[South Dakota Democrat]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

I wouldn't be so sure about Michigan and Pennsylvania. They don't seem to be voting much to the right of the nation this year. At least not any more than last time.

I can see PA being competitive for awhile if suburban trends hold.

[ultraviolet]

Trump's margin is down to 200,000.

PA is getting there.
Has anyone worked the numbers recently with the new data.
If we continue to see the same rate of closing-the-gap (assume), where will PA be?

Hopefully Trump continues to make a fool of himself so democrats remain energized when the runoffs roll around