2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/kyfri11/status/1324070580732252163?s=19

I don't think ABC ever confirmed AZ for Biden. Just Fox and AP. If ABC did, then AP/NBC would have, since they all have Edison?

[Scottholes 2.0]

I really hope John James doesn't win the MI Senate Race.

[BudgieForce]

https://twitter.com/kyfri11/status/1324070580732252163?s=19

I don't think ABC ever confirmed AZ for Biden. Just Fox and AP. If ABC did, then AP/NBC would have, since they all have Edison?

ABC never called Arizona. Only Fox and AP.

[lfromnj]

BLM cost Long Island Democrats big time..........

Tom Suozzi looks like he is going down.

Told you. I know the NYC area. The NYPD is a cult following here. Even in Jersey.

Max Rose, Tom Suozzi, all moderate Democrats, gone.

https://twitter.com/coochievuitton/status/1324053802618658816

New York always looks like that, yes some gains were made by reps near NYC, but its clear this person hasn't looked at an NY electoral map ever. Besides likely being racist, the twitter poster's grammar leaves a lot to be desired as well.

Also as of now Trump is doing better in the Bronx than Manhattan

[Silent Hunter]

ABC never called Arizona.

[ObamaMichael]

My biggest concern right now is PA.

Forget about PA! Mine are NV and AZ. If they stay blue we shouldn't even care about PA

[Alben Barkley]

Biden is going to win PA. I’m more confident of that by the minute. His advantage with mail vote is MASSIVE, bigger than other states for whatever reason. In fact it may end up even voting farthest left of the “big three” in the end.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/wallerABC7/status/1324072722662653954?s=19

[buritobr]

Except Florida, in most states where the proceeding is close to 100%, it was possible to observe that Joe Biden improved in comparison to Hillary Clinton by 2 or 3 percentage points. So, it is hard to imagine he could not improve 0.3 in Michigan and 0.8 in Pennsylvannia.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

AZ is still called for Biden on Fox, but he's only 78% there on PredictIt.

[Roll Roons]

Wow. 20K new batch from Bucks County and it is 78% Biden, 22% Trump.

Before: Bucks (300k): Trump 53.2%, Biden 45.5% (Trump +7.7)
After: Bucks (320k): Trump 51.2%, Biden 47.5% (Trump +3.7)

Nearly 60K mail ins still to be counted in Bucks.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeSolis/status/1324011661200601088

Wanted to kindly point out that Fitz is outperforming Trump by over 16 points.

[pppolitics]

Officials in Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, have said they will update results around 9 p.m. Eastern (7 p.m. local time) on Wednesday.

[wbrocks67]

Twitter is awful

https://twitter.com/CraigSilverman/status/1324081595549188097

[President Johnson]

Joe Biden has now surpassed 70 million votes at the New York Times. Most votes in history! He has to be president now. Anything else would be a disaster for democracy, when you can literally win over 50% and still not get there.

Still kinda worried about Pennsylvania. Georgia would be so great, if he could just get over 300 electoral votes. But I take anything that is a Biden/Harris win right now.

Also, Trump is again showing his hostility towards democracy and that he does not value the voters whose ballots were not counted yet. If he was true partriot, he'd let things play out and concede without a fight if this isn't going his way. In 2000, Al Gore took a bullet for the country by conceding, despite having reasons to contest the results. Heck, even Nixon in 1960 conceded for the greater good.

[Inmate Trump]

Officials in Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, have said they will update results around 9 p.m. Eastern (7 p.m. local time) on Wednesday.

Okay, but why not sooner?  How long does it really take to count these things?

[wbrocks67]

Biden is going to win PA. I’m more confident of that by the minute. His advantage with mail vote is MASSIVE, bigger than other states for whatever reason. In fact it may end up even voting farthest left of the “big three” in the end.

Makes sense, the early vote in PA was very lopsided. It was like Dems +40-45 before taking into account Indies.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Why does anyone thing John James still has a chance?  He’s only winning by 14k right now, and Peters makes up at least 10 times that margin just from remaining Wayne County votes.

You could say the same thing about Trump in Pennsylvania.  Biden is winning the absentee votes that have already been counted by 58 points, and this doesn’t even include most of Philly.  Biden might get close to 90% of the outstanding vote, so being down 7% with 15% left to count is should be no problem.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1324080911571394561?s=19

[wbrocks67]

Any word from Michigan on the remaining 20% in Wayne?

[Tender Branson]

PA is not a done deal yet.

I have just looked at the figures.

1.067 million postal ballots are left to count (they broke 78-21 Biden so far).

Biden gains a net 608.000 votes from those.

Trump is currently ahead by 440.000

So far, so good.

Biden wins by 168.000 in the end.

But 8% of PAs 8000+ Election Day precincts are also not counted yet.

Those account for an additional 338.000 votes.

Election Day votes went 66-33 Trump so far.

Trump nets 111.000 votes from those.

Biden still comes out 57.000 ahead, but there’s room for bigger movement.

[It’s so Joever]

Gut feeling;
MI: Biden maintains his lead and Peters narrowly pulls ahead, could be tight though.
PA: Biden pulls ahead
GA: Trump narrowly hangs onto it but it’s within recount territory
AZ: Trump makes it barely
NV: Biden actually improves
NC: Recount, this will take the longest to call.

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

Margin just dropped to 6.8% in Pennsylvania, which batch came in?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Officials in Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, have said they will update results around 9 p.m. Eastern (7 p.m. local time) on Wednesday.

Okay, but why not sooner?  How long does it really take to count these things?

In a reasonable system? Maybe an hour.

[Dr. Arch]

PA is not a done deal yet.

I have just looked at the figures.

1.067 million postal ballots are left to count (they broke 78-21 Biden so far).

Biden gains a net 608.000 votes from those.

Trump is currently ahead by 440.000

So far, so good.

Biden wins by 168.000 in the end.

But 8% of PAs 8000+ Election Day precincts are also not counted yet.

Those account for an additional 338.000 votes.

Election Day votes went 66-33 Trump so far.

Trump nets 111.000 votes from those.

Biden still comes out 57.000 ahead, but there’s room for bigger movement.

Trump is ahead by less than 400K right now, not 440K.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1324078514182610946?s=19

Lmao don't ever trust Mike Cernovich

I don't know man. "A source with knowledge" is usually reliable on these things. He's predicted every election correctly since 1860.