2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[politics_king]

It might just be a rough calculation, but does anyone else think GA regular will go to runoff?

92 % of the votes are reported, the votes counted yet are 4'712'000, dividing this by 0,92 we'd have a vote total of 5'121'000.

50 % of that is 2'560'500. Perdue's current vote count is 2'387'800, so he would need 172'700 more votes. DeKalb reported 85 % so far and Perdue is at 57'000 votes (Ossoff: 278'000). Chatham reported 80 % with Perdue being at 45'000 (Ossoff: 58'000). Bibb County: 84 % reported, 27'000 for Perdue so far, 42'000 for Ossoff.

I just struggle to see where those 172'700 votes should come from?

I think it's very plausible. Perdue is only up 0.8% up and I suspect that gap will close and keep him under 50%. So election season won't be over until the first week of January with the Senate possibly on the line. Organize! Organize! Organize!

[BlueSwan]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Has to be back in the 19th century I think.

[Hope For A New Era]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Grover Cleveland's first term.

Seems R senate/D house is a rare combination.

[Hassan 2022]

They're mostly from Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton where Biden is getting 72%, 83%, 85% respectively.

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

How do you think this affects the Perdue-Ossoff race?

[Gracile]

The results in MN/OR/WA/CO specifically makes me think Biden got a ton of 2016's third-party voters.

[politics_king]

This is a "Presidential Election Results" thread.
There seems to be too much Senate discussion here.
Can people please post Senate discussion in its appropriate thread and not here.
Thank you.

Well, to be fair. It has a lot to do with a possible Biden agenda getting passed. I understand the frustration but they kind of go hand in hand right now.

[OSR stands with Israel]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Has to be back in the 19th century I think.

Didnt Republicans win the Senate in 1914

[Calthrina950]

The results in MN/OR/WA/CO specifically makes me think Biden got a ton of 2016's third-party voters.

You would be correct. I'm one of them.

[SevenEleven]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Has to be back in the 19th century I think.

Didnt Republicans win the Senate in 1914

I don't think they're talking about midterms.

[politics_king]

They're mostly from Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton where Biden is getting 72%, 83%, 85% respectively.

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

How do you think this affects the Perdue-Ossoff race?

That'll be great for Biden to get that win and basically the election is over at this rate. If Ossoff can pull over 50% (not sure that's likely), that's a win and even better to get the Senate.

[OSR stands with Israel]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Has to be back in the 19th century I think.

Didnt Republicans win the Senate in 1914

I don't think they're talking about midterms.

Well if that is the case you would have had a Dem President GOP Senate and Dem House from 1915-1917

[VBM]

Why is nobody talking about Arizona?

[lfromnj]

Last time was during Cleveland .

[Xing]

The results in MN/OR/WA/CO specifically makes me think Biden got a ton of 2016's third-party voters.

In big cities like Seattle, absolutely. I expected this to happen to an extent, but I actually underestimated it. A 24-point margin in WA is absolutely bonkers, though it may narrow a little bit as we get the rest of the votes.

[7,052,770]

They're mostly from Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton where Biden is getting 72%, 83%, 85% respectively.

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

O sh**t, it might happen

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Can Trump still win Pennsylvania?

[The Free North]

Why is nobody talking about Arizona?

Because it was called last night at like 10 PM by Fox News of all people.

[Roll Roons]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

1886, under Grover Cleveland. Insane.

Obama: D trifecta 2008-2010, R House D Senate 2010-2014, R Congress 2014-2016
Clinton: D trifecta 1992-1994, R Congress 1994-2000
Carter, LBJ, JFK: D trifecta for entire terms
Truman: D trifecta 1945-1946, R Congress 1946-1948, D trifecta 1948-1952
FDR: D trifecta entire time
Wilson: D trifecta 1912-1918, R Congress 1918-1920

[politics_king]

Why is nobody talking about Arizona?

It's been called by FOX News and AP. I don't see it trending toward Trump. So it should be called for Biden in a few hours. I suspect Nevada is Biden's also, but by a very slim margin.

[Roblox]

Yeah, Biden's Minnesota Margin is very impressive compared to the surrounding midwest states-over 6 points to the left of Wisconsin? The education level+a higher share of the population living in a metro clearly set's it apart from it's neighbors in conversations about trends and realignments.

[Del Tachi]

Biden winning MI, WI, GA while Trump wins PA, NV, AZ and NC is a 269-269 tie

If that's the 269-269 map, I'll cry lol

[Inmate Trump]

Why is nobody talking about Arizona?

Because for some reason the topic has derailed into a discussion on the senate.

Take the senate talk to the appropriate forum!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Whitfield County, the most Latino county in all of GA, goes from 70-25 Trump in 2016 to 69-29 Trump in 2020. Par for course for what Biden needs to win GA.

[forsythvoter]

If there are 200,000 ballots left and Perdue has 2,382,000 with 50.8%, he would need to get 31% of the remaining ballots to avoid a runoff. He has 29%, 17%, and 13% in Fulton, Dekalb and Clayton right now.

So I'm guessing Perdue probably will narrowly fail to avoid a runoff.

They're mostly from Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton where Biden is getting 72%, 83%, 85% respectively.

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

How do you think this affects the Perdue-Ossoff race?

[SPQR]

Why is nobody talking about Arizona?

Arizona is where all the focus should be.
Biden wins Arizona, he's won it all.