2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/1323958900060790784?s=20

Of course the last domino is Kenosha. The writers for this season are getting too cute for my liking

Don't we already know? Didn't Biden bank 10K votes from Kenosha a few hours ago that they haven't uploaded anywhere?

[DaleCooper]

So, do the Green Bay numbers mean that Trump is basically out of votes in Wisconsin?

Yeah everything except Richland (which Biden also probably wins on their outstanding ballots) in terms of what is left to be counted.

So there's Richland, a little bit of Eau Claire and Milwaukee, and then the Biden gains from Kenosha that're for some reason taking forever to get released?

Eau Claire is likely done based on their county website. Milwaukee also seems effectively done.

Ah, I see. NYT is being a bit strange then, because it's listing them as 93% and 98% (but not >98%) respectively.

[VAR]

If anyone’s wondering, Trump is leading by 7 in ME-02.

[wbrocks67]

How certain are we Biden has a winning lead in WI?

It seems like absolute best case scenario for Trump is that he cuts the lead by 5000 in Kenosha. (Assuming absentee votes like in person, which it won't.)

What does that leave?

I may be wrong, but isn't the issue that we know Biden got 10K out of Kenosha but they don't know why the SOS isn't updating with it?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

How certain are we Biden has a winning lead in WI?

It seems like absolute best case scenario for Trump is that he cuts the lead by 5000 in Kenosha. (Assuming absentee votes like in person, which it won't.)

What does that leave?

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323961092842917889

[Scottholes 2.0]

Biden's margin just increase 0.2% in Wisconsin! Yes! He's got this!

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Apologize now or my father will shut down this site.

[Asta]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323959890637918208?s=20

[Meclazine for Israel]

Biden has extended his lead in WI to his greatest level so far.

The MI gap has dropped from 64,000 to 48,800 for Biden.

WI - Biden up by 11,034 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~322,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 155,000 of them. (48.3%)

MI - Biden down by 48,800 (84% counted)

Of the remaining ~850,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 450,000 of them. (52.9%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining ~410,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 256,000 of them. (62.4%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining~ 283,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 180,000 of them. (63.5%)

PA - Biden down by 678,000 (74% counted)

Of the remaining ~1,867,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 1,272,000 of them. (67.7%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 5 states above and win NV to win the Presidency with an EC vote of 270 exactly.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

For more Michigan screwiness, the NYT map has Biden leading Antrim County (along the northwestern edge of the "mitten") 62.5-32.3 with >98% of the vote reported.

This is a solidly Republican county.  It went for Trump by +28.4 in 2016.  

Fairly certain someone plugged in the numbers backwards (though, as I said before: after the last 12-hours, a 58 pt. swing? SURE!!!! WHY NOT?!)

[n1240]

New dump from Macomb

Biden 36733
Trump 25391

Still some absentee votes left to count here but Biden keeps narrowing the margin here.

Media results seem to be missing Ingham county final results still so Trump lead in Michigan is something like 30k right now. Biden could very well end up winning the state by around 3%.

[MasterJedi]

So where did the condescending doomers go with their no data just saying "shut and believe me"? Obviously votes still to count, Trump can still win but really looking good for Biden.

[Scottholes 2.0]

So where did the condescending doomers go with their no data just saying "shut and believe me"? Obviously votes still to count, Trump can still win but really looking good for Biden.

Wisconsin is making me proud this morning, even if the Biden winning margin is narrower than expected!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

So where did the condescending doomers go with their no data just saying "shut and believe me"? Obviously votes still to count, Trump can still win but really looking good for Biden.

I don't necessarily mind the doomers as much (or the Trump supporters who only come here to post "HAHAHAHAHAHAH"), but I will say it's nice to be able to hear my thoughts.  

[DrScholl]

I don't even drink, but this election has made me want liquor. Brown liquor.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Biden might actually win Michigan by 5 points.

[Podgy the Bear]

Biden's vote deficit in MI down to 25K.  He's moving fast to take over.

Leading in WI by 20K.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

What a night!

[philly09]

Biden up by 20,000 in WI right now. Kenosha is in. Trump only winning the county by 3 now.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

I knew Biden would win, did not expect it to be like this!

[wbrocks67]

Biden down 2K votes in Michigan now.

[MillennialModerate]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

[wbrocks67]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Isn't all of the vote out in ATL?

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

>mfw Trump voters are sent to re-education camps in January

[SPQR]

Biden might actually win Michigan by 5 points.

Decent-ish.
Wisconsin would remain very underwhelming, though.