2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 630179 times)
ibagli
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« Reply #4825 on: November 04, 2020, 02:37:58 AM »


He always does it. There was a whole flash scandal in 2016 when Howard Dean used it to allege that Trump was on cocaine.
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #4826 on: November 04, 2020, 02:38:04 AM »

https://www.tmj4.com/electionblog

Quote
Latest updates:

1:22 p.m. -- Milwaukee ballots just shy of 2016 total

Milwaukee had 78,160 voters at the polls on Election Day. Including absentee votes which have yet to be fully counted, Milwaukee had 247,501 votes in this election. That’s a few hundred shy of the 2016 turnout: 247,836, Ben Jordan reports.

MILWAUKEE COUNTY HAD LESS VOTES THAN 2016
decreased population as well. a few things to note he could gets clinton vote lead anyway along with kenosha and a few others tightening up. No way Trump leads Kenosha by 22

The fact that he is winning kenosha by that much is a sign of backlash against the BLM.
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charcuterie
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« Reply #4827 on: November 04, 2020, 02:38:28 AM »

Anyone know if Gideon still has a chance? Looking at the numbers on NYT and Decision Desk, it looks possible although unlikely.
The NYT has Georgia as tilt Biden. We'll have to see what direction it tends to later this morning.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #4828 on: November 04, 2020, 02:38:37 AM »

https://www.tmj4.com/electionblog

Quote
Latest updates:

1:22 p.m. -- Milwaukee ballots just shy of 2016 total

Milwaukee had 78,160 voters at the polls on Election Day. Including absentee votes which have yet to be fully counted, Milwaukee had 247,501 votes in this election. That’s a few hundred shy of the 2016 turnout: 247,836, Ben Jordan reports.

MILWAUKEE COUNTY HAD LESS VOTES THAN 2016
decreased population as well. a few things to note he could gets clinton vote lead anyway along with kenosha and a few others tightening up. No way Trump leads Kenosha by 22

The fact that he is winning kenosha by that much is a sign of back lash against the BLM.

Or that they haven't processed their mail in ballots.
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #4829 on: November 04, 2020, 02:38:44 AM »

https://www.tmj4.com/electionblog

Quote
Latest updates:

1:22 p.m. -- Milwaukee ballots just shy of 2016 total

Milwaukee had 78,160 voters at the polls on Election Day. Including absentee votes which have yet to be fully counted, Milwaukee had 247,501 votes in this election. That’s a few hundred shy of the 2016 turnout: 247,836, Ben Jordan reports.

MILWAUKEE COUNTY HAD LESS VOTES THAN 2016
decreased population as well. a few things to note he could gets clinton vote lead anyway along with kenosha and a few others tightening up. No way Trump leads Kenosha by 22

The fact that he is winning kenosha by that much is a sign of back lash against the BLM.
even if you believed that, you have seen similar results compared to 2016 all across Wisconsin
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politics_king
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« Reply #4830 on: November 04, 2020, 02:38:47 AM »

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

I can see why Donald Trump wants to stop late voting.

If he stops counting now, he is ahead 120,000 votes in both states.

This is not over by any means.

Welcome to the s*** show.
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tjstarling
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« Reply #4831 on: November 04, 2020, 02:38:52 AM »

I don't know why anybody in their mind would believe that Berine whould be doing better after seeing what just happed to Biden in FL. The Fact is Trump effectively convinced many Cuban and Venezuelan voters that Joe Biden of all people was a socialist

Trump attacks worked and that should scare the heck out of AOC or any Dems that supports Berinie. If anything the Berinie whould has lost Florida by even bigger numbers
I also think the Trump would have also won AZ and been well on his way to winning all of the Midwest states.


Candidate X did well with this group in primary means candidate x does well with this group in general election is really lazy thinking. Clearly Biden’s performance in the primary with working class whites was and indicator he would do well in the general was on point. Oh, wait....
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roxas11
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« Reply #4832 on: November 04, 2020, 02:39:18 AM »

I don't know why anybody in their mind would believe that Berine whould be doing better after seeing what just happed to Biden in FL. The Fact is Trump effectively convinced many Cuban and Venezuelan voters that Joe Biden of all people was a socialist

Trump attacks worked and that should scare the heck out of AOC or any Dems that supports Berinie. If anything the Berinie whould has lost Florida by even bigger numbers
I also think the Trump would have also won AZ and been well on his way to winning all of the Midwest states.

When Clinton loses, it’s Bernie’s fault. If Biden loses, it’s also Bernie’s fault.

I never said that anything like that

I simply saiid that he whould have done worse in FL and AZ had he been the nominie
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emailking
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« Reply #4833 on: November 04, 2020, 02:39:27 AM »

Anyone know if Gideon still has a chance? Looking at the numbers on NYT and Decision Desk, it looks possible although unlikely.

Depends what happens with the 2nd choices but yeah doesn't look very good.
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jfern
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« Reply #4834 on: November 04, 2020, 02:40:08 AM »

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #4835 on: November 04, 2020, 02:40:35 AM »

I don't know why anybody in their mind would believe that Berine whould be doing better after seeing what just happed to Biden in FL. The Fact is Trump effectively convinced many Cuban and Venezuelan voters that Joe Biden of all people was a socialist

Trump attacks worked and that should scare the heck out of AOC or any Dems that supports Berinie. If anything the Berinie whould has lost Florida by even bigger numbers
I also think that  Trump would have also won AZ and been well on his way to winning all of the Midwest states.


Bernie would have gotten other votes than Biden couldn't get.  Bernie had been very good at attracting apolitical voters, unlike Biden and other centrists, because he brings up issues the likes of Biden ignore.  Like you said, Trump and Republicans call everyone a communist or whatever, so there was nothing to gain by nominating a centrist like Biden.
Also if you think Bernie would have lost Arizona, you know absolutely nothing about Arizona and why it is becoming a blue state.  
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politics_king
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« Reply #4836 on: November 04, 2020, 02:40:51 AM »

I'm really not going to bed until 3am tonight... Ugh.
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Storr
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« Reply #4837 on: November 04, 2020, 02:40:59 AM »

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.
This is assuming AZ goes Biden, right?
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #4838 on: November 04, 2020, 02:41:21 AM »

How do you guys feel about Georgia? 50/50?
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #4839 on: November 04, 2020, 02:41:40 AM »

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.
This is assuming AZ goes Biden, right?
Az was already called for Biden
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politics_king
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« Reply #4840 on: November 04, 2020, 02:41:46 AM »

I don't know why anybody in their mind would believe that Berine whould be doing better after seeing what just happed to Biden in FL. The Fact is Trump effectively convinced many Cuban and Venezuelan voters that Joe Biden of all people was a socialist

Trump attacks worked and that should scare the heck out of AOC or any Dems that supports Berinie. If anything the Berinie whould has lost Florida by even bigger numbers
I also think that  Trump would have also won AZ and been well on his way to winning all of the Midwest states.


Bernie would have gotten other votes than Biden couldn't get.  Bernie had been very good at attracting apolitical voters, unlike Biden and other centrists, because he brings up issues the likes of Biden ignore.  Like you said, Trump and Republicans call everyone a communist or whatever, so there was nothing to gain by nominating a centrist like Biden.
Also if you think Bernie would have lost Arizona, you know absolutely nothing about Arizona and why it is becoming a blue state.  

Exactly, Bernie would've won Arizona very handily. This is just mind-numbing right now.
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tjstarling
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« Reply #4841 on: November 04, 2020, 02:41:48 AM »

I don't know why anybody in their mind would believe that Berine whould be doing better after seeing what just happed to Biden in FL. The Fact is Trump effectively convinced many Cuban and Venezuelan voters that Joe Biden of all people was a socialist

Trump attacks worked and that should scare the heck out of AOC or any Dems that supports Berinie. If anything the Berinie whould has lost Florida by even bigger numbers
I also think that  Trump would have also won AZ and been well on his way to winning all of the Midwest states.


Bernie would have gotten other votes than Biden couldn't get.  Bernie had been very good at attracting apolitical voters, unlike Biden and other centrists, because he brings up issues the likes of Biden ignore.  Like you said, Trump and Republicans call everyone a communist or whatever, so there was nothing to gain by nominating a centrist like Biden.
Also if you think Bernie would have lost Arizona, you know absolutely nothing about Arizona and why it is becoming a blue state.  
Who exactly?
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Hassan 2022
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« Reply #4842 on: November 04, 2020, 02:41:55 AM »

How do you guys feel about Georgia? 50/50?

Could go either way.
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Storr
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« Reply #4843 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:06 AM »

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.
This is assuming AZ goes Biden, right?
Az was already called for Biden
By Fox News, only (afaik).
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #4844 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:08 AM »

How do you guys feel about Georgia? 50/50?

No idea so ima just trust the needle: 60/40. They've been right so far.
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jfern
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« Reply #4845 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:10 AM »

Are there much more votes still coming in? I think I noticed a difference in MI but not the other states.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #4846 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:12 AM »

86-99%
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #4847 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:15 AM »

The only good thing is that at least so far nothing has happened that would keep Trump from being laughed out of court if he tries to contest the VBM votes. Still, it is closer than I'd have liked and it looks more likely than not right now that Mitch will still be Majority Leader in the Senate. Which means no stimulus no matter who wins the White House and tomorrow will be brutal on Wall Street.
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charcuterie
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« Reply #4848 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:20 AM »

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.
This is assuming AZ goes Biden, right?
Az was already called for Biden
Only by Fox News, right?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4849 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:29 AM »

I don't know why anybody in their mind would believe that Berine whould be doing better after seeing what just happed to Biden in FL. The Fact is Trump effectively convinced many Cuban and Venezuelan voters that Joe Biden of all people was a socialist

Trump attacks worked and that should scare the heck out of AOC or any Dems that supports Berinie. If anything the Berinie whould has lost Florida by even bigger numbers
I also think that  Trump would have also won AZ and been well on his way to winning all of the Midwest states.


Bernie would have gotten other votes than Biden couldn't get.  Bernie had been very good at attracting apolitical voters, unlike Biden and other centrists, because he brings up issues the likes of Biden ignore.  Like you said, Trump and Republicans call everyone a communist or whatever, so there was nothing to gain by nominating a centrist like Biden.
Also if you think Bernie would have lost Arizona, you know absolutely nothing about Arizona and why it is becoming a blue state. 
>Biden
>"centrists"
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