2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[lfromnj]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

Clinton got 288k total and a 160k lead .

[Bootes Void]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

So he's underperforming Clinton in a city he NEEDS to win.

Call it for Trump already.

Biden hasnt underperformed clinton in any urban areas and I think this batch will be fairly dem friendly

[Alcibiades]

If Biden’s lead of 8 holds in MN, it’s hard to see him losing the Rust Belt trio.

[Bootes Void]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

Clinton got 288k total and a 160k lead .

oh my bad, this isnt good for Biden, recount territory?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

So he's underperforming Clinton in a city he NEEDS to win.

Call it for Trump already.

OMG, how many times do people have to explain the red mirage?

[Cali123]

Trump is going to win. He's leading in every uncalled state other than NV, AZ, and Maine.

It's a close nail biter but I put my money on Trump being reelected.

[justfollowingtheelections]

Trump is going to win. He's leading in every uncalled state other than NV, AZ, and Maine.

Biden is "only" up by 5% in Nevada and 7% in Maine, less than the margins which had been anticipated. Arizona is looking good for Biden, but it could very well be his only flip at this point (aside from NE-02). Florida, Texas, Iowa, and Ohio are already gone for him.

Any Democrat would have won Arizona.  It has nothing to do with Biden.  Just look at Kelly's numbers or Tipirneni's.  Biden deserves no credit IMO.  We were facing the most idiotic president ever, and somehow, the party elites managed to nominate someone who even makes Trump look smart (at times).

[Alben Barkley]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

So he's underperforming Clinton in a city he NEEDS to win.

Call it for Trump already.

He only is “underperforming” because it’s largely the more Democratic-leaning mail vote that is out.

Not gonna call it for Trump when the math says otherwise.

Also, he actually wouldn’t need to win it if he wins GA (math says he is on track to do that too, narrowly). Then he needs just ONE of the big three now that he’s flipped AZ and NE-02.

[Bootes Void]

Trump is going to win. He's leading in every uncalled state other than NV, AZ, and Maine.

It's a close nail biter but I put my money on Trump being reelected.

I think Biden narrowly pulls of Ga. Pa is also likely to go dem when VBM comes in

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Biden is already almost at Clinton's vote total. Turnout is insane.

[JGibson]

Trump is set to speak, and is likely planning to prematurely declare himself the winner of the race when there are several million outstanding votes still out in several critical states.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

This country is the worse. I'm looking at a lot of people differently right about now.

Ugh, I'll never trust the polls again. Just disgusting.

[W]

I'm optimistic about Georgia and the midwest but we lost a lot of good House freshmen tonight. That's really bugging me.

[lfromnj]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

Clinton got 288k total and a 160k lead .

oh my bad, this isnt good for Biden, recount territory?

Possibly.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I'm optimistic about Georgia and the midwest but we lost a lot of good House freshmen tonight. That's really bugging me.

Yeah, wtf happened?

[Bootes Void]

Nevada looks tight, how you feeling about this? Narrow Biden win?

[Calthrina950]

Trump is going to win. He's leading in every uncalled state other than NV, AZ, and Maine.

Biden is "only" up by 5% in Nevada and 7% in Maine, less than the margins which had been anticipated. Arizona is looking good for Biden, but it could very well be his only flip at this point (aside from NE-02). Florida, Texas, Iowa, and Ohio are already gone for him.

Any Democrat would have won Arizona.  It has nothing to do with Biden.  Just look at Kelly's numbers or Tipirneni's.  Biden deserves no credit IMO.  We were facing the most idiotic president ever, and somehow, the party elites managed to nominate someone who even makes Trump look smart (at times).

I agree with you there. Arizona is a state that is abandoning the Republican Party. I call it John McCain's last revenge.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Nevada looks tight, how you feeling about this? Narrow Biden win?

Would take a lot for Biden to lose here.

[GoTfan]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

So he's underperforming Clinton in a city he NEEDS to win.

Call it for Trump already.

He only is “underperforming” because it’s largely the more Democratic-leaning mail vote that is out.

Not gonna call it for Trump when the math says otherwise.

Also, he actually wouldn’t need to win it if he wins GA (math says he is on track to do that too, narrowly). Then he needs just ONE of the big three now that he’s flipped AZ and NE-02.

That's still a very, very, VERY big if.

[Alben Barkley]

If you think Trump is going to win, you are essentially saying that you think Minnesota (which counted mail ballots quicker than other midwest states) is going to vote TEN POINTS to the left of Wisconsin. Think about that for a second.

[DrScholl]

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

So he's underperforming Clinton in a city he NEEDS to win.

Call it for Trump already.

So you want the state to be called for Trump even though all the votes have not been counted? That's not surprising.

[Calthrina950]

POLITICO has apparently projected Nancy Mace the winner over Joe Cunningham in South Carolina. And Chip Roy has won reelection against Wendy Davis in Texas. Republicans are definitely overperforming in the House as well tonight, although that chamber will stay in Democratic hands.

[justfollowingtheelections]

I'm optimistic about Georgia and the midwest but we lost a lot of good House freshmen tonight. That's really bugging me.

Who?  Shalala?  LOL

I am hopeful we are going to pick a few more House seats in Cali (again).  I'd take a few more California Democrats over the likes of Shalala or Van Drew.

[politics_king]

If Ossoff holds Perdue under 50% then it will be a run-off. That means 2 Georgia Special elections that could determine the Senate in the first week of January.

[Suburbia]

K friends imma sleep now but before I go a few thoughts:

1. Not the anticipated D wave election on the presidential level by a long shot but probably still a win for Biden. He's probably favored in AZ, WI, NV, and MI and that's all he needs. The fact that Trump still can't count on Georgia (an unexpected bright-ish spot for Dems) and (to a much lesser extent) North Carolina doesn't help either.

2. Legislative humiliation. I'm not sure if the Democrats will net lose seats in the House or not but they certainly aren't picking up an appreciable number as of my writing this. In the Senate, the Democrats are having to claw their way to Susan Collins's seat, which should tell you all you need to know. Once again, I think Georgia might be an unexpected bright-ish spot, but this is a straight up bad performance.

3. I seriously never want to hear another electability case again. Twice in a row we've nominated these ostensibly electable moderates who clearly energize no one after the party put its thumb on the scale, and twice in a row we've been burned. I said this before, but in 2016 Bernie performed well among WWC in the Rust Belt who Clinton lost and in 2020 Bernie performed well among Hispanics who, honestly, Biden might have lost absent COVID. This is just atrocious. All of the states Biden was supposed to lock down were either always going D (Arizona) or always going R (Florida, Ohio, etc.) and a progressive might have actually done better in states like Texas, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada. Suffice it to say, barring a real risk of like nuclear war or something, I will not be voting for non-progressive Democrats for president for the foreseeable future, and I encourage any other progressives or even moderates who want to see the party actually win to take a similar pledge. I'm still going to vote and cure ballots for Warnock (and Ossoff if he gets to a runoff), but frankly downballot Dems are running out of goodwill as well.

You think Bernie would have won?