2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[MillennialModerate]

So if Biden wins, would he be a lame duck with a GOP Senate and 2022 Midterm stacked against him?

But, no Trump, so still a win for the world.

[7,052,770]

To win the Senate, Dems need two out of:

Maine, Montana, North Carolina, Alaska, and the 2 Georgia seats

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

This could be the first time a Democrat has won without PA since 1948.

[gf20202]

NE-02 looks done for Biden:

Aaron Sanderford @asanderford
Biden appears to have held his ground on the first Douglas County releases of Election Day voting from 2p-8p. It appears  @JoeBiden will win #NE02's single electoral vote. Story coming quickly on
@OWHnews

https://twitter.com/asanderford/status/1323866707472113664

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Does a Biden Presidency and a GOP Senate mean no stimulus checks?

Yeah. Mitch is not going to do any big bills for President Biden.

The run-off in Georgia could be huge

Doubtful. It looks to be D vs. R, which I expect the R to win.

However, while Senate control looks rough for the Ds, its still possible.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

So if Biden wins, would he be a lame duck with a GOP Senate and 2022 Midterm stacked against him?

Hammer home how he wants to give another stimulus but Republicans won’t allow it. Mitch won’t give you back your money.

The stimulus was this year and they still couldn't win the Senate. What are they going to run on in 2022?

[South Dakota Democrat]

Does a Biden Presidency and a GOP Senate mean no stimulus checks?

Yeah. Mitch is not going to do any big bills for President Biden.

The run-off in Georgia could be huge

The top two Republican candidates combined for over 50%.

The counting isn't done yet, genius.

[The Free North]

So potentially we have WI as lean Biden
Michigan and PA slightly to the right of that
Georgia as a possible recount

[Storr]

CNN says only 16% of the 64% in is early vote and they expect early vote in PA to be around 45%, definitely good for Biden

[Frodo]

At this point, given how this night has shaped up, I almost don't want Biden to win anymore.  Not like this, clawing and scraping for every last electoral vote to get him to 270.   

[Scottholes 2.0]

I don't see how Biden can be very confident about winning Wisconsin. What is Biden's path in WI now that Madison (Dane County) is mostly in?

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Trump's Pennsylvania lead is looking insurmountable at this point  

[DrScholl]

Trump is at 67% in Forsyth County, Georgia. Kemp got 70% there.

[Bootes Void]

Biden creeping up In Wisconsin and he may pull it off

[CrimsonCommander688]

What the point about Biden winning if he's just going to be a powerless figurehead?  He's just going to enable the GOP to win in 2024 if he doesn't get anything accomplished.  

Seems like USA is screwed if ether Trump or Biden wins.

[forsythvoter]

NBC now reporting Republicans are now starting to focus on GA. Concern that the remaining votes out in metro ATL favor Ds more than even current margins in those counties

[GALeftist]

Too tired to say anything except that if the Democrats do not nominate a progressive in 2024 I'm not voting Democrat.

[Bootes Void]

Trump's Pennsylvania lead is looking insurmountable at this point  

Don't forget VBM.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323868433059057666?s=20

[Hassan 2022]

Biden officially projected to win MN on NYT.

[Illiniwek]

I don't see how Biden can be very confident about winning Wisconsin. What is Biden's path in WI now that Madison (Dane County) is mostly in?

Milwaukee?

[MillennialModerate]

At this point, given how this night has shaped up, I almost don't want Biden to win anymore.  Not like this, clawing and scraping for every last electoral vote to get him to 270.   

This is a repulsive thought

[MasterJedi]

I don't see how Biden can be very confident about winning Wisconsin. What is Biden's path in WI now that Madison (Dane County) is mostly in?

WOW margin down and not much of Milwaukee is in at all.

[Non Swing Voter]

So how are we currently feeling about:

MI?

WI?

PA?

MI: At this point Trump has surpassed or nearly surpassed his total 2016 votes in a few traditionally Republican counties (eg. Ottawa) and also in Flint. His margin in key counties like Macomb is substantial but he's farther from hitting his 2016 vote totals. Typically the Democratic votes in Detroit come late in Michigan even without mail ins, but on the other hand Michigan Republicans have a strong mail in vote operation and I doubt they'll be getting blown out like they will be in Pennsylvania. One bright spot for Biden is that he won back Leelaunau and has 1,000 more voters than Hillary did with 90% reporting. Probably the hardest state to call right now but it has the most for Biden to be happy about outside of the suburbs. Tilt Biden I guess?

WI: Everything I'm seeing suggests Trump will win. He's improving his vote totals in key southwestern counties that Biden was supposed to have won back and the Wisconsin suburbs are famously inflexible to the usual trends. In Lafayette Trump has pulled 1000 brand new voters straight out of his ass when they were supposed to be defecting in droves to Biden. The only silver lining for Biden is that he's somehow doing even better in Madison, but Madison alone ain't gonna cut it. Unless Biden pulls out crazy numbers from Milwaukee or its surrounding suburbs or unless it turns out the maps are lying and actually there are thousands of mail ins for those key southwestern states and turnout is almost double 2016 somehow I don't see a path for Biden and frankly I want to be proven wrong. Likely Trump.

PA: There are similarly bad signs for Biden in Trump's total votes in counties like Erie, but at least Biden can rest safe knowing hundreds of thousands of votes will arrive near the end of the count in his favour and his margins/turnout in the Philly suburbs will probably be substantial. The Allegheny turnout and margin will matter a ton here and I think will be decisive: if Trump does significantly worse here than his 2016 margin on the back of the suburbs (40%) then Biden has the edge but if Trump even manages to stem the bleeding to at least 35%ish then he'll be in a good position to win.

You really see this as likely Trump?  Seems like Trump isn't improving enough to offset Dane/Milwaukee.  

[Logical]

Perdue is barely outrunning Trump by less than half a point. If Biden takes Georgia then we might have a double runoff in January that would decide the control of the senate after all.