2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 606932 times)
ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3250 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:31 PM »


Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

No, he has definitely won.

Can you seriously STFU you broken record!? Unless you actually have some analysis or vote totals to report, please go sit in the corner while the grown-ups actually try to follow the election.

 seriously man, you've become nothing more than purely annoying tonight

This 'broken record' has been more right than you have.

You really need to cool it.
Please concentrate on data, rather than repeating the same thing over and over again.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3251 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:45 PM »

It's only been mentioned a couple of times, but as is the case with Johnson County (KS): anytime a candidate flips a county that hasn't voted a certain way in over a century -- pure election junkie fodder. 
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GALeftist
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« Reply #3252 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:53 PM »


Nothing, it's what I did, but evidently a fair few Americans just weren't willing to do it.
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CrimsonCommander688
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« Reply #3253 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:54 PM »

Looks like the GOP might retake the house.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #3254 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:08 PM »

wait what?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3255 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:11 PM »


Jesus take the wheel. Kelly+11. Good luck folks

We shall see.

Isnt that great for Biden and Kelly?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3256 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:12 PM »


For one month, I will change my signature to the FaceApp of Theresa Greenfield and Rick Scott if FL goes R and IASEN goes D. Who's with me?
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #3257 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:22 PM »

hahahahahaha
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #3258 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:46 PM »

NE-02 look good so far
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GoTfan
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« Reply #3259 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:47 PM »


Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

No, he has definitely won.

Can you seriously STFU you broken record!? Unless you actually have some analysis or vote totals to report, please go sit in the corner while the grown-ups actually try to follow the election.

 seriously man, you've become nothing more than purely annoying tonight

This 'broken record' has been more right than you have.

You really need to cool it.
Please concentrate on data, rather than repeating the same thing over and over again.

I am, and the data points to Trump being re-elected. Deny it all you want, it doesn't change reality.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #3260 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:48 PM »

This is 2018 2.0. And the electoral college is gonna match the 2018 house popular vote by state.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #3261 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:51 PM »

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

Please. I'm not saying Democrats didn't run negative ads, but you cannot with a straight face argue that Biden campaign was fundamentally about voting for something as opposed to Trump's being almost entirely about the evil of the Socialist radicals taking over

Voting AGAINST something (i.e., against socialism) IS voting for something from a right wing perspective, though.  A left-leaning party can’t function as an “adult in the room” party with no bold message, IMO.

So Republicans were voting for ' against socialism'. Got it

Don’t be a dlck.  Yes, they were voting against an increasingly socially and economically liberal society.  That some crazy claim?
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The Free North
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« Reply #3262 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:52 PM »

Brooks County, Texas


Clinton: 74
Trump: 23

Biden: 63
Trump: 35

Consistent 10-20% swing to Trump continues in Rio Grande
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3263 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:53 PM »


Not a chance.
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Storr
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« Reply #3264 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:56 PM »

Basically everything left in Ohio is either in the cities or NE Ohio suburbs....there's a chance Biden can win it. Trump's currently up 50.8 to 47. 9 with 70% in.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #3265 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:05 PM »

North Carolina seemingly hinges entirely on Franklin and Union now.
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Pulaski
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« Reply #3266 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:07 PM »


Nothing; I was just disputing that Biden's underperforming because supposedly Trump was offering people something to vote for.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3267 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:10 PM »

Bullock leading by 1.5% in exit polling Smiley
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Badger
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« Reply #3268 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:38 PM »


Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

No, he has definitely won.

Can you seriously STFU you broken record!? Unless you actually have some analysis or vote totals to report, please go sit in the corner while the grown-ups actually try to follow the election.

 seriously man, you've become nothing more than purely annoying tonight

This 'broken record' has been more right than you have.

If your goal is to jump up and down and say look at me look at me everyone how right I was, great. You accomplish that in Spades multiple times about 20 Pages ago. Give it a f****** rest
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #3269 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:39 PM »

So is Ashland County, WI flipping to Trump?
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Harry
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« Reply #3270 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:47 PM »

I'll go out on a limb and say that Ohio is close enough that Biden should win MI/WI/PA and therefore the White House. But it's going to be a tough week before that's confirmed.
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charcuterie
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« Reply #3271 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:52 PM »

We'll see...
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xavier110
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« Reply #3272 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:52 PM »


Jesus take the wheel. Kelly+11. Good luck folks

We shall see.

Isnt that great for Biden and Kelly?

Yes, Biden is in it. I am afraid of the rurals. But so far, we are OK.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #3273 on: November 03, 2020, 10:07:12 PM »

Yep, this is 2004/1948 all over again.

Fairly unpopular incumbent mismanages a crisis (Coronavirus, Iraq war) but still manages to get reelected off of social issues (ssm, blm).

Also the biggest polling error since 1948. Nate Silver is definitely out of a job.

What a mess.

You realize Nate Silver isn't a pollster, right?  When you're designing a model based on polling + other factors and the polling is off, there's only so much you can do.
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Badger
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« Reply #3274 on: November 03, 2020, 10:07:17 PM »


Florida's exit poll was 49% each Sad
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