2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Statilius the Epicurean]

Is Texas done for Biden?

He never had a chance there, if we're being realistic.

Looks like it might be around Beto numbers?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Seriously does anyone actually know how many mail-in votes there are, none of these "reporting" numbers make sense

[Kuumo]

Is Texas done for Biden?

Based on the suburban counties, it looks like he's going to lose by 2 or 3, like Beto.

[GP270watch]

Is Texas done for Biden?

Looks like it, didn't build big enough vote lead where he needed and heavily Hispanic counties are underperforming Clinton so far.

[Crucial Waukesha]

Prediction from Tender:

Biden might actually lose this election.

No, he's almost certainly going to improve over Hillary well enough to win. Miami is not the pattern but the exception.

Look at the border counties of Texas.  There is a pattern

[Calthrina950]

So are the Dems going to lose Texas because the Rio Grande swung like 30% against them?

Texas looks like it is going to resemble the 2018 result. O'Rourke did worse in the Rio Grande Valley than Clinton, won Harris County by an underwhelming margin, came within single digits in Denton/Collin, narrowly won Williamson, virtually tied Tarrant with Cruz...and all of these results are happening tonight. Hence, I believe Trump will narrowly hold the state.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Can NBC please stop dicking around and call Illinois and Rhode Island for Biden?

Jesus.

The only why haven't they been called yet states on the NY Times are IN and MO.

[Dr. Arch]

People are getting hazed by the EDay and Early Vote disparity in different states. MI is very clearly ED votes right now (and very little of it).

[BigSerg]

So are the Dems going to lose Texas because the Rio Grande swung like 30% against them?

Latinos for Trump!!!!!!!!

[Storr]

Whats happening in Michigan now? How can Biden lose Oakland county?

He's not, 26% of the vote is in.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Whats happening in Michigan now? How can Biden lose Oakland county?

Oakland County is not voting Trump. You can quote me on that.

[Bojack Horseman]

Whats happening in Michigan now? How can Biden lose Oakland county?

Oakland County is not voting Trump. You can quote me on that.

This.

[Hammy]

Prediction from Tender:

Biden might actually lose this election.

No, he's almost certainly going to improve over Hillary well enough to win. Miami is not the pattern but the exception.

Hispanics seem like they're swinging pretty hard to Trump, which puts the entire sunbelt out of play. Trump also seems like he's overperforming in rural counties.

[BlueSwan]

I'm almost certain that this is going to come down to PA.

[super6646]

Allegheny 69-31 trump? Wtf?

[GoTfan]

I'm almost certain that this is going to come down to PA.

Which, through post-election day shenanigans, will vote Trump.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

You guys need to stop reading so much into early results. IIRC Clinton led Ohio's early vote too (as in the early reported vote) before rapidly losing it.

Just relax and wait for a bigger sample.

[lfromnj]

Is Texas done for Biden?

Based on the suburban counties, it looks like he's going to lose by 2 or 3, like Beto.

Nope, he's running even with Beto in the suburban counties, running a touch behind in the big urban ones

And absolutely collapsed with Hispanics in the RGV

[forza nocta]

Wait, what about Nevada?

[TML]

I am not understanding this thing anymore. What the hell is happening with the results?

The overall pattern appears to be that Biden is doing better than Clinton with suburban whites but worse among minorities. It seems that the end result may not be apparent tonight.

[tjstarling]

It is still early and I have no idea how this will shake out, but maybe we all owe Hillary a big apology. Maybe she was never the problem and maybe Trump was always going to win 2016.

[Splash]

FYI: So far, only 45K out of the 300K reported in MI is absentee

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/HenryJGomez/status/1323796718853435394

[Red Velvet]

is this a re-realignment election lol?

the blue wall returns but so does the red wall?

Racial depolarisation.

If this is what it takes for democrats to reinvent themselves, actually having a message and stop taking minorities for granted in favor of moderate republicans, then so be it.

[RI]

Just wait: NM will be surprisingly close.