2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 11:45:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 100 101 102 103 104 [105] 106 107 108 109 110 ... 818
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617286 times)
forsythvoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2600 on: November 03, 2020, 08:31:45 PM »

Just noticing North Carolina is looking really good for Biden. The swings in the urban and suburban counties are massive.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2601 on: November 03, 2020, 08:31:53 PM »

NC is just looking good for Biden because of the absentee/early vote.

The Election Day vote will chip away the margin like sh*t ...
Logged
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,442


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2602 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:01 PM »

Only 4% of the vote in for PA, but that Biden +62 is super jarring for...well, any state. 

Traditionally in PA, Democrats jump out to an early lead before Republicans gradually chip away at it as more votes are counted.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2603 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:09 PM »

BTW, Mitch McConnell the beast himself has been projected to win.

4-6 years as Minority Leader will be so enjoyable for him lol.

McConnell will be gone by 2023 or 2024....he'll be forced out
Logged
Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
Thunder98
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,574
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2604 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:16 PM »

Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2605 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:16 PM »

Cunningham lagging a couple points behind Biden in NC. Gotta like the GOP's chances of holding the Senate right now.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2606 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:32 PM »

Just noticing North Carolina is looking really good for Biden. The swings in the urban and suburban counties are massive.

Cunningham's yo-yoed between over performing and underperforming but the difference between his and Biden's margins (underperforming the top of the ticket by 2%) is currently not very sexy at all
Logged
Hollywood
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,728
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2607 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:56 PM »

OMG Trump in Oakland County Michigan.  Do you believe in miracles/nightmares?
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,795
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2608 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:59 PM »

Regardless of the final outcome, it is a good thing that America is racially depolarizing. This forces quasi white nationalists away from the GOP and makes civil war less likely.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,728
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2609 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:05 PM »

Not to beat a dead horse here, but there is seriously something not right about the "precincts reporting" %s that are being listed. Fairfax City is reportedly almost all in, but also barely shows 3,000 votes after casting 7,367 in 2016. If that number is wrong across multiple counties in multiple states, there is something big we are missing.
Logged
BigSerg
7sergi9
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,264


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2610 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:11 PM »

Wtf!!!!!!!!!!!!

Logged
Angel of Death
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,412
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2611 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:19 PM »

Are Democrats even still on track to win the Senate?
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,240
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2612 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:23 PM »

NC is just looking good for Biden because of the absentee/early vote.

The Election Day vote will chip away the margin like sh*t ...
60% of the vote is in. At a certain point there aren't enough votes left to chip away at. (But yeah at this point it's basically seeing if Biden can hold the lead, all Dem cities are almost completely in.)
Logged
Meclazine for Israel
Meclazine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,843
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2613 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:31 PM »

Can someone update TX for me. I only have CNN in Australia.

Wolf Blitzer is pure torture.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2614 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:32 PM »

Ouch Cunningham is lagging Biden by 2%, though Tillis is barely ahead of Trump's percentage.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,305
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2615 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:34 PM »

Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2616 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:35 PM »

Everyone freaking out about Georgia needs to chill.  Of course Republicans will have a big lead without Atlanta in yet.

But NYT "Forcast Needle" takes that into consideration (do they not?).
And it shows trump's chances of winning GA at 84%.

I'm watching CBS; their model shows Biden ahead in the state.
Logged
forsythvoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2617 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:48 PM »

There's only like 15% or left in these big urban counties in NC, so not much potential to chip away at the margins there. They will end with some very large Biden swings.

Rust Belt is hard to say because don't know mix of early/mail votes.

Logged
Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
The Obamanation
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2618 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:52 PM »

AP has it 85-61 now.
Logged
NYSforKennedy2024
Kander2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2619 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:55 PM »

MEHTA UP 13 ON BOOKER (DecisionDesk)



WHERE IS THE DOOM METER GUY
Logged
pepper11
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2620 on: November 03, 2020, 08:33:58 PM »

NC needle continues to slowly move trump
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,363


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2621 on: November 03, 2020, 08:34:04 PM »

Lol Mr.Bidenmaywin Elliot county

Turns out Elliot is
75.1% for Trump and 23.7% for Clinton

The amazing white male Democrat did worse than Shillary and Obama.
Logged
LabourJersey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,185
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2622 on: November 03, 2020, 08:34:04 PM »

Not to beat a dead horse here, but there is seriously something not right about the "precincts reporting" %s that are being listed. Fairfax City is reportedly almost all in, but also barely shows 3,000 votes after casting 7,367 in 2016. If that number is wrong across multiple counties in multiple states, there is something big we are missing.

Which states is this true for?
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,236


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2623 on: November 03, 2020, 08:34:24 PM »

isn't this about the time in 2018 when everyone was dooming there was no blue wave
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2624 on: November 03, 2020, 08:34:25 PM »

What I’m seeing so far suggests Biden is doing significantly better than Hillary with white people, especially educated and suburban white people, but worse with minorities, especially Latinos, and especially Cubans. Which some polls suggested all along. Good news is that means he probably takes back the “blue wall” in the midwest. Bad news is unless that includes Ohio, this might all come down to PA and be dragged out for days/weeks.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 100 101 102 103 104 [105] 106 107 108 109 110 ... 818  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.058 seconds with 12 queries.