2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Ye We Can]

Even if Trump wins Ohio the numbers there arent great for him. I still expect Biden to win WI, MI, and PA.

[BigSerg]

Chicos se que muchos no saben español pero literalmente estoy emocionando y llorando y me urge comentar en español como un mitad latino que pensaba totalmente que Trump seria destrozado. Ahora tengo esperanza y comprendo que muchos aquí no les guste eso pero yo soy republicano y esto hace que me tiemble el corazón!!!

Dios literalmente estoy llorando y eso es una reacción mucho mas estresante que 2016. Puede que Trump pierda, pero que ganase Florida realmente es impresionante!!!!

[BudgieForce]

My ignore button is really getting a work out tonight.

[pppolitics]

Biden way up in NC with over half reporting.... Come on, that would be huge.

I just saw NC went from <1% in to suddenly 55% in

[Horus]

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

Dude, you need a seriously big drink of STFU juice right now

For what?

Alben Barkley has been stupidly terrorizing this board and acting like an asshole for months, predicting the biggest landslide, he was literally predicting 1980 or 1932 earlier in this night

For as much as some red avs complain about the hive mindedness of Trump supporters (And I completely agree with them fyi) certain Biden sycophants like Alben are no better. They just have a better vocabulary to shout down anyone not fully in line with their savior.

[Storr]

Texas is looking close but no cigar for Biden in a very early look...Biden matching but not exceeding Beto.

This seems right with what's in so far. At least Texas is now solidly in the category of close enough to invest and work towards winning in the future for Democrats.

[Gracile]

The NC numbers so far seem to be in line with a Biden win, no?

[ProudModerate2]

Everyone freaking out about Georgia needs to chill.  Of course Republicans will have a big lead without Atlanta in yet.

But NYT "Forcast Needle" takes that into consideration (do they not?).
And it shows trump's chances of winning GA at 84%.

[MillennialModerate]

This doesn't look good for Biden.

Everybody making fun of me for being a doomer is looking pretty bad right now.

Yeah. They’re really all effing idiots

[Crumpets]

Biden way up in NC with over half reporting.... Come on, that would be huge.

I just saw NC went from <1% in to suddenly 55% in

And the needle still seems to think Biden is favored there, if only narrowly.

EDIT: Spoke too soon, now 56% Trump.

[GoTfan]

Biden sycophants have suddenly gone quiet.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

"Yeah...well...I bet you Marianne Williamson wins Florida!"

[It’s so Joever]

The NC numbers so far seem to be in line with a Biden win, no?

Thats with many R-heavy areas not reporting.

[wbrocks67]

It appears Biden is doing way better with whites everywhere, whereas the Cuban vote screwed him in FL.

Also, GA has 17% in. Don't know why people are freaking out.

Maybe the CNN exit poll was right, it had Trump approval at 54/45. By that, they also had Georgia at Biden +2.

[Non Swing Voter]

The NC numbers so far seem to be in line with a Biden win, no?

Yes, this is the state I'm most optimistic about for Biden.  If Biden wins this then it's a realigning election where educated upper middle class suburbs are clearly aligning with Democrats nationally, not just in places like NOVA.

[Young Conservative]

is this a re-realignment election lol?

the blue wall returns but so does the red wall?

[DrScholl]

Again, can we please calm down?

[Horatii]

You guys are hilarious.

[Calthrina950]

This doesn't look good for Biden.

Everybody making fun of me for being a doomer is looking pretty bad right now.

If after everything, Trump wins again or makes it close, I'm not going to trust the polls again. This is seeming like a 2016 redux.

Except the FL polls were all over the place--and I'd been saying all election not to trust them because the state always does whatever it wants in the end.

And you were right. I had predicted Florida as a narrow Biden win, but as I said the other day, I anticipated that this state could go either way, with the Miami-Dade vs. outstate swings that we saw in 2018. And as in 2018, it appears that the Miami-Dade swing has prevailed, and will hand Florida to Trump.

[͘]

Again, can we please calm down?

no.

[Xing]

North Carolina looks really good for Biden...

[Statilius the Epicurean]

is this a re-realignment election lol?

the blue wall returns but so does the red wall?

Racial depolarisation.

[Catalyst138]

is this a re-realignment election lol?

the blue wall returns but so does the red wall?

2012 part 2.

[BlueSwan]

NYT needle just turned to Trump in NC as well.

It's all going to come down to PA, folks. This is a legit nightmare.

[SunSt0rm]

Its not only Cuban, but Biden has a Hispanic problem

Hispanic voters per early 2020 exit polls:

Florida:
2016: Clinton +27
2020: Biden +8

Georgia:
2016: Clinton +40
2020: Biden +25

Ohio:
2016: Clinton +41
2020: Biden +24

Source: CNN