2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 606920 times)
Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1575 on: November 03, 2020, 06:40:20 PM »
Trump is completely and utterly f—ked. I’ve seen enough, calling it right now. Those Kenton and Fayette numbers are more than enough.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #1576 on: November 03, 2020, 06:40:25 PM »
ITT: Not understanding you are looking at >70% early vote
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Torrain
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« Reply #1577 on: November 03, 2020, 06:40:32 PM »
Quote from: MasterJedi on November 03, 2020, 06:39:51 PM
Still at work for 20 min, where are you guys getting the votes from?

NY Times, Politico and CNN are all reporting.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

https://www.politico.com/2020-election/results/president/
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Beet
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« Reply #1578 on: November 03, 2020, 06:40:36 PM »
PredictIt is a lot more muted than in 2016. At this time four years ago, Clinton was trading at 80%-90%. Now Biden is around 68%-70%.
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Pyro
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« Reply #1579 on: November 03, 2020, 06:40:38 PM »
lol @ McGrath underperforming Biden
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politics_king
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« Reply #1580 on: November 03, 2020, 06:40:41 PM »
Can it be 8pm yet here in Cali.
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musicblind
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« Reply #1581 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:02 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on November 03, 2020, 06:33:59 PM
Lol Politico now has Biden "winning" in Kentucky with a full 8% in. Big, if true.
Quote from: Crumpets on November 03, 2020, 06:33:59 PM
Lol Politico now has Biden "winning" in Kentucky with a full 8% in. Big, if true.

I saw that. Screenshotted it just cause it's likely the only time we'll see Kentucky that color.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #1582 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:02 PM »
I had Donald Trump narrowly winning Fayette County.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1583 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:09 PM »
Quote from: EliteLX on November 03, 2020, 06:37:55 PM
Can we all have a bit of bipartisan peace for a minute here here? Like.. a cease fire for at least a half hour or so and just analyze these early results before going for each others heads or claiming some landslide as a figment of our imaginations.

Yes
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #1584 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:18 PM »
lemme just
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Rand
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« Reply #1585 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:18 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 03, 2020, 06:38:55 PM
THOSE KENTON COUNTY NUMBERS, MY GOD!!!

AHHHHHHH I’M GONNA C-M!!!!!

Quote from: SirWoodbury on August 29, 2020, 11:21:06 AM
OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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American2020
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« Reply #1586 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:22 PM »
If Trump wins less strongly in Kentucky and Indiana, I don't expect he'll be on fire in swing states.
Suburbans are going to revolt against Trump.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1587 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:25 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 03, 2020, 06:39:41 PM
Biden is getting Joe Donnelly 2018 numbers in rural Indiana.


That is what I'm noticing as well.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #1588 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:32 PM »
I want to see Middlesex County, NJ numbers
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #1589 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:50 PM »
Biden has passed Hillary's 2016 total in Boone County, Indiana, 11,378 vs 10,181
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1590 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:58 PM »
OK basically when the counties initially populate it's all early vote and it's clear that the early vote is going massively for Biden.  Lets see the results when counties get to 100%, particularly the suburban ones.
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͘
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« Reply #1591 on: November 03, 2020, 06:42:09 PM »

Big NUT!
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1592 on: November 03, 2020, 06:42:48 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 06:37:49 PM
Is there any evidence of a massive increase in turnout in these rurals?  That was the way Trump was going to keep things competitive generally.

Not much because counties have not reported that much... But Robertson County KY, the one at 93% in where there is a narrow swing to Trump, is 883 Trump and 252 Biden, compared to a total turnout of 1013 in 2016. So that is definitely a turnout increase, though it is impossible to say if the turnout increase is any bigger (or smaller) than turnout increases in urban/suburban areas.

But that is a turnout increase and a pro-Trump swing in that single county so far, so that is at least one good thing for Trump that maybe means he has some sort of chance.
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DaWN
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« Reply #1593 on: November 03, 2020, 06:42:49 PM »
I think we overreacted to early votes skewing some results if I'm honest. Glad we learned this lesson now and not in actually competitive states mind....
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #1594 on: November 03, 2020, 06:42:52 PM »
Since on the last page will ask again, since I"m still at work for 20 min, where are people getting the results from?
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American2020
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« Reply #1595 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:13 PM »
It's a test for Biden on suburbs. He's doing better than I expected in KY and IN.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #1596 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:20 PM »
Quote from: Buh her emails! on November 03, 2020, 06:34:04 PM
The fact they didn't call IN and KY at the top of the hour shows Trump is in serious trouble.

Pretty sure they have split poll closing times.  Not all the polls have closed in those states yet.
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Rand
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« Reply #1597 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:21 PM »
Quote from: Anti-Doomer Activist darthpi on November 03, 2020, 06:41:50 PM
Biden has passed Hillary's 2016 total in Boone County, Indiana, 11,378 vs 10,181

As well as Lincoln County, KY with 20% still out.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #1598 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:21 PM »
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1599 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:25 PM »
Quote from: DaWN on November 03, 2020, 06:42:49 PM
I think we overreacted to early votes skewing some results if I'm honest. Glad we learned this lesson now and not in actually competitive states mind....
Well, yes. Regardless, these numbers are quite impressive.
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