2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[bilaps]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1323665955629793280

[Bootes Void]

People on Predictit are going wild thinking Florida is in the bag for Trump. It's hard to analyze early votes

[Panda Express]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Hawaii is toss-up

[One Term Floridian]

2 votes for Biden/Harris, Spanberger & Warner from my gf & me this morning. Waited in line for less than a minute lol

[swf541]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1323665955629793280

Literally who?

Isnt even verified

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Hey, Atlas hasn't crashed yet. Good job, servers that are currently held together with duct tape.

I believe in Virginia's efforts. I'm guessing it stays up most of the night.

[Bootes Void]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1323665955629793280

Uhh what?

[OBD]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?

Not familiar with how it voted in the past but apparently it voted 70% Clinton in 2016.

[roxas11]

People on Predictit are going wild thinking Florida is in the bag for Trump. It's hard to analyze early votes

well in fairness they also went willd thinking the election was is in the bag for Hillary and that did not end well for them at all lol

[RI]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?

Guam usually votes for the winner of the Electoral College (except 2016).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_straw_polls_in_Guam

[Bootes Void]

McCain got 37% of the vote in Guam btw

[Kamala's side hoe]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_Guam

Guam has historically been more R downballot than in the Presidential straw poll.

[swf541]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?

Guam usually votes for the winner of the Electoral College (except 2016).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_straw_polls_in_Guam

They also voted heavily for Carter in 1980

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Let's not try to extrapolate the results of Guam to mean anything. Stop it, guys.

[Tiger08]

FWIW, E-Day turnout in Greenville County, SC is massive today

[Bojack Horseman]

MSNBC is reporting higher than expected black turnout in the city of Detroit.

[bilaps]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1323665955629793280

Literally who?

Isnt even verified

Don't embarass yourself. It's a guy which maps people here posted when early voting started.

[Ferguson97]

People on Predictit are going wild thinking Florida is in the bag for Trump.

Now I'm even more confident Biden will win it

[swf541]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1323665955629793280

Literally who?

Isnt even verified

Don't embarass yourself. It's a guy which maps people here posted when early voting started.

And I again ask, literally who and what makes his models legitimate

I could go cook up a model in 5 minute and declare whatever the hell I want

[Crumpets]

IIRC, the forum crashed in 2016 not long after we got initial results from Indiana and Kentucky. I know because one of my last posts on record for that historic night was:

Clinton winning Marion County, KY.

That's it. She's winning in a landslide.

[7,052,770]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_Guam

Guam has historically been more R downballot than in the Presidential straw poll.

Admit Guam as the 53rd state as an olive branch to Republicans. I'm actually serious, and let NMI have the option to join the new state if they wish.

[Alcibiades]

Could someone get me up to speed about what the signs in FL are?

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://mobile.twitter.com/OliviaRaisner/status/1323657059871690753

https://mobile.twitter.com/alexi/status/1323652518698717187

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

IIRC, the forum crashed in 2016 not long after we got initial results from Indiana and Kentucky. I know because one of my last posts on record for that historic night was:

Clinton winning Marion County, KY.

That's it. She's winning in a landslide.

Was she actually ahead in Marion County at the time or were you just joking? Lmao it must have been a crazy night.

[Crumpets]

IIRC, the forum crashed in 2016 not long after we got initial results from Indiana and Kentucky. I know because one of my last posts on record for that historic night was:

Clinton winning Marion County, KY.

That's it. She's winning in a landslide.

Was she actually ahead in Marion County at the time or were you just joking? Lmao it must have been a crazy night.

She was. There was like one precinct reporting in the county at the time.