2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Also: I would appreciate not being called a NeverBernie troll.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why does DDHQ show no votes counted yet in NV?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Called it

What's your thinking? You can quote me on this. Look at the margins and swings from 2016 coming out of Fulton, Dekalb, Gwinnett, Cobb. Even Cherokee and Fayette...

GA is actually looking like it's going to come down to 1% either way. The votes are coming in around metro ATL and they are not good for Trump vs. 2016 and 2018.

HAHAHAHAHAHA. Christ. Stop. Just stop

You were always likely to be proven right on this.
It's unfortunate how your views were just brushed aside but whatevs. The data speaks for itself.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What does everyone think of Steve bullock's chances? He seems to be running a good bit ahead of Biden.

I regard it as a 50/50 thing. He might win, he might not.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

CBS calls Wyoming for Trump.
Shocking, shocking, I know.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Trump almost won Starr County, TX. The swing there is incredible. Dems in the Rio Grande congressional districts are up like 5% in districts they won by 20+ before.

"No Republican has won the county for president since incumbent Benjamin Harrison in 1892 – as of 2017 Starr has the longest streak of voting for Democrats in the entire country."
If these numbers hold in Starr County, then it'll be a historic footnote for Republicans.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Over/under on Biden winning the popular vote by 5? Nat. polls seem like they were way off

I don't think we really know yet that the national polls were "way off" overall.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Biden leading 51-47 in Tulare County per DDHQ???

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

what's happening in GA?

Green = Reported
Yellow = Partially
Grey= Not reported (Hancock was Clinton 3rd best county)

Bad news for Trump that GA's outstanding vote is extremely Dem-leaning.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Kevin McCarthy is only leading his Democratic opponent 54-46. This is the most GOP district in the state.

Further confirming that California is the best state in the nation.

The GOP at the moment is winning precisely no districts in CA by double digits.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I have no energy anymore for this thread. It's almost 7 am here in Italy. This election has been way more absurd than I imagined it.

Goodbye to everyone.

Sleep well.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1323863787825438720?s=20

Before the Poles are closed?
Poles???

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Georgia looks like it will go Biden

In what works? Because the unreliable needle says so?

You’re really stuck on this aren’t you?

It’s been explained a million times: The outstanding vote is heavily Democratic. It may or may not be enough to win it, but it’s foolish to act like it’s impossible. Let alone to run around screaming at everyone who says quite correctly that it is possible.

This is like Karl Rove arguing OH was going to Romney in 2012, ignoring the fact Cuyahoga was a ton of the remaining outstanding vote.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1323863787825438720?s=20

Before the Poles are closed?
Poles???

Trump has not forgotten about Poland!

Is this a 2004 reference?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why isn't San Brenardino County counting?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hunker down guys! I'm staying awake until at least 3 AM.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'm still awake and it's 7 am in Spain! Feeling a bit more confident about Biden now than some hours ago.

Thanks for holding along the ride. You're in good company.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Seems premature to assume Ds won't get the Senate. We just don't know.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I haven't been here in years.  What are the chances that the Democrats win 53/53 House seats in California?

Remote. But Ds might be very well positioned to make further gains of multiple seats vis a vis 2018.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Can someone explain to me why everyone's being doomer on Biden still? Not much of Milwaukee is in, and I think a lot of Detroit is still out. This is underwhelming and shameful but probably still a win for Biden

"everyone"
I don't disagree with you much in regards to Biden's chances, just with the impression that this thread is still dominated by doomers.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why is PredictIt so slanted toward a Trump win

probably people wanting to believe they won't lose their money.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Does anyone think Bullock still has a chance? I've spot-checked some counties against Tester's 2018 map, and I'm just not sure.

I still think he has a chance.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

CBS declares NM and RI for Biden.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Biden did poorly in upstate NY. First to lose Erie county since McGovern.

Bold claim to make when we have this many outstanding ballots.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

ABC projects MN for Biden.