2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[tjstarling]

Fk Bernie, Warren, and AOC forever.

Keep broadcasting that contempt. Watch the base become smaller and more elite.

But how are the aforementioned folks expanding this “base”?

[MasterJedi]

GA done counting for the night, Christ.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

MTPRES called for Trump

[Rand]

Biden closing the gap dramatically in Georgia.

[Bootes Void]

Does anyone have any info on the Puerto Rican statehood referendum?

https://twitter.com/DavidBegnaud/status/1323857500500905984

with a republican senate, this is going nowhere

[dunceDude]

No update in NE-02 yet... hopefully a call there within the next 40 minutes. 538 predicts there are 48k ballots left and Trump is down 29k currently.

[JerryArkansas]

Trump almost won Starr County, TX. The swing there is incredible. Dems in the Rio Grande congressional districts are up like 5% in districts they won by 20+ before.

Looking at the raw votes, its not that Dems lost any.  In some counties, in fact, they are up.  Its just a bunch of new voters came in that where way misjudged by everyone.

[forza nocta]

Over/under on Biden winning the popular vote by 5? Nat. polls seem like they were way off

[Storr]

Daines take the lead in Montana...

[Splash]

No absentee ballots from Detroit yet.

https://twitter.com/michpoligal/status/1323858295828946946

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Fk Bernie, Warren, and AOC forever.

None of these people are the nominee.

[Logical]

I just don't understand anything anymore. The results doesn't make sense up and down ballot. Some of the changes make sense in isolation, but all of this together at once? I am completely lost. This is the most confusing election in this century.

[free my dawg]

Fk Bernie, Warren, and AOC forever.

Fk every entitled little Republican wannabe POS like you who put us in this position.

[SunSt0rm]

NE-2 is looking very promising. Its now 2/3 of WI/PA/MI or even 1/3 if Biden manages to squeeze out Georgia

[Never Made it to Graceland]

This is shaping up to be a LOT like 2018. Florida goes bad, everyone freaks the fu—k out, then we slowly learn over the course of the night that just about everywhere else is fine.

We might even still win Georgia LOL. And to think we had doomers dooming, Trumpers gloating, and everyone pointing fingers and arguing over the cause of this “loss” that was never very likely to actually occur.

Republicans are keeping the Senate. Real doomer hours if you actually want Democratic legislation to pass.

I guess that doesn't matter when all you care about is performativity.

[lfromnj]

Looking at tourist counties

A lot of them are having pretty big swings towards Biden, like Leelanau county MI, Dare county NC etc.

[Illiniwek]

Umm....AZ and NV? How you doing out there? Care to come back from you casino breaks to get us some more ballot counts?

[7,052,770]

Georgia needle starting to creep away from Trump! What a wonderful late-night surprise!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Trump almost won Starr County, TX. The swing there is incredible. Dems in the Rio Grande congressional districts are up like 5% in districts they won by 20+ before.

"No Republican has won the county for president since incumbent Benjamin Harrison in 1892 – as of 2017 Starr has the longest streak of voting for Democrats in the entire country."
If these numbers hold in Starr County, then it'll be a historic footnote for Republicans.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Where are my Georgia avatars? Is Mitchell county an error?

[American2020]

VBM'll be the decisive strike.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Practically all of the rural vote in GA is already in. The remaining 20+% of the vote is extremely D friendly.

I want to believe.

Interesting point if it transfers to PA and MI.

WI, MI, and PA have barely touched their absentee ballots. We're talking >million votes in each state.

My girlfriend is pretty happy with your analysis Arch.

You may have just saved my relationship.

After sitting here for the 2016 Election Day, if Trump wins in 2020, she said she is not coming back in 2024.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Fk Bernie, Warren, and AOC forever.

Keep broadcasting that contempt. Watch the base become smaller and more elite.

But how are the aforementioned folks expanding this “base”?

Maybe they aren't*, but Sanders did better with the group swinging hardest against Biden. The more Democrats spend their political capital on performative pandering (both to their own party elites and their hackneyed ideas of swing voters) and the harder they simultaneously reject economic reform, the more obviously they signal that they're not interested in seeing to basic economic needs.

*In the long term, of course, sticking to their sorts of policy plans and actually delivering for the base instead of doing nothing and then expecting people to not eventually get fed up with Democrats is a better way to keep voters in the coalition.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

what's happening in GA?

[Calthrina950]

Doug Jones could have the worst loss for an incumbent Senator ever.

No, that's impossible. He very obviously can't beat Jacob Javits.

Okay, but that's not exactly in the same realm of discussion.

No, they are not. Javits lost the Republican primary to Al D'Amato, and ran as the Liberal Party candidate. Jones looks to be on track to have the largest loss of any incumbent in a purely D vs. R race, worse than Lincoln in 2010. So much for the polls claiming that he would get into the mid 40s.