2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 630930 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3075 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:17 PM »

Whoa, NC is actually looking like a Biden win.

No.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3076 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:19 PM »

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.
It has 99% in though, which is significant. I'll be so happy if Biden wins NC.

Doesn't NC only have about 80% in?
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͘
RandomInternetUser
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« Reply #3077 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:25 PM »

Crazy Forumlurker was right on Covid and predicted all three waves, now crazy Forumlurker appears to be right again.

Is this enough for Atlas to understand just how much of a bubble we are?

I'm glad that I took a few months long breaks. This result doesn't seem as surprising as I thought. 
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3078 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:31 PM »

Bergen county NJ for Trump as per NY times

Is that true?
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #3079 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:37 PM »

No EV ballots have been counted JFC
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #3080 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:51 PM »

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.
It has 99% in though, which is significant. I'll be so happy if Biden wins NC.

What's 99%? NYT is showing North Carolina as 80% in.
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SPQR
italian-boy
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« Reply #3081 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:51 PM »

CNN claims 90% is early votes in NC, they expect it to be 75% in the end.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #3082 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:56 PM »

Georgia is at 40% reporting with none of the big counties really in.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3083 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:56 PM »

CO (2.1 million votes counted, of ca. 3.4 million expected):

Biden +16
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #3084 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:59 PM »

Whoa, NC is actually looking like a Biden win.
There is some red counties out there but its going down to the wire with maybe a narrow biden win
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Badger
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« Reply #3085 on: November 03, 2020, 09:40:14 PM »

What is happening with Kansas? Fox news currently has it light blue.

Also what is happening with Virginia? It's coloured blue but Trump appears to be ahead by 7 points based on a significant portion of the vote counted!

Virginia's easy. The Democratic vote always comes in late and overwhelming.

Kansas? Really not sure there. I'm guessing that Johnston County and some of the other Eastern Metro counties are in fact Ground Zero of the middle-class suburbs revolting away from Trump, and they've probably returned early. Still, rather unusual.
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vitoNova
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« Reply #3086 on: November 03, 2020, 09:40:33 PM »

Wow, if Trump wins I hope the polling industry loses its credibility!


I have Trumpers in my family.  I know what makes them click.   (mostly, hostility toward minorities)

They DO NOT answer phone calls from strangers over the phone.

Jeebus Christ, people, how many times do I have to repeat myself? 
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Storr
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« Reply #3087 on: November 03, 2020, 09:40:53 PM »

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.
It has 99% in though, which is significant. I'll be so happy if Biden wins NC.

What's 99%? NYT is showing North Carolina as 80% in.
I was looking at DDHQ because that is what they referenced.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3088 on: November 03, 2020, 09:41:17 PM »

in Ohio, there are still some votes out in Cuyahonga, Hamilton,Franklin,Summit and Athens. The red rural areas do look almost complete. Ohio is going down the wire, I wonder how this effects Iowa as well

OH will be Trump+5 or even +7 in the end.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #3089 on: November 03, 2020, 09:41:32 PM »

Lindsey Graham is underperforming Trump by 1%.. lmao.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #3090 on: November 03, 2020, 09:41:46 PM »

I think Trump is favored at this point.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #3091 on: November 03, 2020, 09:41:49 PM »

It's beginning to look a lot like twenty-16

Everywhere you go

Take a look at O.H. and Penn, it's glistening red again.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #3092 on: November 03, 2020, 09:42:22 PM »

So far the numbers seem to support Biden's narrow early vote leads getting overwhelmed by election day turnout.

No?

My tone was out of line, and all 19 recommendations should remove themselves. Sorry Hammy.
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emailking
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« Reply #3093 on: November 03, 2020, 09:42:35 PM »

Wow, if Trump wins I hope the polling industry loses its credibility!


I have Trumpers in my family.  I know what makes them click.   (mostly, hostility toward minorities)

They DO NOT answer phone calls from strangers over the phone.

Jeebus Christ, people, how many times do I have to repeat myself? 

Most people don't on both sides of the aisle.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #3094 on: November 03, 2020, 09:42:47 PM »

in Ohio, there are still some votes out in Cuyahonga, Hamilton,Franklin,Summit and Athens. The red rural areas do look almost complete. Ohio is going down the wire, I wonder how this effects Iowa as well

OH will be Trump+5 in the end.


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Former Crackhead Mike Lindell
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« Reply #3095 on: November 03, 2020, 09:42:49 PM »

I'm a huge fan of CNN's coverage so far. John King, his big board, Wolf, the exit poll guy, the lack of cutting away to reporters in loud arenas or polling lines? All very enjoyable honestly
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R.P. McM
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« Reply #3096 on: November 03, 2020, 09:42:53 PM »

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......



On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

I don't know if the problem is that she is married to a white man (it shouldn't matter), if she wins the vice presidency, she needs to go to more Black neighborhoods

No, the problem is misogyny. Remember when blacks and Hispanics had a very negative opinion of gay marriage? Well, the same is true in this case. In 2016, I remember talking to a number of my male, working-class, nonwhite colleagues who had a very negative opinion of Hillary Clinton ("b****," "c***," etc.). Why? Well, they couldn't quite articulate it in any rational sense. Yeah, we all get it.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3097 on: November 03, 2020, 09:43:03 PM »

Can someone tell me about what we currently see in Virginia.
What's up here.

I think you're seeing the same day vote.  The early vote might not be in at all, which is going to skew tremendously to Biden.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #3098 on: November 03, 2020, 09:43:20 PM »

Ohio is done.
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« Reply #3099 on: November 03, 2020, 09:43:33 PM »

Trump making up ground in rural black counties on the SC border in NC.

2020...I dont even.
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