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December 05, 2020, 07:49:51 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  IL - Victory Research: Biden +16
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Author Topic: IL - Victory Research: Biden +16  (Read 293 times)
#SaveTheSenate
VARepublican
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« on: November 02, 2020, 03:40:34 PM »

Oct 26-Nov 1, 1208 LV, MoE: 2.8%

Changes with Sept 23-26.

Biden 54% (+1)
Trump 38% (-2)
Other 4% (n/c)
Donít know/undecided 4% (+1)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201102_IL_victoryresearch.pdf
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 03:45:41 PM »

Clinton won by +16, but Illinois isnt a swing state or Biden will overperform big time
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Roblox
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 03:50:54 PM »

Biden surge, +13 to +16! Lol.
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Rafe
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 03:53:01 PM »

Tilt R.
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UBI man good
Liam
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E: 10.00, S: -0.43

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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 03:54:22 PM »

Lean R
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 03:55:58 PM »

The only usefulness of polls from safe D states is that it debunks the argument of Biden being up 8-10 points nationally because he runs up the score in them.      
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 03:58:38 PM »

The only usefulness of polls from safe D states is that it debunks the argument of Biden being up 8-10 points nationally because he runs up the score in them.      

Don't forget that even states that are safe for one party might have competitive downballot races. The margin here could matter for the race in IL-13.
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gracile
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 04:10:04 PM »

The regional crosstabs for Suburban Cook and the Collars particularly are too R-friendly.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 05:16:40 PM »

New Poll: Illinois President by Victory Research on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 54%, R: 38%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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