NALEO/Latino Decisions: Biden +22 with FL Latinos, +45 with AZ Latinos
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  NALEO/Latino Decisions: Biden +22 with FL Latinos, +45 with AZ Latinos
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Author Topic: NALEO/Latino Decisions: Biden +22 with FL Latinos, +45 with AZ Latinos  (Read 3912 times)
LimoLiberal
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« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2020, 02:08:54 PM »

Really hope these are right.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #26 on: November 02, 2020, 03:10:59 PM »

Biden winning Latinos in FL by 22 would actually be great for him? Nelson and Gillum only won by 10.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #27 on: November 02, 2020, 03:41:13 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 04:28:30 PM by Russian Bear »

You should compare apples to apples.

Latino Decisions 2016 https://latinodecisions.com/polls-and-research/2016-election-eve-poll/

                 2016                              2018 2020 (edited typo)
FL      Hillary 67/31 (+36)            Biden 57/35 (+22)
AZ      Hillary 84/12 (+72)           Biden 70/25 (+45)  
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swf541
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« Reply #28 on: November 02, 2020, 04:21:23 PM »

You should compare apples to apples.

Latino Decisions 2016 https://latinodecisions.com/polls-and-research/2016-election-eve-poll/

                  2016                              2018
FL      Hillary 67/31 (+36)            Biden 57/35 (+22)
AZ      Hillary 84/12 (+72)           Biden 70/25 (+45) 

Not really comparable given the dem coalition is much likelier to look like 18 in Florida then 16 due to changes in the white vote but both should def be looked at
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #29 on: November 02, 2020, 04:37:17 PM »

You should compare apples to apples.

Latino Decisions 2016 https://latinodecisions.com/polls-and-research/2016-election-eve-poll/

                 2016                              2018 2020 (edited typo)
FL      Hillary 67/31 (+36)            Biden 57/35 (+22)
AZ      Hillary 84/12 (+72)           Biden 70/25 (+45)  

I assume they have changed their polling methodology if they were off last time out
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #30 on: November 02, 2020, 06:26:21 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 06:32:44 PM by Kansas City Suburbanite for Orman-Clinton-Kelly For Marshall »


It's not that much worse than Clinton did with them (+27), and Biden's gains with whites will more than offset it.

Hillary won the FL Hispanic vote by 27%, and Obama won them by 21% in 2012, I think Biden should win Miami Dade by a similar margin to Obama in 2012. Obama won the Cuban vote in 2012.
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Hammy
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« Reply #31 on: November 02, 2020, 06:33:36 PM »

I'll believe this over Marist as anything associated with NBC is waste
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lfromnj
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« Reply #32 on: November 02, 2020, 07:11:12 PM »


It's not that much worse than Clinton did with them (+27), and Biden's gains with whites will more than offset it.

Hillary won the FL Hispanic vote by 27%, and Obama won them by 21% in 2012, I think Biden should win Miami Dade by a similar margin to Obama in 2012. Obama won the Cuban vote in 2012.

Uh Obama did not win the Cuban vote in 2012 lol.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2020, 05:12:47 AM »

You should compare apples to apples.

Latino Decisions 2016 https://latinodecisions.com/polls-and-research/2016-election-eve-poll/

                 2016                              2018 2020 (edited typo)
FL      Hillary 67/31 (+36)            Biden 57/35 (+22)
AZ      Hillary 84/12 (+72)           Biden 70/25 (+45)  


Well, I warned you.

I know the exits are preliminary/unweighted, but, if anything, this poll underestimated Trump's strength. Unfortunately, white rasist seniors saved Joe's ass (in AZ and nationally).
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #34 on: December 06, 2020, 02:03:01 PM »

Lol
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