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February 25, 2021, 02:54:11 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  PA - Rasmussen: Biden+3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA - Rasmussen: Biden+3  (Read 791 times)
n1240
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« on: November 02, 2020, 11:25:52 AM »
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_49_trump_45

after leaners:

Biden 50
Trump 47

10/31-11/1, 800 LV
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 11:26:38 AM »
tIlT RePubLIcaN
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 11:26:52 AM »
Oh wow - then PA must be gone for Trump if Rassmussen says it is
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 11:27:26 AM »
MoE: 3.5%
Changes with Oct 18-19
By Pulse Opinion Research

Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 47% (n/c)
Some other candidate 1% (-1)
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 11:29:01 AM »
So Rasmussen has a Biden EC advantage now?!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 11:29:41 AM »
Ninety-two percent (92%) of all voters in Pennsylvania have made up their minds whom they’re going to vote for. Biden has a 52% to 47% advantage in this group.

Even Ras has Biden at +5 with the likeliest voters
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 11:31:41 AM »
PA voting 4-5 points to the right of the nation

- Chris Cillizza: "Gloomy, Doomy, Toomey: Why Pat Toomey's retirement makes holding Pennsylvania all but impossible for Republicans in 2022"
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 11:31:43 AM »




Quote from: LimoLiberal on November 02, 2020, 10:34:24 AM
Biden collapsing in Pennsylvania. This is a disaster.

Quote from: LimoLiberal on November 01, 2020, 04:28:11 PM
I think I'll panic about this poll next.
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swf541
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 11:32:20 AM »

Yep......
It's definitely election eve lmfao
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 11:37:32 AM »
Biden is polling better in Pennsylvania than Obama did in 2012. I understand the anguish and trepidation but the data don't lie.   
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swf541
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 11:38:18 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 02, 2020, 11:37:32 AM
Biden is polling better in Pennsylvania than Obama did in 2012. I understand the anguish and trepidation but the data don't lie.   

This and the polling changes done since 16 should benefit Trump in this sort of state
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 11:38:26 AM »
PA looks like tilt to Lean Biden, hopefully he wins by a large margin and shatters this
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soundchaser
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 11:40:35 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 02, 2020, 11:37:32 AM
Biden is polling better in Pennsylvania than Obama did in 2012. I understand the anguish and trepidation but the data don't lie.   

Biden is polling better than Obama in 2012 basically everywhere except Ohio (and in some places like Texas significantly better), but he's still doomed, apparently.
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charcuterie
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 11:40:52 AM »
Rassmussen pulling a number like this increases my confidence in the state, barring any malarkey.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 11:42:38 AM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 02, 2020, 11:38:26 AM
PA looks like tilt to Lean Biden, hopefully he wins by a large margin and shatters this

The biggest risk here will be Trump trying to have mail in ballots thrown out. I believe PA has already said they won't have all the votes counted on election night, so if the election hinges on PA, which hopefully it won't, this could be dragged out.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 11:43:40 AM »
Quote from: soundchaser on November 02, 2020, 11:40:35 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 02, 2020, 11:37:32 AM
Biden is polling better in Pennsylvania than Obama did in 2012. I understand the anguish and trepidation but the data don't lie.   

Biden is polling better than Obama in 2012 basically everywhere except Ohio (and in some places like Texas significantly better), but he's still doomed, apparently.

Out of the swinger states, Obama 2012 only polls ahead of Biden 2020 in Ohio and Iowa
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 11:48:48 AM »
Is this like the 15th PA poll between today and yesterday? Crazy.
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emailking
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 12:09:08 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on November 02, 2020, 11:48:48 AM
Is this like the 15th PA poll between today and yesterday? Crazy.

We've had so many it could actually affect the result!
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 12:13:09 PM »
So they have PA voting to the left of the nation?
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swf541
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 12:14:14 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 02, 2020, 12:13:09 PM
So they have PA voting to the left of the nation?
They indeed do
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Hammy
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2020, 04:34:51 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 02, 2020, 12:13:09 PM
So they have PA voting to the left of the nation?

Their state polls seem more reflective than nationally, which is opposite of most pollsters.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2020, 05:12:54 PM »
New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Rasmussen on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 49%, R: 45%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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