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December 05, 2020, 12:18:30 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  NC-Data For Progress: Biden +2
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Author Topic: NC-Data For Progress: Biden +2  (Read 563 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
dfwlibertylover
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« on: November 01, 2020, 08:44:08 PM »

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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 08:45:06 PM »

WOW! Cal's going to do it!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 08:47:52 PM »

Biden +2 Trump +4 since their last poll in mid-October. Continues the trend of tightening seen in >50% of state and national polls released this weekend.

Calm down.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 08:49:08 PM »

Biden +2 Trump +4 since their last poll in mid-October. Continues the trend of tightening seen in >50% of state and national polls released this weekend.

Calm down.

It’s almost as if he’s rooting for Trump, so forgive me if I can’t take his “concern” sriously
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 08:50:38 PM »

Biden +2 Trump +4 since their last poll in mid-October. Continues the trend of tightening seen in >50% of state and national polls released this weekend.

Calm down.

It’s almost as if he’s rooting for Trump, so forgive me if I can’t take his “concern” sriously

The biggest irony of all (which is completely plausible) is if the democrats going on about "shy trump voters" were the shy trump voters all along!
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 08:53:33 PM »

Oct 27-Nov 1
908 likely voters
MoE: 3.3%
Changes with Oct 15-18

Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48% (+4)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Other candidate or write-in 0%

Don't know previously at 5%
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 08:56:18 PM »

Just a reminder for the people freaking out that Trump gained 2 on margin that "late movement" in polls often doesn't materialize to anything substantial:



Quote
There were 34 Senate candidates in our sample whose position in the polls improved by at least 3 points between Period B and Period A: that is, they had a late “surge” in the polls. Of these candidates, 22 of the 34 — roughly two thirds — actually underperformed the late polls on Election Day
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tjstarling
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 08:58:06 PM »

Biden +2 Trump +4 since their last poll in mid-October. Continues the trend of tightening seen in >50% of state and national polls released this weekend.
I’m going to hazard a guess that 3 out of 4 posters here have you on ignore (where I will now be placing) you. If that’s the case, I think you need to reflect on whether or not this is the best place for you. I say this from the standpoint of improving the forum’s quality (this shouldn’t be a place to placate attention seeking behavior) or from the standpoint of your own well-being (if your panic is legit, you probably need to step back).
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 09:31:54 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 50%, R: 48%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Forumlurker the anti-communist
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 09:55:43 PM »

Biden +2 Trump +4 since their last poll in mid-October. Continues the trend of tightening seen in >50% of state and national polls released this weekend.
?
Doomers hate Trump.
Calm down.

It’s almost as if he’s rooting for Trump, so forgive me if I can’t take his “concern” sriously

The biggest irony of all (which is completely plausible) is if the democrats going on about "shy trump voters" were the shy trump voters all along!
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Beida
redjohn
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 09:58:02 PM »

If there's any such thing as karma, NC's early vote drop after polls close will shock the White House into postponing their little press conference to steal democracy on election night.
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philly09
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 10:23:48 PM »

Romney won NC by the same margin in 2012. Obama won it by less than a point in 2008. Biden by 2 seems about right.
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