NC-Data For Progress: Biden +2 (user search)
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  NC-Data For Progress: Biden +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-Data For Progress: Biden +2  (Read 2515 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: November 01, 2020, 08:56:18 PM »

Just a reminder for the people freaking out that Trump gained 2 on margin that "late movement" in polls often doesn't materialize to anything substantial:



Quote
There were 34 Senate candidates in our sample whose position in the polls improved by at least 3 points between Period B and Period A: that is, they had a late “surge” in the polls. Of these candidates, 22 of the 34 — roughly two thirds — actually underperformed the late polls on Election Day
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