Marist once again proves to be completely incompetent pollster. A+ material for Nate Silver though!
I wonder if there will be any A+ pollsters after this dumpster fire. The poor guy's model is getting blasted when it had to rely almost solely on bad data.
Nate Silver shouldn't do a Model at all! Clearly once again Pollsters did not capture the "Shy Trump Vote" which was there again. Pollsters weren't even close to predict PA, MI, WI! Trump won Ohio by 6 Points, no one captured it.
A few pollsters
seem to come out of this better than others (Selzer,
maybe Marquette, arguably Siena/NYT in certain states). My guess is that he's going to have to downgrade pretty much all of them, weigh in other metrics more and give the best of the crop an even heavier weight. CNAlysis factored in polls and still managed to get ~96% of state legislative races right this time (the ones called so far, at least).