FL (NBC/Marist): Biden +4 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 01:08:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  FL (NBC/Marist): Biden +4 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL (NBC/Marist): Biden +4  (Read 3363 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: October 29, 2020, 06:06:13 AM »
« edited: October 29, 2020, 07:34:36 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

October 25-27
743 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%
Changes with August 31 - September 5

Other 1% (n/c)
Undecided 1% (-1)
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:06 PM »

Marist once again proves to be completely incompetent pollster.  A+ material for Nate Silver though!

I wonder if there will be any A+ pollsters after this dumpster fire. The poor guy's model is getting blasted when it had to rely almost solely on bad data.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2020, 07:17:15 PM »

Marist once again proves to be completely incompetent pollster.  A+ material for Nate Silver though!

I wonder if there will be any A+ pollsters after this dumpster fire. The poor guy's model is getting blasted when it had to rely almost solely on bad data.
Nate Silver shouldn't do a Model at all! Clearly once again Pollsters did not capture the "Shy Trump Vote" which was there again. Pollsters weren't even close to predict PA, MI, WI! Trump won Ohio by 6 Points, no one captured it.

A few pollsters seem to come out of this better than others (Selzer, maybe Marquette, arguably Siena/NYT in certain states). My guess is that he's going to have to downgrade pretty much all of them, weigh in other metrics more and give the best of the crop an even heavier weight. CNAlysis factored in polls and still managed to get ~96% of state legislative races right this time (the ones called so far, at least).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 13 queries.