2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322758836999098369

Texas isn't going to be a red state for long. 

[philly09]

https://thepoliticalpredictor.wordpress.com/2016/12/26/hillary-clinton-squandered-4-3-florida-lead-in-a-matter-of-12-hours/

[philly09]

Democrats have 92,331 vote margin in Florida. Big turnout tomorrow could raise it, as most GOP counties are closed.

[Bootes Void]

Democrats have 92,331 vote margin in Florida. Big turnout tomorrow could raise it, as most GOP counties are closed.

Theres also election day as well and I don't think it will be as lopsided for republicans as it has been in previous elections

[Adam Griffin]

Fun fact: roughly the same number of people have voted by mail thus far as voted for John Kerry in 2004.

And that's with 35% of the national mail ballots still outstanding.

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/RonBrownstein/status/1322808276837281794

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/1322545158467047424

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1322746219353968640

Turn out the lights, the NV party is over.

There never was a party to begin with. Trump was never going to win Nevada.

[n1240]

NC 11/01, final day of early in-person vote

Dem 54116 (33.0%)
Rep 54727 (33.4%)
Una 54916 (33.5%)
Total 163759

compared to final day in 2016

Dem 83034 (41.6%)
Rep 59063 (29.6%)
Una 57372 (28.8%)
Total 199469

Current Total (in-person only)

Dem 1272530 (35.5%)
Rep 1249021 (34.9%)
Una 1061800 (29.6%)
Total 3583351

Current Total (cumulative absentee)

Dem 1694831 (37.6%)
Rep 1438047 (31.9%)
Una 1374183 (30.5%)
Total 4507061

Interestingly unaffiliated voters voted at highest rate on the last day of early in-person voting in North Carolina, and the gap between D and R is marginal, Dem raw vote margin expanded slightly after considering new mail-in ballots received. Still time for some mail-in ballots to arrive, but NC ends the early vote period at 95% of 2016 total vote.

[Tender Branson]

Dems finish +250k ahead of the Reps in NC ?

If another million votes on election day and they skew 50-25-25 Republican, there would be ca. 2 million votes each for registered Rs and Ds.

All comes down to the Indys.

[philly09]

NC 11/01, final day of early in-person vote

Dem 54116 (33.0%)
Rep 54727 (33.4%)
Una 54916 (33.5%)
Total 163759

compared to final day in 2016

Dem 83034 (41.6%)
Rep 59063 (29.6%)
Una 57372 (28.8%)
Total 199469

Current Total (in-person only)

Dem 1272530 (35.5%)
Rep 1249021 (34.9%)
Una 1061800 (29.6%)
Total 3583351

Current Total (cumulative absentee)

Dem 1694831 (37.6%)
Rep 1438047 (31.9%)
Una 1374183 (30.5%)
Total 4507061

Interestingly unaffiliated voters voted at highest rate on the last day of early in-person voting in North Carolina, and the gap between D and R is marginal, Dem raw vote margin expanded slightly after considering new mail-in ballots received. Still time for some mail-in ballots to arrive, but NC ends the early vote period at 95% of 2016 total vote.

Looking good for Biden.

[philly09]

Dems finish +250k ahead of the Reps in NC ?

If another million votes on election day and they skew 50-25-25 Republican, there would be ca. 2 million votes each for registered Rs and Ds.

All comes down to the Indys.

By all accounts the Indys are breaking heavily for Biden.

[Tender Branson]

Dems finish +250k ahead of the Reps in NC ?

If another million votes on election day and they skew 50-25-25 Republican, there would be ca. 2 million votes each for registered Rs and Ds.

All comes down to the Indys.

By all accounts the Indys are breaking heavily for Biden.

Most likely, but that's only an assumption and not a fact.

It only shows that Ds and Rs are equally motivated to vote and Trump will still get a huge vote infusion on Tuesday, while the D votes are mostly banked.

[philly09]

Dems finish +250k ahead of the Reps in NC ?

If another million votes on election day and they skew 50-25-25 Republican, there would be ca. 2 million votes each for registered Rs and Ds.

All comes down to the Indys.

By all accounts the Indys are breaking heavily for Biden.

Most likely, but that's only an assumption and not a fact.

It only shows that Ds and Rs are equally motivated to vote and Trump will still get a huge vote infusion on Tuesday, while the D votes are mostly banked.

Kamala will be in Greensboro tomorrow or Monday, so they haven't given up on it.

[DaleCooper]

Biden himself has likely already surpassed Trump's 2016 total in North Carolina.

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1322827814513614848

[wbrocks67]

Wow, Dems up by 6% in NC with nearly 2016 turnout is pretty amazing. And that's not even accounting for NPA.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1322897106517053440

Very strong day for Ds, especially since NPAs in Miami-Dade are strongly Democratic.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1322897106517053440

Very strong day for Ds, especially since NPAs in Miami-Dade are strongly Democratic.

Those are from yesterday I assume?

[wbrocks67]

From yesterday: Dems increase lead in PA to +1.03M. Their return rates are still significantly outpacing Reps

https://twitter.com/Elaijuh/status/1322655058866167808

[ExSky]

Aww where did Buzz and Jessica go. Florida isn’t going the way you thought...must be so sad.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Shy Trump voters.

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1322896288212541442

[Buzz]

Aww where did Buzz and Jessica go. Florida isn’t going the way you thought...must be so sad.

I’m right here lol

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1322897106517053440

Very strong day for Ds, especially since NPAs in Miami-Dade are strongly Democratic.

How good is this?

[wbrocks67]

It appears Dems will get back to over 100K+ lead on Reps tomorrow in FL, given that the EV sites are very Dem-leaning today