2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

I'm on record here as predicting Trump 65-35 this year (it was 71-24 in 2016, Romney 81-18 in 2012).

[swf541]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

What was it in 2016?

[ultraviolet]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

What was it in 2016?

71-24 Trump

[swf541]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

What was it in 2016?

71-24 Trump

Damn, that'd be quite the swing then

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

[Buzz]

https://twitter.com/danumbersguy/status/1322655762750021633?s=21 Super bold claim

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

Also, a good chunk of them are highly educated professional or technical workers, with quite a few minorities.  There is a thriving Indian-American community in the county.

A little thing that helps illustrate this is no longer your father's Forsyth County: https://www.atlantacricketfields.com/course.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

Also, a good chunk of them are highly educated professional or technical workers, with quite a few minorities.  There is a thriving Indian-American community in the county.

A little thing that helps illustrate this is no longer your father's Forsyth County: https://www.atlantacricketfields.com/course.

Purely anecdotal, but yeah one of the brightest (and prettiest) girls that I know lives in Forsyth -- she's Sri-Lankan. 

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/kionnemcghee/status/1322214250413215744

[soundchaser]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

Also, a good chunk of them are highly educated professional or technical workers, with quite a few minorities.  There is a thriving Indian-American community in the county.

A little thing that helps illustrate this is no longer your father's Forsyth County: https://www.atlantacricketfields.com/course.

Purely anecdotal, but yeah one of the brightest (and prettiest) girls that I know lives in Forsyth -- she's Sri-Lankan. 

And she’s not posting on the forum because...?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Da Numbers Guy's transformation from doomer to "hey this is looking ok" in the span of 5 days is Prestige Drama level quality.

It reminds me of me during some of the moments when it looked like Trump was supposed to get one of his bumps like with Tara Reade, Kanye West, or the RNC. I learned eventually though!

[Tintrlvr]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

Transplants will include conservative people moving in. There are definitely still conservative transplants moving to the Atlanta metro as well, even though they are clearly outnumbered (overall, across the entire metro) by liberal transplants by a wide margin. However, it's still a certain type of person who moves to Forsyth rather than somewhere with a less conservative reputation closer to Atlanta: Transplants who move to Forsyth are going to be much less Democratic than transplants moving to Gwinnett or Fulton. And while young voters are overwhelmingly Democratic overall, newly eligible 18-22-year-olds in Forsyth County (remember: they were mostly raised by families who were living and voting there in 2016, too) are not going to be especially Democratic, though far less Republican than their parents.

A 50-50 split means that, despite the dramatic growth in Forsyth, Trump gets zero additional net votes from it. That's great news for the Democrats by itself.

[ExSky]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

Also, a good chunk of them are highly educated professional or technical workers, with quite a few minorities.  There is a thriving Indian-American community in the county.

A little thing that helps illustrate this is no longer your father's Forsyth County: https://www.atlantacricketfields.com/course.

Purely anecdotal, but yeah one of the brightest (and prettiest) girls that I know lives in Forsyth -- she's Sri-Lankan. 

And she’s not posting on the forum because...?

because you will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA finishes JUST short of overtaking 2016 turnout in early voting.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322637916313735168

Wow. If Forsyth ends up at ~140% of 2016 turnout on election day and the new voters split 60-40 Biden (both reasonable imo), it'll go Trump 63-Biden 37. Which is crazy.

60-40 Biden for new voters is a lot to ask in Forsyth. Let's say they split 50-50. Still a very favorable swing to Biden.

You think? I assume most are under 35 and transplants which would seem like a liberal group. Even at 50-50, that's Trump 65-Biden 35.

Also, a good chunk of them are highly educated professional or technical workers, with quite a few minorities.  There is a thriving Indian-American community in the county.

A little thing that helps illustrate this is no longer your father's Forsyth County: https://www.atlantacricketfields.com/course.

Purely anecdotal, but yeah one of the brightest (and prettiest) girls that I know lives in Forsyth -- she's Sri-Lankan. 

And she’s not posting on the forum because...?

because you will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy

Free Republic is over there ---->

[Sbane]

I hope that the Republicans realize that this is a fight for their survival and that 100% of them will vote.

I too hope that everyone else also realizes that this election IS a fight for the survival of the Republican Party and votes Democrat.  The Republican Party doesn't deserve to exist in its current form.

Agree with this 100%. We need a competent right of center party to counter the leftist threat. But first we need to get rid of the fascist threat.

[Sbane]

If this „curb-side voting“ is handled like a regular election precinct/polling station, with an election commission present, and this judge invalidates 100.000 votes, he’ll probably have crosshairs on his body ...

„We know where you live, you will not see the next day.“

Yeah if they invalidate those votes without an opportunity for those affected to vote, they are basically declaring war....

[swf541]

If this „curb-side voting“ is handled like a regular election precinct/polling station, with an election commission present, and this judge invalidates 100.000 votes, he’ll probably have crosshairs on his body ...

„We know where you live, you will not see the next day.“

Yeah if they invalidate those votes without an opportunity for those affected to vote, they are basically declaring war....

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Da Numbers Guy's transformation from doomer to "hey this is looking ok" in the span of 5 days is Prestige Drama level quality.

I believe he's a Republican, so for him he's actually steadily becoming more and more doomer.

[Storr]

Da Numbers Guy's transformation from doomer to "hey this is looking ok" in the span of 5 days is Prestige Drama level quality.

I believe he's a Republican, so for him he's actually steadily becoming more and more doomer.

One key, yet widely overlooked, trend is that everyone will eventually become a doomer. It is inevitable.

[Bootes Void]

If Doomers need something to cheer about atleast. Follow the whole thread, interesting read
https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1322659513934270465

No idea if this is good news but heres some last minute voters in dem counties
https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1322661466747641857

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Da Numbers Guy's transformation from doomer to "hey this is looking ok" in the span of 5 days is Prestige Drama level quality.

I believe he's a Republican, so for him he's actually steadily becoming more and more doomer.

One key, yet widely overlooked, trend is that everyone will eventually become a doomer. It is inevitable.

All are equal in Doom!!!

[BudgieForce]

https://twitter.com/Eggymceggerson3/status/1322700704591585280

Democrats should grow their lead tomorrow since the vast majority of counties that will be open for early vote are Democratic strongholds or swing areas.

[Non Swing Voter]

I hope that the Republicans realize that this is a fight for their survival and that 100% of them will vote.

I too hope that everyone else also realizes that this election IS a fight for the survival of the Republican Party and votes Democrat.  The Republican Party doesn't deserve to exist in its current form.

Agree with this 100%. We need a competent right of center party to counter the leftist threat. But first we need to get rid of the fascist threat.

I'm down for voting for that party once these rats are evacuated from Congress. 

[Non Swing Voter]

You know what's becoming a consistent theme in this thread?  the fact that Democrats are over performing EVERYWHERE in the south.  If Biden ends up winning 2 or 3 of FL, GA, NC, TX the unspoken heroes will be Beto, Abrams etc. who registered voters and showed everyone the south was competitive, which made this happen.

At this point I wouldn't be surprised at all if Biden wins 2 of the 4 states above, which essentially gives him the election without needing PA.

[swf541]

You know what's becoming a consistent theme in this thread?  the fact that Democrats are over performing EVERYWHERE in the south.  If Biden ends up winning 2 or 3 of FL, GA, NC, TX the unspoken heroes will be Beto, Abrams etc. who registered voters and showed everyone the south was competitive, which made this happen.

At this point I wouldn't be surprised at all if Biden wins 2 of the 4 states above, which essentially gives him the election without needing PA.

Very much so, it's going to def be an interesting night tuesday to say the least