How educated will the 2020 electorate be, relative to the general population?
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  How educated will the 2020 electorate be, relative to the general population?
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Poll
Question: By how much will the proportion of voters with a college degree exceed the proportion of Americans with a degree?
#1
Voters will be less educated than the average person
 
#2
1–5%
 
#3
5–7%
 
#4
7% or more
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 10

Author Topic: How educated will the 2020 electorate be, relative to the general population?  (Read 178 times)
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,511
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

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« on: October 23, 2020, 07:58:58 PM »

For context, here are some historical numbers. I used data from the U.S. Census to calculate both columns.

YEAR% POP% VOTERDIFF
198017.2520.653.40
198419.3022.222.92
198820.5025.515.01
199221.4526.585.13
199623.7029.385.68
200025.7031.165.46
200427.7532.424.48
200829.4531.532.08
201231.0036.605.60
201633.4539.606.15
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Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,324
Moldova, Republic of


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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 09:46:11 PM »

For context, here are some historical numbers. I used data from the U.S. Census to calculate both columns.

YEAR% POP% VOTERDIFF
198017.2520.653.40
198419.3022.222.92
198820.5025.515.01
199221.4526.585.13
199623.7029.385.68
200025.7031.165.46
200427.7532.424.48
200829.4531.532.08
201231.0036.605.60
201633.4539.606.15
That large jump in the difference from 1984 and 1988 is interesting. Any guesses as to what caused that?
The Obama factor in 2008 of energizing African-Americans in particular, but all other voting demographics as well, is clear.
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forza nocta
Jr. Member
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Posts: 614


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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 09:50:31 PM »

What was the cause of that swing between 2004 and 2008 and then in back in the other direction in 2012?
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,511
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2020, 01:00:53 PM »

That large jump in the difference from 1984 and 1988 is interesting. Any guesses as to what caused that?

Beats me. Could just be that both candidates were seen as elitist. In 1980 and 1984 the candidates were significantly more "populist" and centered their campaign on less educated voters. In 1988 the campaign was centered on the suburbs.

What was the cause of that swing between 2004 and 2008 and then in back in the other direction in 2012?

Likely black turnout, but also less-educated whites and minorities.
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