KS-NYT/Siena: Marshall +4
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  KS-NYT/Siena: Marshall +4
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Author Topic: KS-NYT/Siena: Marshall +4  (Read 1405 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #25 on: October 22, 2020, 02:32:12 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #26 on: October 22, 2020, 02:40:12 PM »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Siena Research Institute on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #27 on: October 22, 2020, 03:19:57 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.

But you have KS colored red on your map, all we are saying that if D's don't get a Supermajority, it's not a letdown, we should be happy with what we have 51/55 seats
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #28 on: October 22, 2020, 03:23:23 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.

But you have KS colored red on your map, all we are saying that if D's don't get a Supermajority, it's not a letdown, we should be happy with what we have 51/55 seats

Yes, it's red on my map, But Bollier still has a solid 1/4 chance
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #29 on: October 22, 2020, 03:30:27 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.

But you have KS colored red on your map, all we are saying that if D's don't get a Supermajority, it's not a letdown, we should be happy with what we have 51/55 seats

Yes, it's red on my map, But Bollier still has a solid 1/4 chance

Why don't you do predictions on the website, it's easy to log in
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #30 on: October 22, 2020, 03:36:06 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.

Because, you can't be specific. I like data driven models over speculating

But you have KS colored red on your map, all we are saying that if D's don't get a Supermajority, it's not a letdown, we should be happy with what we have 51/55 seats

Yes, it's red on my map, But Bollier still has a solid 1/4 chance

Why don't you do predictions on the website, it's easy to log in
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #31 on: October 22, 2020, 05:51:25 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2020, 10:22:48 PM by Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee »

1. Marshall isn't Kobach.

2. It is a Presidential Year so turnout will be high.

3. Western KS Republican politicians are superior to ones from eastern KS Repiblicans.

4. We now have three polls with Marshal more favorable than Bollier.

5. Bollier is always in the low 40s regardless of poll.

Their is always a chance something unexpected happens, but this doesn't point to a D pickup.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #32 on: October 22, 2020, 06:04:01 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.

That only applies to Democrats.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #33 on: October 22, 2020, 06:06:13 PM »

One poll that shows a race within 4% with tons of undecides doesn't make it safe. I thought we learned the lessons of 2016, I guess not.

That only applies to Democrats.

Tell that to 2008, and many of the the 2012 senate races (IN, MO, MT, ect where undecides broke heavily D)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #34 on: October 22, 2020, 09:10:38 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2020, 10:12:38 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

We are gonna have the results come in pretty soon but Progressive moderate still has KS colored red on his map and doesn't make a prediction.

We have already made our endorsements and everyone has already have endorsed Bollier

Ratings

Lean D takeover
AZ, CO, ME, NC, SC
Tossup AK, GA, IA, KS, MT
Safe R AL, KY and TX

KS, AK and MT are Tossups not Lean D, there is a difference
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