MN (KSTP/SurveyUSA) Smith +1
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  MN (KSTP/SurveyUSA) Smith +1
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Author Topic: MN (KSTP/SurveyUSA) Smith +1  (Read 2505 times)
kph14
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« on: October 21, 2020, 06:08:46 PM »

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 06:12:35 PM »

She’ll win this year, but she’s incredibly lucky that she’s not up for reelection in 2022.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 06:15:19 PM »

Forgive me if this isn't the first thing that pops into my head after someone says "competitive US Senate race".

Granted, could be an outlier, though we haven't had many polls of this race lately. Hopefully, another pollster will poll the race in the coming days.
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PHARAOH BAKARI SELLERS
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2020, 06:16:17 PM »

Smith won't win with 60 percent
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2020, 06:17:33 PM »

Republicans are spending almost zero money here.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2020, 06:18:01 PM »

Forgive me if this isn't the first thing that pops into my head after someone says "competitive US Senate race".

Granted, could be an outlier, though we haven't had many polls of this race lately. Hopefully, another pollster will poll the race in the coming days.

There was another one this morning that had Smith up 11.
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Left Wing
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2020, 06:18:32 PM »

inb4 Woodbury says tossup or Lean R
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2020, 06:24:07 PM »

SUSA has had a massive amount of undecideds in all of their polls for this race. Makes me think Smith has a similar problem to Peters. Mostly unknown by the electorate but will win because she has a D in front of her name and is sharing a ticket with Biden. I also don't think this race will be that close either.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2020, 06:26:43 PM »

Forgive me if this isn't the first thing that pops into my head after someone says "competitive US Senate race".

Granted, could be an outlier, though we haven't had many polls of this race lately. Hopefully, another pollster will poll the race in the coming days.

There was another one this morning that had Smith up 11.

Oh. That one makes more sense, I guess. Still, hopefully someone else polls it.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2020, 06:46:15 PM »

WTF? Isn't Jason Lewis the guy who literally defended slavery once when he was a right-wing talk radio host? How is this even competitive at all?!
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Sestak
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2020, 06:49:48 PM »

JUNK IT
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2020, 07:08:27 PM »

Oh, please. What is with SurveyUSA and their fetish for finding outliers in this state?
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SN2903
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2020, 07:16:29 PM »

Toss Up/Tilt D
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2020, 07:17:17 PM »

Remember folks... JOP
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2020, 07:17:27 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2020, 09:28:54 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Changes with October 1-6

Smith 43% (-1)
Lewis 42% (+5)
Some other candidate 3% (-1)
Undecided 9% (-7)
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2020, 07:19:59 PM »

This (and Ernst leading in today's polls, Tillis closing, and Peters not doing great) kinda gives me 2016 vibes... perhaps it's just trauma
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2020, 07:21:08 PM »

Might inch me a little towards Lean D, but I'd keep it as Likely.
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Xing
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2020, 07:31:00 PM »

Doubtful, unless we’re looking at a much closer presidential election than anticipated.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2020, 07:34:06 PM »

As usual SUSA has some weird crosstabs. Sample is R+3, 2016 Exits were D+2. Sample was Trump 41-38 vs Clinton in 2016. 17% of Urban voters undecided.

They also accidently released the presidential numbers in the crosstabs, Biden 48-42.

https://kstp.com/politics/kstpsurveyusa-smith-lewis-senate-race-now-a-dead-heat-october-21-2020/5901843/?cat=1
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2020, 07:47:49 PM »

Tina Smith is loving this poll right now on Twitter. Using it to raise money.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2020, 07:51:57 PM »

Tina Smith is loving this poll right now on Twitter. Using it to raise money.

Politian's love outlier polls that show a tight race when they know better.
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #21 on: October 21, 2020, 08:04:58 PM »

JUNK IT!
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2020, 08:06:49 PM »

This (and Ernst leading in today's polls, Tillis closing, and Peters not doing great) kinda gives me 2016 vibes... perhaps it's just trauma

It is.
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Astatine
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« Reply #23 on: October 21, 2020, 08:09:40 PM »

Tina Smith is loving this poll right now on Twitter. Using it to raise money.
Yeah, she did the same yesterday with the Change Research poll showing her up by 4. #theraceistightening
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GALeftist
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« Reply #24 on: October 21, 2020, 09:26:22 PM »

Fat X
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