FL, MN, NV - Civiqs/DailyKos: Biden +4, +10, +9 (user search)
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  FL, MN, NV - Civiqs/DailyKos: Biden +4, +10, +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL, MN, NV - Civiqs/DailyKos: Biden +4, +10, +9  (Read 3525 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: October 21, 2020, 05:59:10 PM »

I think this is fine. But Minnesota is def not that blue.

Trump is favored in the Iron Range according to polling. But he does MUCH worse in Minneapolis suburbia and southern Minnesota. Should win by 5-6ish.
No. Biden will win MN by 7-10%.
This is what delusion looks like

Nobody who thinks Minnesota will be close has given a reasonable explanation as to why.

Um, I have like five times.

You guys just chose to ignore any analysis that does not have the Democrats winning by massive margins in the midwest (despite polling tell you its close).

You seriously think MN is a tossup? lmao
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 06:04:28 PM »

I think this is fine. But Minnesota is def not that blue.

Trump is favored in the Iron Range according to polling. But he does MUCH worse in Minneapolis suburbia and southern Minnesota. Should win by 5-6ish.
No. Biden will win MN by 7-10%.
This is what delusion looks like

Nobody who thinks Minnesota will be close has given a reasonable explanation as to why.

Um, I have like five times.

You guys just chose to ignore any analysis that does not have the Democrats winning by massive margins in the midwest (despite polling tell you its close).

You seriously think MN is a tossup? lmao

No, he said Biden will win it by 5-6 which doesn't seem unreasonable.

Oh nevermind.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 06:10:11 PM »

I think this is fine. But Minnesota is def not that blue.

Trump is favored in the Iron Range according to polling. But he does MUCH worse in Minneapolis suburbia and southern Minnesota. Should win by 5-6ish.
No. Biden will win MN by 7-10%.
This is what delusion looks like

Nobody who thinks Minnesota will be close has given a reasonable explanation as to why.

Um, I have like five times.

You guys just chose to ignore any analysis that does not have the Democrats winning by massive margins in the midwest (despite polling tell you its close).

You seriously think MN is a tossup? lmao

I think Minnesota is about 3 to 4% to the right of the nation.

So if Bidens up by 10 nationally (per 538) he's ahead by about 5 to 6 in Minnesota.

That seems pretty reasonable (depending on how MN trends). Although I think he’ll win by about 7-8 in the end.
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