Who will do better, Greenfield or Bullock?
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  Who will do better, Greenfield or Bullock?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Theresa Greenfield (D-IA)		  
#2
Steve Bullock (D-MT)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: Who will do better, Greenfield or Bullock?  (Read 1303 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: October 14, 2020, 03:37:24 PM »
Well?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 03:41:54 PM »
Greenfield because she'll win
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WD
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2020, 03:42:56 PM »
Greenfield. Bullock will be lucky to crack 25%.
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UWS
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2020, 04:19:26 PM »
Bullock because they will both lose. Trump winning Iowa will likely help Ernst in the senate race.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2020, 04:22:39 PM »
I'd give Greenfield slightly above even odds, and I'd give Bullock a 50-50 shot, so I voted Greenfield.
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andjey
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 04:24:13 PM »
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2020, 04:24:22 PM »
I feel good about Bullock
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2020, 04:24:41 PM »

What?

Anyway, I do think Greenfield will narrowly win and I’m a toss-up on Bullock, so I voted Greenfield.
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WD
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2020, 04:26:53 PM »

I was being sarcastic, sorry if that wasn’t clear. In all seriousness, I think Bullock will do narrowly better than Greenfield, due  to the fact that the trends in MT are somewhat more favorable to Democrats than IA.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 04:27:12 PM »
Depends on which one is the FL-SEN redux and which is the TN-SEN redux.
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2020, 04:27:37 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on October 14, 2020, 04:26:53 PM

I was being sarcastic, sorry if that wasn’t clear. In all seriousness, I think Bullock will do narrowly better than Greenfield, due  to the fact that the trends in MT are somewhat more favorable to Democrats than IA.

Ah right. Some hot take someone else made that I missed?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2020, 04:30:12 PM »
Quote from: Xing on October 14, 2020, 04:27:12 PM
Depends on which one is the FL-SEN redux and which is the TN-SEN redux.

Each race is unique. They can follow a similar path as a previous race, but they aren’t bound to
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VAR
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2020, 04:31:34 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 14, 2020, 04:30:12 PM
Quote from: Xing on October 14, 2020, 04:27:12 PM
Depends on which one is the FL-SEN redux and which is the TN-SEN redux.

Each race is unique. They can follow a similar path as a previous race, but they aren’t bound to

He’s being sarcastic
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Canis
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« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2020, 05:00:06 PM »
previously I had Bullock winning and Ernst winning but now I have them both narrowly winning I think Bullock will win by 1-2k votes and it will be a nail biter on electionight I think IA will be very close as well but I see greenfield winning by a few more votes so narrowly greenfield but I expect them to preform around the same.
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Storr
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« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2020, 05:05:08 PM »
Greenfield definitely has a higher ceiling (insert swingy Iowa memes), so I'll go with her. It doesn't hurt Ernst has run a much worse campaign than Daines.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 05:45:45 PM »
I have a better “feeling” about Montana than I do Iowa
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Lognog
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 05:49:52 PM »
Head says Greenfield, gut says Bullock
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2020, 06:45:49 PM »
Greenfield but AK, IA, KS, MT and SC are wave insurance
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Figueira
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« Reply #18 on: October 14, 2020, 07:22:33 PM »
I mean, they both might win, but I don't see how you can argue that Bullock is more likely than Greenfield.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2020, 07:39:01 PM »
Quote from: Lognog on October 14, 2020, 05:49:52 PM
Head says Greenfield, gut says Bullock
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #20 on: October 14, 2020, 09:28:19 PM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 14, 2020, 06:45:49 PM
Greenfield but AK, IA, KS, MT and SC are wave insurance
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #21 on: October 14, 2020, 09:37:32 PM »
I think they could both win or lose their respective races depending upon the circumstances. Like others here: head says IA, but says MT.
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Heir of Camelot
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« Reply #22 on: October 14, 2020, 10:24:23 PM »
Bullock is +2 in the MSU poll released tonight. This is the same poll that accurately predicted Tester’s margin of victory 2 years ago.
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S019
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« Reply #23 on: October 14, 2020, 10:52:46 PM »
Bullock
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #24 on: October 15, 2020, 12:38:08 PM »
I trust MT polling more than IA polling. Also, MT has a history of splitting their tickets.
So while if they both lose, Greenfield probably does better, I think Bullock has a better chance of actually winning.
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