WV-WOWK TV : Trump+18
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  WV-WOWK TV : Trump+18
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Author Topic: WV-WOWK TV : Trump+18  (Read 2417 times)
WD
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« on: October 06, 2020, 05:40:44 PM »
« edited: October 06, 2020, 05:50:53 PM by Western Democrat »

https://www.wowktv.com/news/elections/poll-shows-incumbents-leading-races-for-surveyed-wv-voters/

Trump 56
Biden 38
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Darthpi Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2020, 05:43:55 PM »

Abysmal poll for Trump, given that he won by more than 40 last time.
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Vosem
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2020, 05:45:01 PM »

Trump under-performing Romney (who won by 26 points, 62-36) would be deeply hilarious.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2020, 05:45:23 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2020, 06:59:07 PM by Devout Centrist »

Jesus, that's a massive improvement over Hilldawg

Edit:
Quote
In the race for U.S. president, President Donald Trump (R) holds a 56% to 38% lead over Democratic nominee Joe Biden, according to the poll. 4.8% said they were still unsure of which candidate they would be voting for on Election Day.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2020, 05:46:08 PM »

We are going back to 2008 in Appalachia.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2020, 05:46:23 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2020, 05:49:50 PM by Gass3268 »

West Virginia polling typically is pretty off on the national level. Then again I don't think there is the same level of hate for Biden that there was for Obama or Clinton.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2020, 05:47:23 PM »

It's actually 56-38 Trump, so Trump +18
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Stuart98
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2020, 05:49:09 PM »

No senate poll?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2020, 05:49:44 PM »

West Virginia polling typically is pretty off on the national level. Then again I don't think there is the same level of hate that there was for Obama or Clinton.

There is not.

I've been saying for months that Biden will likely do best for a Democrat since 2008 in WV. People kept saying it would actually move farther towards Trump, but no.

Biden's going to win at least Monongalia County too.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2020, 05:54:41 PM »

Conducted by Triton Polling Research

MoE: 4.3%

Unsure 5%
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Skye
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2020, 05:57:23 PM »

Dunno, press x to doubt. I have a hard time believing Trump will fall all they way from 68% to... that.
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Jay (D-NC)
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2020, 05:57:52 PM »

Even if this poll was off by 10, making it 61-33, that would be right in line with 2012 and still even with the swing in national environments from 2016

There is virtually nothing positive from this poll for Trump
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2020, 05:59:35 PM »

Yeah I doubt it.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2020, 06:02:06 PM »

Biden getting 38% could happen. House Dems got 41% of the vote in 2018
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2020, 06:05:01 PM »

Is this a reliable pollster?
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These knuckles break before they bleed
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2020, 06:07:25 PM »

Also from this poll:

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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: October 06, 2020, 06:07:51 PM »

I hope that Gov election narrows, just like NH Gov, it's down to single digits
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forza nocta
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« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2020, 06:14:22 PM »

Hmmm
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Jay (D-NC)
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« Reply #18 on: October 06, 2020, 06:14:38 PM »

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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Astatine
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« Reply #19 on: October 06, 2020, 06:14:44 PM »

Considering the relative closeness of the race I wonder why they didn't poll the congressional races. Numbers for WV-02 at least would be interesting, Alex Mooney carried this district by 16 (2016) respectively 11 (2018) points, while Trump won it by 37.

With those polling results - of course to be treated cautiously as only poll so far - a case for a Likely R rating for WV-02 could be made.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #20 on: October 06, 2020, 06:16:53 PM »

Biden getting 38% could happen. House Dems got 41% of the vote in 2018

Yeah, it's pretty amazing how Democrats have been able to retain a decent amount of downballot strength in West Virginia even as the state has lurched to the right at the presidential level. Ojeda did really well in a Trump +50 district, and Mooney remained one of the biggest underperformers in the House GOP, only winning by 11 over an unknown opponent in a Trump +37 district. Really makes me think that Ojeda (or someone like him) could have won if he ran in that district instead.
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kireev
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« Reply #21 on: October 06, 2020, 06:18:09 PM »

I am going to say it first (or will I be first?): WV will trend slightly DEM this year for the first time in decades. It's mostly white and Biden is doing better than Hillary among whites with and without a college degree. But I do think Trump will of course win WV by more than 18 point and this poll probably underestimates his support. I'd say Trump is going to win by 30 points or so down from almost 42 points in 2016.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #22 on: October 06, 2020, 06:19:20 PM »

lol no way
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34 Counts of Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #23 on: October 06, 2020, 06:21:45 PM »

You know what they say, West Virginia is the Scranton of things between Ohio and Virginia.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2020, 06:26:03 PM »

This lines up with Biden leading by double digits in national polls.
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