Which state does Trump have a better chance of winning: Arizona or Wisconsin

[OSR stands with Israel]

I used to be in the Wisconsin camp a few months ago but now I believe Arizona is more likely to go to Trump than Wisconsin

[redjohn]

AZ, no question. WI is pretty much out of reach for Trump, the swings among white voters will doom him here. Republicans are lucky they've gerrymandered the hell out of WI  and will probably gain seats or stay even in the state legislature & senate despite Biden winning WI by upper single-digits.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I used to be in the Wisconsin camp a few months ago but now I believe Arizona is more likely to go to Trump than Wisconsin

Biden looks really strong in WI now, and I worry about PA a lot more.

I've moved AZ off of Biden's "critical path" and into his "insurance state" category. AZ is a must-win for Trump. There aren't a lot of good scenarios for him without it.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I used to be in the Wisconsin camp a few months ago but now I believe Arizona is more likely to go to Trump than Wisconsin

Biden looks really strong in WI now, and I worry about PA a lot more.

I've moved AZ off of Biden's "critical path" and into his "insurance state" category. AZ is a must-win for Trump. There aren't a lot of good scenarios for him without it.

Yah If Trump loses Arizona he probably loses NE-2 and then even if he wins PA its all over

Biden wins in this case 270-268

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I used to be in the Wisconsin camp a few months ago but now I believe Arizona is more likely to go to Trump than Wisconsin

Biden looks really strong in WI now, and I worry about PA a lot more.

I've moved AZ off of Biden's "critical path" and into his "insurance state" category. AZ is a must-win for Trump. There aren't a lot of good scenarios for him without it.

Yah If Trump loses Arizona he probably loses NE-2 and then even if he wins PA its all over

Biden wins in this case 270-268

Does Omaha have enough hotel rooms for the armies of lawyers and press descending upon the city in this scenario?

[OSR stands with Israel]

I used to be in the Wisconsin camp a few months ago but now I believe Arizona is more likely to go to Trump than Wisconsin

Biden looks really strong in WI now, and I worry about PA a lot more.

I've moved AZ off of Biden's "critical path" and into his "insurance state" category. AZ is a must-win for Trump. There aren't a lot of good scenarios for him without it.

Yah If Trump loses Arizona he probably loses NE-2 and then even if he wins PA its all over

Biden wins in this case 270-268

Does Omaha have enough hotel rooms for the armies of lawyers and press descending upon the city in this scenario?

The NE GOP would have no one to blame but themselves for using the Maine rule to allocate EV instead of winner take all.

I have no idea post 2018 why the Maine Dems and Nebraska GOP didnt move to a winner take all system

[Ferguson97]

Arizona, but I fully expect Biden to win both.

[Hammy]

Arizona. But more than likely they'll both vote the same way so the chances are fairly even.

[Rand]

AZ.

Trump got less votes than Romney in Wisconsin. Pathetic.

He’s not winning it again.