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October 21, 2020, 02:20:15 AM
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  IA-Monmouth: Tie (RV); Greenfield +1/+3 (LV)
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Tie (RV); Greenfield +1/+3 (LV)  (Read 329 times)
gracile
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« on: September 24, 2020, 10:28:22 AM »

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmoutpoll_ia_092420.pdf/

RV:

Ernst (R-inc) 47%
Greenfield (D) 47%

LV (High Turnout):

Greenfield (D) 49%
Ernst (R-inc) 46%

LV (Low Turnout):

Greenfield (D) 48%
Ernst (R-inc) 47%
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 10:31:26 AM »

Greenfield being close to 50 is good to see, but I’m still mindful of IA overestimating Dems.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 10:35:36 AM »

Greenfield is running 6 points ahead of Biden in this poll, which should be very encouraging for her.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 10:37:42 AM »

If true....


Catastrophic for Ernst
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gracile
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 11:06:11 AM »
« Edited: September 24, 2020, 11:11:11 AM by gracile »

The good news for Greenfield is that she's outrunning Biden by 4-6% with roughly the same number of undecideds in the Presidential poll and less than in some previous Iowa statewide polls (meaning that undecideds at the Senate level can't all be guaranteed to break toward their Presidential preference).
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2020, 11:08:18 AM »

Bad poll for Rs, Ernst isn't safe
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2020, 12:49:38 PM »

Greenfield is running 6 points ahead of Biden in this poll, which should be very encouraging for her.

Yes, and she’s underperforming him by 1 point in the NYT/Siena poll. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle (with Greenfield doing 2-3 points better than Biden).
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2020, 01:54:01 PM »

I'll need to see Greenfield up by at least 4 before really believing that she's ahead. Still Lean R for now, but closer to Toss-Up than Likely R.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2020, 07:54:37 AM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Monmouth University on 2020-09-22

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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