IA-Monmouth: Tie (RV); Greenfield +1/+3 (LV)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 09:03:40 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  IA-Monmouth: Tie (RV); Greenfield +1/+3 (LV)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Tie (RV); Greenfield +1/+3 (LV)  (Read 911 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,047


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 24, 2020, 10:28:22 AM »

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmoutpoll_ia_092420.pdf/

RV:

Ernst (R-inc) 47%
Greenfield (D) 47%

LV (High Turnout):

Greenfield (D) 49%
Ernst (R-inc) 46%

LV (Low Turnout):

Greenfield (D) 48%
Ernst (R-inc) 47%
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 10:31:26 AM »

Greenfield being close to 50 is good to see, but I’m still mindful of IA overestimating Dems.
Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,150


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 10:35:36 AM »

Greenfield is running 6 points ahead of Biden in this poll, which should be very encouraging for her.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,589
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 10:37:42 AM »

If true....


Catastrophic for Ernst
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,047


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 11:06:11 AM »
« Edited: September 24, 2020, 11:11:11 AM by gracile »

The good news for Greenfield is that she's outrunning Biden by 4-6% with roughly the same number of undecideds in the Presidential poll and less than in some previous Iowa statewide polls (meaning that undecideds at the Senate level can't all be guaranteed to break toward their Presidential preference).
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,808
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2020, 11:08:18 AM »

Bad poll for Rs, Ernst isn't safe
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2020, 12:49:38 PM »

Greenfield is running 6 points ahead of Biden in this poll, which should be very encouraging for her.

Yes, and she’s underperforming him by 1 point in the NYT/Siena poll. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle (with Greenfield doing 2-3 points better than Biden).
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2020, 01:54:01 PM »

I'll need to see Greenfield up by at least 4 before really believing that she's ahead. Still Lean R for now, but closer to Toss-Up than Likely R.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,628
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2020, 07:54:37 AM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Monmouth University on 2020-09-22

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 12 queries.