Rate FL-26
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Poll
Question: ^
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Tilt D		  
#6
Lean D		  
#7
Likely D		  
#8
Safe D		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 36

Author Topic: Rate FL-26  (Read 460 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 08, 2020, 02:01:00 PM »
« edited: September 08, 2020, 02:04:01 PM by VARepublican »
We had a poll in July, but we did get 2 interesting Florida polls today  Smile

I’m going with Tilt D.
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brucejoel99
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E: -3.48, S: -3.30

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« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2020, 03:11:01 PM »
Still Safe D.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2020, 03:11:36 PM »
Still Likely D. Even if Biden narrowly loses Florida, he'll almost certainly win FL-26 by double digits. DMP isn't a scandal-ridden or gaffe-prone incumbent (she seems like pretty much a generic D), so while Gimenez is a decent candidate, I see no reason why she would underperform Biden by double digits. Maybe she will by several points, but it's not going to be enough for this district to flip. If 2020 turns out to be a red wave, then maybe this race gets interesting.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #3 on: September 08, 2020, 03:15:53 PM »
Lol I love how everything from Safe D to Lean R has 1 vote each.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: September 08, 2020, 03:16:41 PM »
Tilt R. Biden is very weak with Hispanics.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #5 on: September 08, 2020, 04:01:19 PM »
Pure tossup..
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #6 on: September 08, 2020, 09:44:39 PM »
Tilt D but could easily flip considering Biden's weak standing with Miami-Dade Hispanics.
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Pericles
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« Reply #7 on: September 08, 2020, 09:48:02 PM »
In a presidential year especially, I don't think Gimenez outruns Curbelo. Lean D out of caution, closer to Likely than Tossup.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #8 on: September 08, 2020, 10:15:58 PM »
I can see that this race is quickly becoming the other CA-25 on Atlas. No, Gimenez is definitely not favored to outperform Curbelo as a challenger in a Clinton +16 district in a Presidential year. FL-26 is Likely D, and that might be generous to Republicans.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: September 09, 2020, 09:39:51 AM »
I could see DMP only winning by a few points.
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