2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

WARNING:

This thread will show significantly higher absentee requests and people will go like "Wow, they are so HUGE compared to 2016, Biden is favoured !"

But in fact, no conclusion whatsoever can be drawn from those requests, because all the Trump voters will vote on election day.

And this will make up for all the increases in postal vote requests ...

Even pre Covid, since the Obama 2008 election, Democrats have had a huge edge in the early vote as well. In the early OH 2012 results, Obama was over 60%. Obama was winning the TX 2008 early vote as well. It is extremely biased towards the Democrats.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I suspect that all these numbers will really end up telling us over the next couple of months is "wow, this is going to be a really really high turnout election," which should have already been everyone's expectation after the midterms.

There was no fluke turnout collapse, like in 2010 or 2014. Deplorables were whipped into a frenzy in 2018, yet still got blown out by 8.6%. Turnout was high on both sides, yet there are more Democrats then Republicans in America.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

64.4% of 18-29 year olds with VBM requests have not voted before.

https://twitter.com/cautiouslefty/status/1306448385256435713?s=21

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Any thoughts Sir Woodburry?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

PA numbers picking up, but still very low compared to other states.  But the partisan gap is enormous.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

198k D
42k R

Scranton Joe.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

It’s extremely bad news Dallas County couldn’t even surpass 2016.

Not really, atleast not for democrats. Might be a terrible sign for Republicans. Dallas County in 2016 had around 15k more in turnout day 1 compared to Day 1 in 2018 and Beto outdid Hillary by 20k in the total count by the end.

I’d be willing to bet this number is caused by the republicans in Dallas county not turning out.

Dallas has a lot of suburban country club Republicans who might decide to sit it out.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Demographics of LA early vote after day 2

2020--62-34-4 (W-B-O)   2016--70-27-4

2020--52-32-15 (D-R-O)  2016--45-39-17

Not quite at half of the 2016 early vote.

Are there that many Dixiecrats in LA in 2020?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

https://twitter.com/srl/status/1318328000941871104

Yup, Dems need to pack the court. 5 out of 9 justices are anti-democracy

We are lucky to have a center-right CJ, Bush could have appointed another Clarence Thomas. One defection from the CJ was enough to get a 5-4 liberal majority. John Roberts is a Robert Mueller style patriot, who puts the constitution first, not being a Federalist Society hack.